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united - Stockholm Convention
united - Stockholm Convention

... Climate change could affect primary releases of persistent organic pollutants to air by changing their rate of mobilization from materials or stockpiles, or by altering use patterns. This could result in an increase in primary releases that could offset some of the efforts made to reduce emissions o ...
Download: swipa-spm - Arctic Monitoring and Assessment
Download: swipa-spm - Arctic Monitoring and Assessment

... • The melting of land-based ice will contribute significantly to sea-level rise. If increases in greenhouse gas concentrations continue at current rates, the melting of Arctic land-based ice would contribute an estimated 25 centimeters to sea-level rise between 2006 and 2100. Many of the smallest g ...
Granger causality from changes in level of atmospheric CO2 to
Granger causality from changes in level of atmospheric CO2 to

... What has been considered to influence the biota’s creation of the pattern observed in the trend in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 ? The candidates for the influences on the biota have mainly been considered in prior research to be atmospheric variations, primarily temperature and/or ENSO (e.g. K ...
Understanding the Forecast Second Edition David Archer d
Understanding the Forecast Second Edition David Archer d

... Human forcing of climate is expected to be small compared to the variability associated with the weather. Temperature in the coming century is projected to rise a by few degrees centigrade (Chapter 12). This is pretty small compared to the temperature differences between the equator and the pole, b ...
Needs Assessment: Cayman Islands
Needs Assessment: Cayman Islands

... strongest to hit the CI in recent years was in 2004, when onshore winds generated by Hurricane Ivan brought major storm surges of up to 9.8 feet and wave heights of around 8 metres, flooding large coastal areas and depositing huge amounts of sand over roads, houses and infrastructure.2 In recent dec ...
Climate Change and Human Rights
Climate Change and Human Rights

... Ten years ago, the Inuit people asked the Inter-American Human Rights Commission to hear their claim that the unchecked effects of climate change were violating their human rights. At the time, the request seemed quixotic, especially after the Commission declined to hear the case. In retrospect, how ...
US Senate Minority Report
US Senate Minority Report

Solar Influences on Climate
Solar Influences on Climate

... defined by DTS = lDF, where DF is the change in forcing at the top of the atmosphere (in this case ∼0.17 W m−2) and TS is the globally averaged surface temperature. Using a value of 0.5 K (W m−2)−1 for l [IPCC, 2007], we would expect the Earth’s global temperature to vary by a mere 0.07 K. However, ...
Climate Change and Human Rights
Climate Change and Human Rights

... Ten years ago, the Inuit people asked the Inter-American Human Rights Commission to hear their claim that the unchecked effects of climate change were violating their human rights. At the time, the request seemed quixotic, especially after the Commission declined to hear the case. In retrospect, how ...
blackout: extreme weather, climate change and
blackout: extreme weather, climate change and

... outages originating at power plants or during residential distribution. The form OE-417 is an emergency reporting mechanism, and is not intended to create a historic record of thoroughly investigated electricity incidents. Because a form OE-417 is filed before the full scope of the event is understo ...
US Senate Minority Report - US Senate Committee on Environment
US Senate Minority Report - US Senate Committee on Environment

... and former Vice President Al Gore. This new 231-page U.S. Senate Minority Report -updated from 2007’s groundbreaking report of over 400 scientists who voiced skepticism about the so-called global warming “consensus” -- features the skeptical voices of over 650 prominent international scientists, inc ...
A Briefing for Councillors
A Briefing for Councillors

... the performance of equities over the last 10 years concluded that a fossil free fund would have significantly outperformed fossil-fuel invested funds.19 MSCI, who run global indices used by 6000 pension and hedge funds, reached a similar conclusion based on data from 2010-2015.20 ...
Green Allies: Speculative Realism, Evangelical Christianity, and
Green Allies: Speculative Realism, Evangelical Christianity, and

... are more daring, employing a ‘‘speculative physics’’ to describe the nature of a reality that always partially withdraws from the human cognitive apparatus.15 Thus, in Onto-Cartography, Bryant dedicates a chapter to exploring how Einstein’s theory of gravity complicates the Newtonian theory assumed ...
56 - University of the West Indies, Cave Hill Campus
56 - University of the West Indies, Cave Hill Campus

... There is increasing concern over the consequences of climate change and climate variability for fisheries production and the state of marine ecosystems (Brander 2010; Cheung et al. 2010; Mora et al. 2013). Both slow-onset changes (e.g. sea surface temperatures) and increased extremeweather events ar ...
Modelling Abrupt Glacial Climate Change
Modelling Abrupt Glacial Climate Change

... Martin. Guys, putting up with me was at times an ordeal, but I hope you agree we had a blast most regularly. And, since we’re all foreigners, we banded nicely in Þguring out the peculiarities of living in the Netherlands. I will never forget those times. Han Thomassen and Philip Ward, my two ‘parani ...
US Senate Minority Report
US Senate Minority Report

... and former Vice President Al Gore. This new 231-page U.S. Senate Minority Report -updated from 2007’s groundbreaking report of over 400 scientists who voiced skepticism about the so-called global warming “consensus” -- features the skeptical voices of over 650 prominent international scientists, inc ...
Long-term effects of warming and ocean acidification are modified
Long-term effects of warming and ocean acidification are modified

... mean that the functional role of an individual species may fundamentally change in response to sources of temporal (diurnal, seasonal and interannual) and/or spatial (vertical and horizontal) variation [26,51,59–61], yet these factors have not been included in investigations of the ecological impact ...
Low carbon resilient development and gender equality in the least
Low carbon resilient development and gender equality in the least

... national budgetary sources to address issues of energy production and access contributing to a global low carbon agenda. In a review conducted in 2012, it was found that nine LDCs had developed national strategies that addressed both low carbon and climate resilience (Fisher, 2013). However, this is ...
Chapter 13 - Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority
Chapter 13 - Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority

The Steady-State Atmospheric Circulation
The Steady-State Atmospheric Circulation

... anthropogenic forcing: enhanced warming in the tropical troposphere (which mimics increased latent heating by condensation of water vapor in the free tropical troposphere), enhanced cooling in the polar stratosphere (which mimics the cooling associated with polar ozone depletion), and enhanced warmi ...
North Pacific Climate Response to Freshwater Forcing in the
North Pacific Climate Response to Freshwater Forcing in the

... the case of 1 Sv hosing for which the AMOC nearly shuts down in all the models (Stouffer et al. 2006). This rate will increase the global-mean sea level by 9 m over a 100-year period. Comparable sea level changes are estimated for the millennium climate variations during the last glacial period alth ...
CURRICULUM VITAE
CURRICULUM VITAE

... Environmental Systems Institute, and the EMS Energy Institute. He led the faculty through the development of the College’s 2009-2014 Strategic Plan, which currently guides new thrusts in international earth and energy science education, traditional and high-risk research in clean carbon energy, natu ...
Large scale connectivity conservation in mountains: A critical
Large scale connectivity conservation in mountains: A critical

... conserves connectivity and prevents significant new amounts of carbon dioxide from entering the atmosphere (Mackey et al. 2008b) The benefits flowing from this stewardship will also need to be long term to maximise the economic returns to people managing these natural lands. A STRATEGIC RESPONSE TO ...
CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONFLICT: a
CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONFLICT: a

... The search terms were fewer in number and the inclusion criteria were reasonably strict. Firstly, the limited amount of search terms meant that most databases allowed us to search in a consistent manner. 7 Limiting the search terms to “climate change” as opposed to other phrases such as “environment ...
Conservation and sustainable management of peatlands in
Conservation and sustainable management of peatlands in

... undisturbed state, the annual build-up of sequestration from these forests amounts to over 3 mln2 tons of carbon. These are the highest nature value forests, mainly spruce forests, 64 % of which are mature and over-mature stands, which store maximum above-ground carbon compared to other forests of ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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