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Rising Temperatures, Rising Risks
Rising Temperatures, Rising Risks

... 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—which was founded 20 years ago by the UN to provide an authoritative review of climate change information—many of the world’s leading scientists spoke with one voice. Their message was a grim one. What we know. For ...
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... – report minimum information on assumptions or model – indicate the strengths and weaknesses of the models used ...
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Pacific puzzle

... online tool (http://go.nature.com/8VQXYx) that can be used to calculate the rate of warming using various start dates and any of the available data sets. But he warns that there is little to be gained from looking at short-term trends; instead we should be focused on long-term warming. “Drawing simp ...
November 2010 - Climate change - evidence from the geological
November 2010 - Climate change - evidence from the geological

... varies with time. Most notably, the 11-year sunspot cycle causes the Earth to warm very slightly when there are more sunspots and cool very slightly when there are few. Complex patterns of atmospheric and oceanic circulation cause the El Niño events and related climatic oscillations on the scale of ...
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment

... issue of spatial scale – what is the relative importance of uncertainty due to spatial scale? • These include: – Specifying alternative future emissions of ghgs and aerosols – Modeling the global climate response to the forcings (i.e., differences among AOGCMs) ...


... today. The relation man-nature on these sites is much closer than we might think, because their survival, lifestyle, traditions, wealth and welfare depend almost entirely on what they themselves get and produce from their lands. Their natural capital is their most valuable landscape patrimony, but n ...
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Scott Pruitt, Administrator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

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Dissecting the Tactics of Climate Denial: Lessons for

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Climate Change - American Wildlife Conservation Foundation
Climate Change - American Wildlife Conservation Foundation

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Land Use and Climate Interactions [i.e. system]
Land Use and Climate Interactions [i.e. system]

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Climate Change: The Need to Consider  Human Forcings in Addition to  Greenhouse Gases by
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NOAA Climate Services Portal Prototype
NOAA Climate Services Portal Prototype

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NEW ESTIMATE – Feb. 2 nd 2007
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CO2: The Thermostat that Controls Earth`s
CO2: The Thermostat that Controls Earth`s

... near 180 ppm, for which the global temperature is about 5 C colder. The rapid recent increase in atmospheric CO2 has been attributed to human industrial activity, primarily the burning of fossil fuels. This has pushed atmospheric CO2 toward the 400 ppm level, far beyond the inter-glacial maximum. T ...
Current Activities and Future Plans for Climate Change
Current Activities and Future Plans for Climate Change

... z Enhancement of observation network to Asia – Pacific region through the international cooperation with KACCO and JACCO ► Flight (utilizing KAL and JAL ) and Ship (Gisang 2000) ► Standards for measurement ► Standards for dada exchange ► Standards for end-products ...
Results from a survey examining college student & adult public
Results from a survey examining college student & adult public

... Increases in global average air and ocean temperatures ...
< 1 ... 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 ... 857 >

Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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