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Potential Impact of Climate Change on Geographic Distribution of
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Geographic Distribution of

... with plant pathogens. It seems therefore possible to meet any predicted harmful effects. However, in spite of the fact that plant diseases are crucial constrain on plant productivity, the effects of changing weather systems on plant health are difficult to show conclusively. Climate change is likely ...
Hayden,Katy_Coal Impacts on Global Climate
Hayden,Katy_Coal Impacts on Global Climate

... 0.42˚C, still leaving the impact of carbon from coal at a significant level. Second, allowing these levels of carbon to be sequestered into the oceans causes other problems for marine biological ecosystems in turn, such as pH reduction, carbonate dissolution, and the smothering of various living sys ...
World Bank Bangkok Briefing - World Economy and Development
World Bank Bangkok Briefing - World Economy and Development

... approved in September 2007 – Pilot program to begin measuring GHG emissions of the WBG lending portfolio is underway. ...
Possible impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation
Possible impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation

... This model is based on Maier-Reimer and Hasselmann (1987). Its parameters are taken from Hammitt et al. (1992). According to this model, 13 per cent of total emissions remain in the atmosphere indefinitely, while 10 per cent are removed within an average time period of two years. The radiative forci ...
Have disaster losses increased due to anthropogenic climate change?
Have disaster losses increased due to anthropogenic climate change?

... accepted for publication. Since it is being posted so soon after acceptance, it has not yet been copyedited, formatted, or processed by AMS Publications. This preliminary version of the manuscript may be downloaded, distributed, and cited, but please be aware that there will be visual differences an ...
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the

... likely that anthropogenic influences have led to warming of extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures at the global scale’ and that ‘there is medium confidence that anthropogenic influences have contributed to intensification of extreme precipitation at the global scale’. Additionally, Peterson ...
Importance of Weather forecasting for Climate Smart
Importance of Weather forecasting for Climate Smart

...  Climate change impacts are projected to raise global average surface temperature 2.6–4.8oC by 2100.  Climate related impacts are already reducing crop yields in some parts of the world, a trend that is projected to continue as temperatures rise further.  Major impacts are projected on water avai ...
Implications of the response to Climate change for women`s
Implications of the response to Climate change for women`s

... Three-fold commitment (understand gender and climate change issues; adopt tools and method to promote gender equality and reduce gender disparity in climate funding: and measure the outcomes and impact of GCF activities on women’s and men’s resilience to climate change Comprehensive scope and covera ...
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and Importance to Sahel Precipitation
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and Importance to Sahel Precipitation

... predictability of precipitation has been focus of climate studies Shukla et al. (2002) found many regions have strong response to anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) such as El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon West African precipitation suggested to be linked to Gulf of Guinea/Tropical Atlan ...
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Why the
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Why the

... ❐ The IPCC’s First Assessment Report was released in 1990 and confirmed the scientific basis for concern about climate change. This lead to the decision by the UN General Assembly to prepare a UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The Convention entered into force in March 1994. ❐ The ...
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal

... The THC is that part of the large-scale ocean circulation that is assumed to be driven by global density gradients created by surface heat and freshwater fluxes. The term “thermohaline” is derived from “thermo”, referring to temperature, and “haline”, referring to salt content; factors that together ...
More than Meets the Eye: The Social Cost of Carbon in U.S. Climate
More than Meets the Eye: The Social Cost of Carbon in U.S. Climate

... values reflecting other perspectives might include ethics, science, or political feasibility). Thus, they ask: what is the optimal price to change behavior—the rate that would cost the economy no more in reduced productivity than the climate damage it would prevent. Estimates of the Optimal Carbon P ...
Water and Climate in the Pacific Northwest
Water and Climate in the Pacific Northwest

... general circulation models (GCM) suggest a temperature-induced shift from snow to rain and earlier snowmelt5. Similarly, in the Colorado River Basin, future projections in changes in runoff using a more topographically-complex regional climate model (RCM) are dominated by a combination of winter sno ...
A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON CLIMATE CHANGE CAUSING
A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON CLIMATE CHANGE CAUSING

... this study was to highlight the impacts of climate change, on cover value of forest, by using GIS visualization technique through ArcGIS and to ascertain the impacts of climate change in order to forecast the future trends. Materials and Methods Pilot field survey was carried out to highlight the im ...
The Big Questions - Assets - Cambridge
The Big Questions - Assets - Cambridge

... If you live outside the tropical zone, you will come to wonder why it is hotter in summer than in winter, and why the summer/winter temperature range has the value that it does (e.g. 30 ◦ C in Chicago) and why the variation is generally lower over the oceans (e.g. 7 ◦ C in the middle of the Pacific O ...
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the

... likely that anthropogenic influences have led to warming of extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures at the global scale’ and that ‘there is medium confidence that anthropogenic influences have contributed to intensification of extreme precipitation at the global scale’. Additionally, Peterson ...
SWAN_workshop_fullppt_081111
SWAN_workshop_fullppt_081111

... [See also ppt entitled “Understanding the Science of Climate Change: Climate drivers and climate effects”] ...
Melting Ice - World Climate Research Programme
Melting Ice - World Climate Research Programme

... • Continue organization and implementation of MIP activities. • Promote early organization of group papers summarizing results, particularly in light of the IPCC AR6 schedule and planned Special Reports. • Think about an overall synthesis paper on ‘global consequences of melting ice’ – a kind of wra ...
Global Climate Change: Science and Economics
Global Climate Change: Science and Economics

... and future greenhouse gas emissions on the global climate. While considerable uncertainty remains in these models, a broad scientific consensus has formed that the human-induced greenhouse effect poses a significant threat to the global ecosystem. The global average temperature increased by about 0. ...
Is Water Science Meeting Our Needs
Is Water Science Meeting Our Needs

... and organisations providing leadership in the water sector through effective advocacy, collaboration, technical advice and professional development. Our purpose is to promote and enable sustainable management and development of our water environment. Climate change presents both risks and opportunit ...
AgriculturAl reseArch in 21st century: chAllenges fAcing the food
AgriculturAl reseArch in 21st century: chAllenges fAcing the food

... climate change caused by human activity, as opposed to changes in climate that may have resulted as part of Earth’s natural processes (The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://unfccc.int/essential_background/convention/background/items/1349. php, 1994). In this sense, especi ...
2016/03/PR PRESS RELEASE 14 April 2016 IPCC agrees special
2016/03/PR PRESS RELEASE 14 April 2016 IPCC agrees special

... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the world body for assessing the science related to climate change. The IPCC was set up in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly, to ...
Seeing the climate? The problematic status of visual evidence in
Seeing the climate? The problematic status of visual evidence in

... scientific disciplines, the IPCC has constituted the most authoritative scientific voice on the causes, impacts, and effects of climate change (Houghton 2004). When the first assessment report of the IPCC was published in 1990, “an unequivocal statement that anthropogenic climate change had been det ...
Experts for coo ange impacts on Indus
Experts for coo ange impacts on Indus

... Experts for coop to address climate change impacts on Indus MONITORING REPORT ISB: Experts at an international conference have emphasized for greater collaboration between various actors and initiatives to understand and mitigate the impacts of climate change in the Indus River Basin. They also said ...
ENABLING SMALL-SCALE FARMERS
ENABLING SMALL-SCALE FARMERS

... are farming tools, quality seeds and fertilizers, or storage facilities. Man-made assets, such as infrastructure (public roads and bridges, market systems, water supply, and irrigation systems) and producer goods (tools and equipment, seeds, fertilizers, and storage facilities), can help people meet ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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