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Features
Features

... One hint of the critical role of feedbacks is that the nature and pattern of radiative forcing does not strongly determine the resulting temperature pattern: whether, for instance, solar radiation or greenhouse gases are changed in the model experiments, the results show similar overall sensitivity ...
environmental change that is unconnected with climate
environmental change that is unconnected with climate

... So why should we bother studying the impacts of climate change on water resources when the impacts of other types of environmental change (e.g. social change) that are much less quantifiable are likely to be greater? What we can predict, we should. - It is important to establish a “framework of thou ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

...  to create and coordinate a subregional network of NMHSs and other relevant institutions;  to coordinate and provide the guidelines to interpret and apply drought-related products;  to prepare drought monitoring and forecast products and make them available to relevant institutions in participati ...
PowerPoint Presentation - Global Change Curricula and
PowerPoint Presentation - Global Change Curricula and

... Create seasonal climate forecasts for the Midwest Use ensembles of advanced regional climate models interactive web-based decision-making tools, Translate and enhance the latest NOAA climate forecast products to maximize economic gains Use high-volume customized delivery and feedback through the cou ...
Paper - Eltahir Research Group
Paper - Eltahir Research Group

... the past and current emissions of carbon dioxide2 . Here, we show that by the end of the century certain population centres in the same region are likely to experience temperature levels that are intolerable to humans owing to the consequences of increasing concentrations of anthropogenic greenhouse ...
John Harrington`s Global Change Presentation
John Harrington`s Global Change Presentation

... factors, across multiple scales • Biocomplexity was introduced as a new initiative at NSF for funding integrative projects in the late 1990s by Rita Colwell • Rita Colwell was NSF Director from 1998 – 2004 ...
a janus-faced challenge for our times
a janus-faced challenge for our times

... • Achieving sustainability ...
GoldenKKiwanis - Department of Geological & Atmospheric
GoldenKKiwanis - Department of Geological & Atmospheric

... Create seasonal climate forecasts for the Midwest Use ensembles of advanced regional climate models interactive web-based decision-making tools, Translate and enhance the latest NOAA climate forecast products to maximize economic gains Use high-volume customized delivery and feedback through the cou ...
News and New IPRC Staff
News and New IPRC Staff

... carbon isotope tracers to glacial circulation changes. Carbon isotopes (13C and 14C) are frequently measured in ocean sediment cores and have become one of the main paleoproxies for ocean circulation changes. With the new version of the earth system model LOVECLIM, a model frequently used by Timmerm ...
1.1. Adaptive Governance And Scientific Management
1.1. Adaptive Governance And Scientific Management

... together as the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC and working separately to implement their commitments. By defining climate change as an irreducibly global problem, the established frame leaves out of the picture the citizens of diverse local communities whose support and cooperation are nece ...
IOSR Journal Of Environmental Science, Toxicology And Food Technology (IOSR-JESTFT)
IOSR Journal Of Environmental Science, Toxicology And Food Technology (IOSR-JESTFT)

... "expected weather". When changes in the expected weather occur, we call these climate changes. They can be defined by the differences between average weather conditions at two separate times. Climate may change in different ways, over different time scales and at different geographical scales. In re ...
“TOO MUCH WATER, TOO LITTLE TIME”: ENHANCING
“TOO MUCH WATER, TOO LITTLE TIME”: ENHANCING

... CLS-PRES-PortComm-ccWP-2011-11.001.1 ...
Regional commitments under the United Nations Framework
Regional commitments under the United Nations Framework

... and sea level rise. c) Develop an integral management and planning framework for cost-effective response and adaptation to the impacts of GCC on coastal and marine areas. d) Enhance regional and national capabilities for preparing for the advent of GCC through institutional strengthening and human r ...
Maldives president Mohammed Nasheed demands action on
Maldives president Mohammed Nasheed demands action on

... The conference began as Tony Blair, the former Prime Minister, published a report saying that most of the technologies to tackle climate change already existed, but that they still needed to be integrated into the world economy. The document, published with the Climate Group for distribution at this ...
Strengthening Victoria`s Climate Laws
Strengthening Victoria`s Climate Laws

... Be sufficiently robust and flexible to work symbiotically with federal legislation and other instruments that may change over time. ...
Tiger Newsletter Vol. 1 November 21, 2011
Tiger Newsletter Vol. 1 November 21, 2011

... In 1994, seafood may have peaked. According to an analysis of 64 large marine ecosystems, which provide 83 percent of the world's seafood catch, global fishing yields have declined by 10.6 million metric tons since that year. And if that trend is not reversed, total collapse of all world fisheries s ...
Modeling the Health Impacts of Climate Change Overview
Modeling the Health Impacts of Climate Change Overview

... initial state and the driving forces, events, and actions that lead to future conditions – Models that quantify the storyline – Outputs that explore possible future outcomes if assumptions are changed – Consideration of uncertainties ...
Intro-1 EOSC 112 Course Overview [text KKC, pp.]
Intro-1 EOSC 112 Course Overview [text KKC, pp.]

... 50% of an increase in atmos. CO2 will be removed within 30 years, a further 30% within a few centuries, and the remaining 20% may remain in the atmos. for many thousands of years. ...
Regional Modeling. - Advanced Study Program
Regional Modeling. - Advanced Study Program

... “Most GCMs neither incorporate nor provide information on scales smaller than a few hundred kilometers. The effective size or scale of the ecosystem on which climatic impacts actually occur is usually much smaller than this. We are therefore faced with the problem of estimating climate changes on a ...


... contribution of non-Annex I countries to the CO2 emissions in the period 1850 - 2006 to assess their relative contribution to total CO2 emissions. In the period 1980 - 2006 non-Annex I countries represented 44% of the total but this contribution increased in the period 1990 - 2006 to 48%. If we extr ...
Meeting Time/Place - Penn State Meteorology
Meeting Time/Place - Penn State Meteorology

... In order to under and model the climate system, we need to understand the dynamics of the underlying components, including the atmosphere and ocean, and the mechanisms by which they are coupled. In this course, we will model the dynamics and thermodynamics governing the ocean and atmosphere on spati ...
Earth climate identification vs. anthropic global warming
Earth climate identification vs. anthropic global warming

... a measurement noise). The mutual ratio between the cyclical and the LF components is extremely variable, depending not only on the nature of the signals (associated to mechanisms 1 to 5 above), but also on the given reconstructions of a same signal, in particular the TSI. The cyclic components of al ...
Speech by
Speech by

... York. Indeed, the problem is worse today than ever before. Global emissions continue to rise at an unprecedented rate and show no sign of abating. With this in mind, around one year ago and on the 20 th anniversary of his Death of a Nation speech, President Gayoom decided to use a speech to the Roya ...


... n recent years, heavy rainfalls have occasionally brought several days of standing water to some of the driveways, yards, swales, and roads in the Nags Head Acres subdivision in Nags Head, Dare County, North Carolina. As a result, specific street sections have become temporarily impassable. In most ...
Cumulative carbon and its implications: the case for mandatory sequestration Myles Allen
Cumulative carbon and its implications: the case for mandatory sequestration Myles Allen

... – “About half the carbon we dump in the atmosphere is taken up by the oceans and biosphere, so if we reduce emissions by 50%, concentrations will stop rising.” Right? – Sadly, wrong. ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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