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Even the Himalayas Have Stopped Smiling
Even the Himalayas Have Stopped Smiling

... resulting in the creation of glacial lakes and the threat of catastrophic Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs). Lake Imja Tsho is a remarkable example of a glacier lake that was nonexistent in 1960 and now covers nearly one square km. The Imja glacier that feeds the lake has retreated 75m between 20 ...
2 Stakeholders
2 Stakeholders

... for years 2001-2010. Additionally the different components of the carbon cycle can be described (e.g. the monthly gross primary production, in figure 1). Due to large uncertainties in carbon dioxide estimates the results should also be used by comparing to estimates using other methods (e.g. annual ...
Summary Sheet - Ontario Centre for Climate Impacts and Adaptation
Summary Sheet - Ontario Centre for Climate Impacts and Adaptation

... storms and droughts), increases in illness an deaths due to poor air quality, food- and water-borne illnesses and the expansion of vector-borne and zoonotic diseases. Vulnerability to the health risks associated with climate change are influenced by exposure to the hazards, sensitivity to the effect ...
From Ice Age to Nice Age Why?
From Ice Age to Nice Age Why?

... Nation's Kyoto Accord of 1997, hoping to reduce global warming by reducing greenhouse gas emissions However, the projected catastrophic temperatures that the UN’s climate panel—the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted have not happened. In fact, there was a natural slow-down an ...
The Futile Quest for Climate Control
The Futile Quest for Climate Control

... in Nature by Mann, Bradley and Hughes, which was used extensively in the IPCC 3rd Assessment Report but discarded from the 4th. An earlier problem of the same type surfaced during the preparation of the 2nd Assessment Report, when a reviewer of part of the draft requested that he be supplied with so ...
Climate change impact – A novel, initiative for Kerala
Climate change impact – A novel, initiative for Kerala

... and social challenge of our time” Earth’s Climate is undergoing noteworthy natural changes for centuries. However the variations in the last couple of centuries cannot be explained by natural climatic variations alone. Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had observed that this is due t ...
Geographies of Race and Food
Geographies of Race and Food

... U.S. Gulf States in August 2005. It remains debatable whether the intensity of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season was exacerbated by human–induced ocean warming. Yet, Katrina also made it clear that in the world’s wealthiest nation, race is a key variable in determining who is most exposed to the im ...
Nitrous oxide could be removed from the atmosphere with
Nitrous oxide could be removed from the atmosphere with

... and polluting effects of N2O emissions. Greenhouse gases (GHGs) produced from human activities, such as burning fossil fuels, are contributing to climate change and rising global temperatures. To limit damage from climate change, global GHG emissions must be reduced. The primary international focus ...
Meeting report - Adaptation Futures 2016
Meeting report - Adaptation Futures 2016

Earth Radiation Management
Earth Radiation Management

... increase outgoing long wave radiation, cool the Earth surface and at the same time progressively provide humans with all their energy needs and de-carbonize the energy sector. Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) or Carbon Geoengineering CDR techniques aim to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, direc ...
CLIMATE SIMULATIONS OF STORM SURGES AND WIND WAVES
CLIMATE SIMULATIONS OF STORM SURGES AND WIND WAVES

... are located in the Northern Adriatic Sea and in the Gulf of Gabes, where high SSI values are explained by the presence of a relatively long wind fetch over shallow water (the effect of the wind is proportional to the inverse of the water depth). Other four local maxima are present in figure 2. Two o ...
Introduction to Taiwan Climate Change Projection and
Introduction to Taiwan Climate Change Projection and

... TCCIP research Teams ...
IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change - Cap-Net
IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change - Cap-Net

... required by water managers)  Collaboration/communication between climate and water resources management community  Adaptive management: adaptive and flexible approaches to improve coping with uncertain ...
Region Case Profile of Future Conflict and
Region Case Profile of Future Conflict and

... You will find a map of the regions below and brief descriptions of the profiles as I see them (from my book, Table III-9). There is also a map of the world’s regions. The table should serve as a guide, not as an authoritative source, to the characteristics of places you might consider. Much of this ...
Land Cover and Land Use Changes and their Impacts on
Land Cover and Land Use Changes and their Impacts on

... Rost et al (2008) studied the impact of the change in evaporation due to land cover change and showed that the change in land use has reduced the evaporation by 3% and increased river flow by 5%. However, this study did not include the feedbacks from the land to the weather. For that a 3-dimensional ...
tourism and climate change
tourism and climate change

... Maldives contributes less than  0.001% to GHG emissions ...
needs of developing countries
needs of developing countries

... • Oil producing countries: fear the adverse effects of response measures • ALBA countries: fear that a solution based on capitalist principles will not translate into a solution m ...
26 K - arcus
26 K - arcus

... • Describe how the proposed research will significantly enhance the understanding of each of the following: (1) the major processes that regulate the distribution and abundance of upper trophic level organisms, with an emphasis on commercial/subsistence fish species; (2) quantitative changes of thes ...
Modelling regional responses by marine pelagic ecosystems to
Modelling regional responses by marine pelagic ecosystems to

... suggesting that the boundaries of the subtropical biomes for nitrogen fixers have altered on the centennial time-scale. Sensitivity studies show that the elevated nitrogen fixation is due mostly to changes in physics, not subsurface nutrients, consistent with observations that the diazotrophs are li ...
The Energy-Climate Literacy Imperative: Why Energy Education
The Energy-Climate Literacy Imperative: Why Energy Education

Speech of - Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development
Speech of - Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development

... It has been observed that natural hazards by themselves may not necessarily cause disasters; it is the combination of an exposed, vulnerable and ill-prepared population or community with a hazard event that results in a disaster. Therefore, there is a pressing need for vulnerable economies to fully ...
Talk 3 - Climate science in support of sustainable agriculture
Talk 3 - Climate science in support of sustainable agriculture

... historically resulted in major food emergencies • Investment in early control and detection system will be key to avoid the higher costs of eradication and management • Monitoring pest and disease incidence and establishment of new thresholds should seek support of climate services ...
Lecture8 EU climate change
Lecture8 EU climate change

... • What is the sustainable level of emissions? • Scientific consensus on global warming – Climate is warming – The cause, with high probability, is GHGs – These emissions are in large part due to human behaviour, including fossil fuel consumption – IIEA Occasional Paper on science of climate change – ...
Governance and Management ClIMATE ChAnGE bRIEFInG pApER
Governance and Management ClIMATE ChAnGE bRIEFInG pApER

... By now the science and economics of climate change will be familiar to most. In 2007, the pre-eminent scientific authority on climate change, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published its Fourth Assessment report. This concluded that warming of the climate system is taking plac ...
The Futile Quest for Climate Control
The Futile Quest for Climate Control

... testing by many different scientists. The hypothesis of the IPCC was, and remains, that human greenhouse gas emissions (especially of carbon dioxide) are causing dangerous global warming. The IPCC concentrates its analyses of climate change on only the last few hundred years, and has repeatedly fail ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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