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Impacts of global environmental change on future health and health
Impacts of global environmental change on future health and health

... populations. These modelling studies, for standard climate change scenarios, have forecast that the potential geographic range for malaria transmission would expand over the coming century. Approximately 45% of the world's population currently live in climatically-defined zones of potential malaria ...
JET STREAMS + CLIMATE CHANGE
JET STREAMS + CLIMATE CHANGE

... How  could  global  warming  be  causing  these  jet  stream  changes? Reduced  temperature  difference  between  the  Equator  and  poles: -­‐ The  en;re  globe  is  warming,  but  Arc;c  temperatures  are  warming  at  a  faster  rate  th ...
This quantity of carbonic acid, which is supplied to
This quantity of carbonic acid, which is supplied to

... • Climate effects of land-surface change – “The movements of the air and the waters, the extent of the seas, the elevation and the form of the surface, the effects of human industry and all the accidental changes to the terrestrial surface modify the temperatures in each climate.” Fourier (1827) ...
Finding your place on the science – advocacy continuum
Finding your place on the science – advocacy continuum

... 1988, then the warmest, driest summer in recorded U.S. history (Schneider, 1989). As in many other publications and presentations, Schneider suggested scientists faced a “double ethical bind” whenever speaking with the media. He argued that each scientist must find a balance, between being "honest" ...
Climate change impacts in Greece in the near future
Climate change impacts in Greece in the near future

... Agriculture An extensive analysis of climatic parameters associated with agricultural and water demand needs, such as mean precipitation and drought duration are presented for the most important agricultural areas in Greece, which are shown in Table 3 below. Changes in the number of wet and dry spe ...
Earths Shifting Climate Teacher Guide without NASA logo 7/28/13
Earths Shifting Climate Teacher Guide without NASA logo 7/28/13

... D.1.10.Global patterns of atmospheric movement influence local weather. Oceans have a major effect on climate, because water in the oceans holds a large amount of heat. NSES.D.2.1.The earth processes we see today, including erosion, movement of lithospheric plates, and changes in atmospheric composi ...
Development of agricultural systems and climate smart agriculture in developing countries - Workshop FAO, ICROFS, CCAFS
Development of agricultural systems and climate smart agriculture in developing countries - Workshop FAO, ICROFS, CCAFS

... This document elaborates on issues of less-than-perfect information on climate impacts and vulnerabilities, and need for better informed decisions on "resilient adaptation" by merging adaptation, mitigation and prevention strategies. It offers new perspectives for policy-makers, institutions, societ ...
Climate Change Processes ATM 494/694 and GEOG 494/694 (4 credits)
Climate Change Processes ATM 494/694 and GEOG 494/694 (4 credits)

... Students who are successful in this class will learn these things:  The climate history of Earth as we now understand it, with particular emphasis on the last 2 million years.  They will gain a basic understanding of how the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and biosphere interacted in the course of ...
A Rocha Eco-Congregation (USA) module 13
A Rocha Eco-Congregation (USA) module 13

... conclude that we are undergoing global warming, caused by the release of carbon into the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels - carbon dioxide, from oil, coal and gas; ‘carbon black’ from burning oil, diesel and coal. The evidence is as follows: 1. “Global-average CO2 concentrations have been observ ...
Climate Change Effects on Sri Lankan Paddy Yield
Climate Change Effects on Sri Lankan Paddy Yield

... change on plants in natural and agricultural ecosystems. – does not change the DNA of the host in this case, the rice plant. – a naturally occurring phenomenon is recreated by colonising the fungi into the rice plants to confer stress tolerance. – rice yields projected to decrease by 15 per cent in ...
Climate Change: Implications for Transport
Climate Change: Implications for Transport

... Rising temperatures: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) concludes that climate change is unequivocal, and that human activities, particularly emissions of carbon dioxide, are very likely to be the dominant cause. Changes are observed in all geographica ...
natural resource use and adaptation to climate
natural resource use and adaptation to climate

... Felix Olorunfemi (NISER), Mayowa Fasona (UNILAG), Grace Oloukoi (LCU), Peter Elias (UNILAG), Vide Adedayo (UNILAG) ...
GEF factsheets english
GEF factsheets english

... to become even more severe in coming years. This will have environmental, social and economic consequences. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol, which represent the milestones of the global policy response to climate change, are based on two pill ...
The Anthropocene: Are Humans Now Overwhelming the Great
The Anthropocene: Are Humans Now Overwhelming the Great

... 50-fold, and energy use about 40-fold (27). It also opened an era of intensified and ever-mounting human influence upon the Earth System. Fossil fuels and their associated technologies—steam engines, internal combustion engines—made many new activities possible and old ones more efficient. For examp ...
Climate change and mountain ecosystems Martin F. Price and John
Climate change and mountain ecosystems Martin F. Price and John

... temperature rises, there may be—at least for some decades—places where average temperatures will stay the same, or even decrease. In addition, it is very unclear how the projected increase in average global temperature would affect patterns of rainfall, snowfall, and soil moisture (Mitchell et al. 1 ...
North African Coastal Cities Embrace a Climate
North African Coastal Cities Embrace a Climate

... Yves Ennesser, Program Leader of Egis International, discussed the best approaches for infrastructure improvements. The urban risks assessments contained in the studies show the specific risks that will materialize over the next two decades, detailing the ways that climate change could increase the ...
2NC Impact Calc
2NC Impact Calc

... scientific basis, that fallout from a nuclear war would not kill all life on earth. Surprisingly, few of my correspondents are convinced. They prefer apocalyptic myths created by pop scientists, movie producers and journalists. If Dr. Carl Sagan once said “nuclear winter” would follow a nuclear war, ...
Some thoughts on a strategy for adaptation to
Some thoughts on a strategy for adaptation to

... --the choice of which climate change scenario to use as the basis for making decisions: certainly beyond mid-century, the differences in outcomes between the various SRES scenarios and the effects of the degree of pursued mitigation will start to influence the outcome for many climate change variabl ...
01_COPES_in_Poznan
01_COPES_in_Poznan

... Systematic re-processing and coordinated reanalysis of all available observations acquired from various satellite sensors and other data sources since several decades • Would be complementary to model re-analyses in order to define “present climate” • Would serve as a benchmark to validate climate m ...
Integrating Indigenous Knowledge Systems into Climate Change
Integrating Indigenous Knowledge Systems into Climate Change

... closer to God and the ancestors. Not everyone has these seemingly spiritual skills to effectively forecast climate change. The most widely relied-upon indicators are the timing, intensity and duration of cold temperatures during the early part of the dry season, timing of fruiting by certain local t ...
Document
Document

... The potential risks of global warming have been addressed in detail in the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC which draws a comprehensive picture of the physical condi tions, the magnitude and likelihood of impacts and the possible strategies for mitigating and adapting to climate change. Fo ...
NOTICE: This is an open access article distributed under the
NOTICE: This is an open access article distributed under the

... abundance under the three general circulation model scenarios in more northern regions of North America. Conversely, model output predicted that the range of this crop pest could contract in regions where climate conditions became limiting. ...
Annex 5: Changes to the Atlantic Ocean circulation (Gulf Stream)
Annex 5: Changes to the Atlantic Ocean circulation (Gulf Stream)

... (by around 20% in both summer and winter, averaged over Western Europe as a whole), but that in winter over high ground more precipitation could fall as snow. The MOC also affects regional sea level by redistributing water within the global ocean (without any change in the global average sea level); ...
Why Hasn`t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?
Why Hasn`t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?

... The observed increase in global mean surface temperature (GMST) over the industrial era is less than 40% of that expected from observed increases in long-lived greenhouse gases together with the best-estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity given by the 2007 Assessment Report of the Intergovernmenta ...
Earth, Climate, and Change: Observing Human Impact
Earth, Climate, and Change: Observing Human Impact

... to explore how they can be citizen scientists and engineers in studying climate change and mitigating its negative effects in their own communities. ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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