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For Nicholas Stern, BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge
For Nicholas Stern, BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge

... countries cannot ignore the plight of less well-off nations or take measures that imply “an obstacle in the way of rising standards of living for the poor people of this world”. Poor countries, Stern emphasizes, “are hit earliest and hardest by climate change,” and our duty is to help them adapt to ...
: Global Climatic Disruption Risks and Opportunities John P. Holdren
: Global Climatic Disruption Risks and Opportunities John P. Holdren

... • Current global CO2 emission rate from fossil fuels + deforestation ≈ 10 billion tonnes of C per year. Paying $100/tC to avoid half of it would be $0.5 trillion/year, under 1% of the Global World Product (much of it a transfer, not money down a black hole). ...
Global warming
Global warming

... CO2, methane, tropospheric ozone, CFCs and nitrous oxide. The atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and methane have increased by 36% and 148% respectively since the beginning of the industrial revolution in the mid-1700s. These levels are considerably higher than at any time during the last 650,000 yea ...
Facts about flying
Facts about flying

... other things, condensation trails and cirrus clouds that build up at higher altitudes can also affect the regional climate. Cirrus clouds account for about half of the air traffic's contribution to climate warming. ■ One single tourist flying from Germany to the Caribbean and back causes the short-t ...
Slide 1 - UW Hydro - University of Washington
Slide 1 - UW Hydro - University of Washington

... changes in climate and streamflow are likely to occur during the life of the license. •These changes will tend to “unbalance” existing tradeoffs between water resources objectives such as hydropower, flood control, water supply, instream flow, and water temperature. Different users and uses of water ...
July/August 2001 - Center for Climate and Energy Solutions
July/August 2001 - Center for Climate and Energy Solutions

... All of these are important developments—and they show how increasing numbers of leading companies see a clear business interest both in reducing their emissions and in helping to shape the energy economy of the future. Interestingly, if you look at who’s paying the most attention to these issues, yo ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... not necessarily linked to PDO and ENSO in the same way as are moderate events (sample size problems) Chehalis River 1999 (~2.5 ft above flood stage) ...
Connecting the Dots Between Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Connecting the Dots Between Extreme Weather and Climate Change

... hottest decade on record globally ... until the 1990s came along. The ‗90s held the crown only briefly ... and then the 2000s became the hottest decade on record. 2010 is the hottest year ever recorded, tied with 2005.15 No one expects that record to stand for very long, either. What‘s the connectio ...
Understanding Our Environment
Understanding Our Environment

... Biomes - Areas sharing similar climate, topographic and soil conditions, and roughly comparable communities.  Temperature and precipitation are among the most important determinants in biome distribution.  Most terrestrial biomes are identified by the dominant plants of their communities.  Plants ...
The Sustainability Network of Washington County January 27, 2010
The Sustainability Network of Washington County January 27, 2010

... 1. Set the cap. 2. Determine the rate of emissions decline. 3. Determine the covered sectors, the point of regulation, and compliance obligations. 4. Determine the covered GHGs and how emissions will be measured and monitored. 5. Create allowances equal to the amount of allowable emissions each year ...
Earth System Models - PAGES
Earth System Models - PAGES

... oceanic deep-water formation), and can be applied to studying the basic dynamic behavior of the Earth System. This includes questions about abrupt climate change and feedback mechanisms. However, these models simplify the system to a large degree and cannot be used to describe complex features on Ea ...
notes
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... UNITED STATES is the only major industrial The ________________ country that did NOT signed the Kyoto Accord. Standards set by Kyoto expired in 2012 ...
BACC - Hans von Storch
BACC - Hans von Storch

... → Detection of non-natural influence on regional warming. Can be explained only by increased greenhouse gas concentrations. Present trend consistent with model scenarios. ...
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... science. Some aspects of the science are known with virtual certainty1, because they are based on well-known physical laws and documented trends. Current understanding of many other aspects of climate change ranges from “very likely” to “uncertain.” What's Known Scientists know with virtual certaint ...
global_change
global_change

... of attention in various realms. DO LTER sites have the data to put that in context. Topic 3. Concept of looking at long-term mean and variance. Variance change, Mean change, Mean and Variance Change, No Change. Interaction of mean and variance change - variance leads to different outcomes with diffe ...
27 May - Global Change System for Analysis, Research and Training
27 May - Global Change System for Analysis, Research and Training

... response. Development of a highly aggregated index of trophic state....LA32……Gustavo Nagy. ...
Ist Latin American and the Caribbean Regional Workshop
Ist Latin American and the Caribbean Regional Workshop

... response. Development of a highly aggregated index of trophic state....LA32……Gustavo Nagy. ...
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... temperature increased by as much as 10°C in 10 years ...
An Analysis of the Effects of Strategic Messaging on the Perceptual
An Analysis of the Effects of Strategic Messaging on the Perceptual

... Perceptual, Cognitive, and Motivational Antecedents to Climate Activism in Youth Recent headlines, like “College endowments feel the heat over global warming” (Berr, 2014) and “Students fight climate change, cite personal reasons” (Vendituoli, 2013), suggest a growing movement of climate activism am ...
Natural or Anthropogenic?
Natural or Anthropogenic?

... IPCC - Why was it created? “Human activities now occur on a scale that is starting to interfere with complex natural systems” “Climate change poses a serious challenge to policymakers” “Policymakers … need an objective source of the most widely accepted scientific, technical and socio-economic info ...
A Week of Earth Action: Divrei Torah Ideas for April 22
A Week of Earth Action: Divrei Torah Ideas for April 22

... the Exodus to Torah. Practically: our society has freed itself from pre-industrial constraints, and we are free now to use copious amounts of energy. How can we now act responsibly with that power and the danger to the climate it could cause? ...
Climate Change and Conservation
Climate Change and Conservation

... – Coral reefs may drown if sea level rise is faster than coral growth rates – Barrier islands may be changed • Loss of pack ice habitats in Antarctic and Arctic – Declines of pinnipeds/penguins dependent on edge of pack ice • Ocean circulation patterns will change – Upwelling may be reduced – Coasta ...
Green House Gases interactions in Atmospheric Thermodynamics
Green House Gases interactions in Atmospheric Thermodynamics

... impact on climate in recent decades. One way in which humans have affected the climate is by increasing emissions of greenhouse gases. This heats the earth's atmosphere and ultimately contributes to increasingly warmer climates, a process known as global warming. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a byproduct ...
Definition
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... into the atmosphere. Excess CO2 prevents heat from escaping, instead trapping it in and raising the temperature of Earth. Ideally humans exhale CO2 which plants need. Plants give off oxygen as a waste product of photosynthesis, and humans inhale that oxygen. This cycle helps keep the CO2 concentrati ...
If You See Something, Say Something By MICHAEL E. MANN New
If You See Something, Say Something By MICHAEL E. MANN New

... halls of Congress, the pages of leading newspapers and what we see on TV, leading to the appearance of a debate where none should exist. In fact, there is broad agreement among climate scientists not only that climate change is real (a survey and a review of the scientific literature published say a ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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