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Adaptive variation
Adaptive variation

... Clear definition of phyiological roles of these SNPs is a long way ...
User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and
User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and

... Encourage assessments of the built and natural environment to find and quantify vulnerabilities …and incorporate updated criteria into ...
Agriculture in the Midwest
Agriculture in the Midwest

... Changes in CO2, temperature, and precipitation will impact agriculture in the Midwest. For plant types that respond well to CO2 enrichment, (C3 plants), CO2 may exert a positive influence on growth until temperatures warm more significantly. The positive effect on grain yield, however, has not been ...
CombinedFacultyMeeting - Department of Geological
CombinedFacultyMeeting - Department of Geological

... with lead times of two weeks to multi-decadal for use in decision-making. A major component of the nation’s food supply and renewable fuel supply is vulnerable to both natural cycles of climate and changes due to increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases. Failure to anticipate major floods and droug ...
Introduction - San Jose State University
Introduction - San Jose State University

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Three Whales on Whom the World Rests: God, Creation and
Three Whales on Whom the World Rests: God, Creation and

... point toward solar radiation increases from cyclical sunspot activity affecting global warming, and climate may be influenced by the sum of all effects. Greenhouse Gases and anthropological warming The major GHG (Greenhouse Gases) are about 7600 ppm for water vapour, 390 ppm for CO2, and 1780 ppb for ...
- Europa.eu
- Europa.eu

... • Keep it simple: Only when working for 3 years it can be made more sophisticated [also important for management to understand that this takes time] • Improve rather than replace existing systems and data sources ...
Item 9 - Climate Change and Planning for Unpredictable Weather
Item 9 - Climate Change and Planning for Unpredictable Weather

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On the Risk of Overshooting 2°C - Potsdam Institute for Climate
On the Risk of Overshooting 2°C - Potsdam Institute for Climate

... number of occasions, including as recently as December 20041. However, reviews of the scientific literature on climate impacts largely conclude that a temperature increase of 2°C above pre-industrial levels can not be regarded as ‘safe’. For example, the loss of the Greenland ice-sheet may be trigge ...
The Evidence of Climate Change
The Evidence of Climate Change

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Impacts of climatic change on water and associated economic
Impacts of climatic change on water and associated economic

... and to provide climate data at an appropriate resolution for impacts studies, for example. In the original procedure, results from a GCM are used as initial and boundary conditions for regional climate models (RCMs) that operate at much higher resolution and with generally more detailed physical par ...
How Do Polar Marine Ecosystems Respond to Rapid Climate
How Do Polar Marine Ecosystems Respond to Rapid Climate

... reflect top-down effects as many higher Years trophic levels recover from past whale harvests along the WAP (41). The Fig. 1. Changes observed along the WAP over the past 30 years. Annual average air temperatures at Faraday/ changes along the WAP are just one Vernadsky Station (65°15′S, 64°16′W) and ...
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... can involve complex geographic distributions of changes. These geographic distributions vary substantially across global climate models. Consequendy, most impact studies examine multiple climate scenarios. Ricardian models. The Ricardian cross-seaional approach, which has been used to value the cont ...
Climate change impacts on feed grain production and quality in New
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... are short-term events which occur regularly and contribute to climatic fluctuations from year-to-year. We are all familiar with this short-term variability, and farmers are accustomed to coping with it. In contrast, the global climate change that we will discuss is a more gradual shift which is occu ...
Antarctic Climate Change Report Card 2014
Antarctic Climate Change Report Card 2014

... Impact of black carbon and other short-lived climate pollutants A recent report published by the World Bank and the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative (ICCI) has analysed the impact of black carbon and other short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) on Antarctica22. The report, titled On Thin ...
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GLOBAL WARMING

... – World climate has changed significantly over the past century – The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate – Climate models suggest that if current trends continue, global mean surface air temp will increase btwn 1ºC and 4.5ºC by 2100 ...
Submission to inquiry on ‘Climate: public understanding and policy implications’ by the House of Commons Select Committee on Science and Technology (158 kB) (opens in new window)
Submission to inquiry on ‘Climate: public understanding and policy implications’ by the House of Commons Select Committee on Science and Technology (158 kB) (opens in new window)

... Global Warming Swindle’ damaged public understanding of the science of climate change (Downing & Ballantyne, 2007). Following complaints about the programme, Ofcom carried out a year-long inquiry, but failed to investigate whether the programme was inaccurate or misleading on the grounds that the Br ...
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... Chapters 3, 4 and 5 cover the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, for snow, ice and frozen ground, and for the oceans respectively. While observed changes in these components of the climate system are closely inter-related through physical processes, the sep ...
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Indigenous Peoples` Global Summit on Climate Change*

... Coral reefs currently face two major—and growing—threats: Acidification: The oceans are a major carbon sink, absorbing between 30 and 50 percent of all human-created CO2 emissions. Scientists project that the pH of the ocean will drop from 8.2 (its pre-industrial level) to 7.8, by the next century. ...
The changing environment and human activities: implications for
The changing environment and human activities: implications for

... are operating. The weekly trust (march, 2014) reported that currently 97 % of world scientists have agreed that climate change is indeed a threat to human existence as evident in continuous loss of vegetation cover, increase in global warming with its attendant health ties such as industrial activit ...
here - Climate Realists
here - Climate Realists

... I have spent a lifetime on scientific research. My father was a working class intellectual, eager for knowledge. He took me to all the London museums and I remember a visit to the Royal Albert Hall to see the Exhibition which celebrated the discovery of Electromagnetic Induction by Michael Faraday. ...
The ecological and economic consequences of Global Climate
The ecological and economic consequences of Global Climate

... risks and the costs of GCC. As a consequence, it is still hotly debated whether climate will really change so badly, whether it is worthwhile to take action in the face of uncertainty and who is going to pay the costs - or enjoy the benefits - of either reducing GHG emissions (mitigation) or minimiz ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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