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Change - hvonstorch.de
Change - hvonstorch.de

... NAO (*) has significant influence ...
Hot, Flat & Dangerous
Hot, Flat & Dangerous

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Climate Change and Migration: Perspective of the Big - sid

... The observation that the atmosphere near the earth’s surface is warming beyond its tolerance levels, i.e. more and more heat trapping gases are ejected into the atmosphere is called Global Warming ...
6g_CCNet-coach-training-presentation
6g_CCNet-coach-training-presentation

... water, etc. may often be worse than if the ecosystem was left to adjust naturally. Thus, it is absolutely critical to understand how human systems (social, infrastructure, etc.) will be affected so that the team can start to understand the full range of threats to natural systems. ...
Socio-Economic Impacts of Climate Change 21
Socio-Economic Impacts of Climate Change 21

... impact will likely come from large numbers of displaced people who, by the very nature of their displacement, will become subject to malnutrition and disease; agricultural dislocation could aggravate or spark displacement and border security issues could arise as well. ...
Global Systems Impacting our Planet – 15 Page Resource of Earth
Global Systems Impacting our Planet – 15 Page Resource of Earth

... • explaining the causes and effects of the greenhouse effect • investigating the effect of climate change on sea levels and biodiversity • considering the long-term effects of loss of biodiversity • investigating currently occurring changes to permafrost and sea ice and the impacts of these changes ...
Global Warming
Global Warming

... Can we match the observation of temperature trends with the model predictions? The temperature record of the past hundred years does show a warming trend, by approximately 0.5°C. However, the observed warming trend is not entirely consistent with the carbon dioxide change. Most of the temperature in ...
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What is the Greenhouse Effect?

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... • Mitigation: The notion of limiting or controlling emissions of greenhouse gases so that the total accumulation is limited. • Adaptation: The notion of making changes in the way we do things to adapt to changes in climate. • Resilience: The ability to adapt. • Geo-engineering: The notion that we ca ...
nature: our best defense against climate change
nature: our best defense against climate change

... Around the world, climate change is exacerbating droughts, floods, heat waves and extreme weather events—and these impacts are expected to worsen in the coming decades. Already, nearly 800 million people are vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.5 Harnessing the immediate potential of natural ...
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Human-Natural Urban System Tipping Points as - NOAA

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Lab: Looking at Scientific Data on Climate Change

... graphs, you must first understand the word "anomaly". This means difference from the norm. For NASA graphs, the norm is the period from 1951-1980 (which is when NASA began collecting data). Looking at the global data, how does 2013 compare to the years? Explain. 2. Go to the NASA site GISS (Goddard ...
to this text in PDF format and view the full list of
to this text in PDF format and view the full list of

Sustainable Responses to Climate Change MKE July 2016
Sustainable Responses to Climate Change MKE July 2016

... • “By comparison to what it could have been, it’s a miracle. By comparison to what it should have been, it’s a disaster.” George Monbiot, The Guardian ...
PowerPoint - Columbia University
PowerPoint - Columbia University

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ACCR - Baltic Sea Region

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climate change - Hans von Storch

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Climate Change Threatens Global Development and International

... discontinuities, the foreseeable environmental changes that would take place with an average global warming of 1.5–3°C would affect the development perspectives of some seven billion people. The developing countries in Africa, Asia and South America, that typically have fewer capacities for adaptati ...
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... • Data for 100 climate variables computed in 30-minute time-steps for a series of months, years decades or centuries • Models adequately simulate observed daily weather and average climate patterns • A one-year simulation takes 1 day of computer time ...
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44. Global Warming Congress should

... community of nations. It is based on ‘‘general circulation models’’ (GCMs), which are large-scale simulations of the globe’s climate that have been used as research and teaching tools for two decades. By 1990 there were five GCMs that received the bulk of scientific citations. On average, they predi ...
a summary presentation of the TK
a summary presentation of the TK

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news and views
news and views

... effects of methane that escapes to the atmosphere remain a matter of debate. Other new work8 shows that, because of its much longer residence time in the ocean–atmosphere system, CO2 might be responsible for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds (whose insulating effects could explain the espe ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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