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... The atmosphere both forces and responds to the el nino cycle. Normal sst patterns: atmospheric forcing of sst is accomplished through easterly trade winds cooling the central and eastern equatorial pacific. Atmosphere responds to warm western pacific water by the occurrence of strong thunderstorms i ...
Carbon cycle dynamics - PAGES
Carbon cycle dynamics - PAGES

... the trapping of heat in the atmosphere, leading to global climate change. As climate changes, it has consequences for the carbon cycle. The rates of many biogeochemical processes, such as photosynthesis, respiration, nitrogen cycling and wildfire increase in warmer conditions (Field et al. 2007). Th ...
1 At the conclusion of the twenty-first session of the Conference of
1 At the conclusion of the twenty-first session of the Conference of

... Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP 21), held from 30 November – 11 December 2015 in Paris, Member States adopted the Paris Agreement, a historic commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change globally. This document provides an overview of the UN system’s co ...
CMIP5 based climate change projections for India: its
CMIP5 based climate change projections for India: its

... MOTIVATION & OBJECTIVES • Availability of RCP scenarios replacing the 15 year old SRES scenarios. • By May 2012, temp and precipitation data was available from 18 CMIP5 ESMs. • CMIP5 ESMs are available on better resolution (12.8°) than the previous CMIP3 models • Goal was to have a first cut assess ...
Carse of Gowrie Climate Change Panel Briefing pack
Carse of Gowrie Climate Change Panel Briefing pack

... Scotland became 20% wetter, with an increase of almost 70% in precipitation in northern Scotland. Heavy rainfall events have increased significantly in winter, particularly in northern and western regions. ...
Increasing impact of oestrogen pollution through climate change
Increasing impact of oestrogen pollution through climate change

... deposition, etc. There, they can persist for years and bioaccumulate up the food chain. Exposure to these chemicals can disrupt several bodily systems, leading to changes in a number of wildlife species. For example, the presence of both male and female characteristics within the same fish (intersex ...
Financing Adaptation through the Global Environment Facility
Financing Adaptation through the Global Environment Facility

... urgent and concrete steps towards reducing absolute losses and vulnerability from negative effects of climate change (including variability).  The UNFCCC Secretariat defines adaptation as “practical steps that are vital to protect countries and communities from the likely disruption and damage that ...
TeachingEnglish | Lesson plans Climate Change
TeachingEnglish | Lesson plans Climate Change

... Worksheet B – How green are you? Do the following quiz to find out how ‘green’ you are. Check the answers with your teacher afterwards. One point for every correct answer. 1) You are busy in your house tidying up going from room to room spending 5 to 10 minutes in each. Which is the best way to save ...
Natural or Unnatural Disasters: the Relative Vulnerabilities of Southeast Asian megacities to Climate Change
Natural or Unnatural Disasters: the Relative Vulnerabilities of Southeast Asian megacities to Climate Change

... achieving peak emissions as soon as possible (but no later than 2015) and maintain at least 3% global emissions cuts annually thereafter. If we want to avoid additional irreversible consequences and even more costs then we need to dramatically reduce CO2-eq concentrations to reach less than 350 ppm ...
The AMS Education Program - Geological Society of America
The AMS Education Program - Geological Society of America

... year to report back the results of their work ...
Climate Change: Adaptation for Queensland, Issues Paper
Climate Change: Adaptation for Queensland, Issues Paper

... promote social justice and exists to provide a voice for Queenslanders affected by poverty and inequality. We act as a State-wide Council that leads on issues of significance to the social, community and health sectors. We work for a Fair Queensland and develop and advocate socially, economically an ...
United Nations Environmental Program UNEP
United Nations Environmental Program UNEP

... II. Key Concepts and Definitions………………………………………………………………………………………………………………6 ...
Financing Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Africa
Financing Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Africa

... Clim-Dev Africa Special Fund A joint initiative between AfDB, AUC and UNECA under the ClimDev-Africa programme.  CDSF is a multi-donor Fund of $135 million between 2010 and 2012, to finance ClimDevAfrica activities  The Fund is approved by AfDB in May 2010  The launching ceremony of the ClimDev- ...
Environment, Politics and Development Working Paper Series
Environment, Politics and Development Working Paper Series

... reorientations of patterns of interactions and power relationships‖. In spite of the difficulties, the overwhelming global consequences insinuated by climate change provide at least an opening line to focus on transformative political action and revitalize the idealist tradition. This reviving is me ...
Climate Change
Climate Change

... be the most important challenge humanity has ever faced but together we all are part of the solution, climate change web unep org - world must urgently up action to cut a further 25 from predicted 2030 emissions read more, what is climate change nasa - to learn about climate change you first must kn ...
Effects of Human Activity on Natural Change
Effects of Human Activity on Natural Change

... The structure of a forest can change based upon natural and human events. Fires are a natural component of a forest’s life. These fires can allow for forest regeneration. This regeneration can affect producers and consumers as the biodiversity changes and shifts in a region where fires have occurred ...
Animal Agriculture and Climate Change in Michigan
Animal Agriculture and Climate Change in Michigan

... climate. However, the weather that shapes agricultural production is changing along with climatic conditions. Examples of this in the Midwest include increases in average day- and nighttime temperatures, changes in the timing and intensity of rainfall, an increase in the number of flooding events, a ...
Yes, He Can: President Obama`s Power to Enter a Legally Binding
Yes, He Can: President Obama`s Power to Enter a Legally Binding

... change. It directs that United States climate policy should “identify technologies and activities to limit mankind’s adverse effect on the global climate,” by “slowing the rate of increase of concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere in the near term” and “stabilizing or reducing” those c ...
misconceptions: barriers to improved climate literacy
misconceptions: barriers to improved climate literacy

... Eurasian landmass (the Siberian High); a less pronounced area of high pressure can be found over western Canada. These major winter season centers of action are missing from July maps of mean surface pressure. The three-cell model also suggests the importance of meridional flow, but observations cle ...
Global Warming - Regents Earth Science Mr. Paris Pace High School
Global Warming - Regents Earth Science Mr. Paris Pace High School

... The low latitudes will suffer the most negative impact while the higher latitudes should experience an increase in productivity. The range of current crops will move ...
Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) (David Goodrich, GCOS
Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) (David Goodrich, GCOS

... Outline  GCOS Overview ...
Global perceptions of local temperature change
Global perceptions of local temperature change

... generally become more likely and abnormally cold weather will generally become less likely as average global temperatures rise9 . Although average temperatures have risen significantly across much of the world in recent decades10 , it may be difficult for people to directly perceive these long-term ...
Climate change scenarios for impact assessment in Cuba
Climate change scenarios for impact assessment in Cuba

... A common characteristic of the HADCM2derived climate scenario under the IS92a assumptions is an increase of temperature and a reduction of rainfall in the annual values. The largest increase of temperature is observed in the eastern half of Cuba (Boxes 2 and 3), while the more important reduction of ...
The Annual Cycle of Atmospheric Energy Transfer
The Annual Cycle of Atmospheric Energy Transfer

... longwave radiation (OLR) at TOA. Secondly, there is a separate accounting for the energy fluxes at the surface, and the difference is what goes on in the atmosphere. Measurements from satellite of albedo determine the reflected solar radiation and constrain the sum of the solar energy absorbed by at ...
Partnering with non-state actors for climate change adaptation
Partnering with non-state actors for climate change adaptation

... ensuring value protection, promoting investments in low-risk sectors and sites, adopting solutions for risk-exposed sectors, including new financial products incentivising autonomous adaptation (UNEP-FI 2015 and EBRD SEI 2015). However overall, non-state actors' (and particularly business and the fi ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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