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Agroforestry from Mediterranean Partner Countries: Report on
Agroforestry from Mediterranean Partner Countries: Report on

... Current predictions suggest that the Mediterranean region is likely to be significantly impacted by climate change (Tanasijevic et al., 2014). The projections suggest that these changes are likely to have detrimental impacts on ecosystems and agricultural production across the Mediterranean basin. N ...
NO REASON TO WAIT: REDUCING GREENHOUSE GAS
NO REASON TO WAIT: REDUCING GREENHOUSE GAS

... have the strongest and most successful domestic environmental laws in the world, and no modification of these laws is necessary to use them to address greenhouse gas emissions. Foremost among these laws is the Clean Air Act, which has a proven track record of effectively and efficiently reducing air ...
Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context of Sustainable
Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context of Sustainable

... reducing vulnerability, particularly for the most vulnerable regions, nations, and socioeconomic groups. Activities required for the enhancement of adaptive capacity are essentially equivalent to those promoting sustainable development. Climate adaptation and equity goals can be jointly pursued by i ...
- Wiley Online Library
- Wiley Online Library

... thermospheric cooling seems to have begun soon after the time at which the ENSO index trend switched to positive values, in the late 1970s. The ensuing linear cooling trend in thermospheric temperature seems to correspond to the slow long-term relaxation of the ENSO index (we later question the caus ...
challenges and expectations in implementing reduce emissions
challenges and expectations in implementing reduce emissions

... PNG’s participation in the international carbon market for REDD will be dependent on successfully addressing a number of issues, in particular ensuring reduced deforestation and degradation activities will be compatible with future internationally recognized carbon trading systems. The full details ...
7 Managing the Risks: International Level and Integration across Scales
7 Managing the Risks: International Level and Integration across Scales

... institutions with different mandates and scope and objectives, and with varying strengths and capacities (high confidence). Up to the present this fact has made the integration of disaster risk management and climate change adaptation difficult to achieve (medium confidence). [7.3] The evolution of ...
Understanding pUblic perception of climate change in
Understanding pUblic perception of climate change in

... Cambodia is one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change, both in Asia and globally. Climate variability and extreme are projected to increase in duration, frequency and intensity. Higher temperature, rising sea level, changing rainfall patterns and increasing seriousness of extreme weathe ...
Arctic oscillation response to the 1991 Pinatubo
Arctic oscillation response to the 1991 Pinatubo

... Received 19 April 2003; revised 1 December 2003; accepted 24 December 2003; published 14 February 2004. ...
COUNCIL OF Brussels, 16 April 2013 THE EUROPEAN UNION
COUNCIL OF Brussels, 16 April 2013 THE EUROPEAN UNION

... Impacts on animal and plant health are mainly characterised by changes in the occurrence, incidence, pattern of spread and geographical distribution of diseases and pests that are influenced by climate change, as well as emerging animal and plant pathogens. Those impacts may also have a detrimental ...
PRECIS – The Hadley Centre Regional Climate Modelling system
PRECIS – The Hadley Centre Regional Climate Modelling system

... PRECIS will be supplied on two DVD-ROMs. These DVD-ROMs will include: • Executables and source of the PRECIS RCM and control code; • Three years of data for RCM boundary conditions; • Software to set up, control and monitor the PRECIS RCM; • Software to automatically archive data produced by PRECIS; ...
Modeling of Ecological Processes
Modeling of Ecological Processes

... among the sky islands, highest for the northern sky islands vs southern This suggested that the landscape of the northern sky islands is responding strongly to interannual changes in climate and/or disturbance The observed high COV values for all of the sky Islands are located in Higher elevation ...
A Region Responds to a Changing Climate
A Region Responds to a Changing Climate

... has worked over the past two years to develop this plan with an initial five-year horizon. The plan is a critical milestone of the Compact, entered into by Palm Beach, Broward, Miami-Dade, and Monroe Counties in January 2010. Much of the Compact’s work up to this point has served to unite, organize, ...
Scenario Studies as a Synthetic and Integrative Research Activity for Articles
Scenario Studies as a Synthetic and Integrative Research Activity for Articles

... In many large science- and environmental-assessment programs, scenarios have been used to describe and underpin analyses of alternative futures. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) emission scenarios (Naki enovi and Swart 2000) and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment’s scenarios ( ...
Observed 20th Century Desert Dust Variability: Impact on Climate
Observed 20th Century Desert Dust Variability: Impact on Climate

... and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet Divide deep drilling sites, we used continuous measurements of the rare earth element Cerium (Ce) (McConnell and Edwards, 2008) in shallow ice cores to develop detailed records of continental dust concentration and flux. Ce is an ideal tracer because it derives almos ...
Curriculum Vitae - Population Health Sciences
Curriculum Vitae - Population Health Sciences

... Patz, JA and S. H. Olson. "Climate change, Oceans and Human Health" Oceanography 2006 19 (2): 5259. http://dx.doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2006.64. Vittor*, AY, Gilman RH, Tielsch J, Glass GE, Shields TM, Sanchez-Lozano W, Pinedo VV, Patz JA (Corresponding Author). The effects of deforestation on the hum ...
Europe
Europe

... European sub-regions (high confidence), but the provision of cultural services is projected to decline in the Continental, Northern, and Southern sub-regions (low confidence). {Box 23-1} Climate change is expected to impede economic activity in Southern Europe more than in other sub-regions (medium ...
Omitted Damages What`s Missing from the Social Cost of Carbon.indd
Omitted Damages What`s Missing from the Social Cost of Carbon.indd

... aesthetic services), and non-use value (including existence, bequest, option, and altruistic values). Another way to subdivide non-market damages is into tangible damages, which by definition can be valued, and intangible damages, which by definition are extremely difficult to value given current method ...
The Resolution Dependence of Contiguous U.S. Precipitation
The Resolution Dependence of Contiguous U.S. Precipitation

... of precipitation rates during extreme events of approximately 3%–4% K21. However, projected regional patterns of changes in extremes are dependent on model resolution. For example, the highest-resolution models show increased precipitation rates during extreme events in the hurricane season in the U ...
English - Global Environment Facility
English - Global Environment Facility

... observed increase in global average temperatures due to the increase in anthropogenic GHG concentrations since mid-20th century. In addition, the report emphasized the urgency of actions to avoid irreversible damage to human communities, development sectors and ecosystems based on the scientific con ...
A simple carbon cycle representation for
A simple carbon cycle representation for

... not produce inaccurate behavior that can affect damage estimates. Many simple IAMs use a linearized representation of ocean carbon uptake (for review, see Hof et al, 2012; van Vuuren et al, 2011), but linearized representations cannot fully reproduce the ocean response to increased atmospheric CO2 : ...
PDF
PDF

... Abstract: The global land use implications of biofuel expansion have received considerable attention in the literature over the past decade. Model-based estimates of the emissions from cropland expansion have been used to assess the environmental impacts of biofuel policies. And integrated assessmen ...
The EU Climate Change Strategy under the Lens of Multi
The EU Climate Change Strategy under the Lens of Multi

... The 2007 Nobel peace prize co-laureate United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that climate change is preponderantly attributable to human activity. Principally due to inefficient production processes, high levels of consumption, population growth and movement, economic de ...
a chapter for the Handbook of Macroeconomics
a chapter for the Handbook of Macroeconomics

... and thus causes warming not just where the emission occurs. In two ways, climate change makes contact with the broader area of sustainability: it involves two stocks that are important for humans and that are affected by human activity. The first stock is the carbon concentration in the atmosphere. ...
Small Island Developing States (SIDS)
Small Island Developing States (SIDS)

... GROUNDWATER is an essential part of the hydrological cycle and is a valuable natural resource providing a primary source of water for agriculture, domestic, and industrial uses throughout the world. Nearly half of all drinking water in the world1 and about 43% of all water effectively consumed in ir ...
Low Emissions Diet
Low Emissions Diet

... For some of the comparisons found in this section, we have considered greenhouse gas emissions intensity, which represents the amount of carbon dioxide-equivalent (“CO2-e”) greenhouse gases produced per unit of end product or nutrient, measured by weight. In respect of animal-based figures from the ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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