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OESCHGER, HANS (b. Ottenbach, Zürich, Switzerland, 2 April 1927
OESCHGER, HANS (b. Ottenbach, Zürich, Switzerland, 2 April 1927

CONFRONTING THE CRISIS OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE
CONFRONTING THE CRISIS OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE

... international actors seeking to prevent, react to, and rebuild after mass atrocities. Second, with each successive report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the need to take extraordinary and decisive action addressing the causes and impact of climate change becomes more eviden ...
impact of climate change on the management of district heating
impact of climate change on the management of district heating

... TABLE 1 Impact of different factors on maximum, minimum and diurnal temperature range variations. *Oceans, lakes, groundwater, etc. ...
Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific
Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific

... VANO ET AL. ...
Communicating the Impacts of Potential Future Climate Change on
Communicating the Impacts of Potential Future Climate Change on

... Understanding the interaction of the climate with the built environment is paramount to ensuring resilient communities and mitigating exposure to risk. In their Fourth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) discussed the science behind the warming of the clima ...
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PDF

... A factor common to all adaptation measures is the uncertainty that is the hallmark of climate change. The timing, intensity and location of climate change impacts is not known to any degree of precision. Because most deterministic analyses and policy prescriptions ignore this uncertainty, their reco ...
pdf
pdf

... the uncertainties and extremes (precipitation and population changes) and the potential impact on the socioecological system • Present examples of actions to address climate change adaptation found in plans from other states and locations Part 2. Participant Development of Recommendations: • ...
Bangladesh Experience Mohammad Abdul Qayyum 1
Bangladesh Experience Mohammad Abdul Qayyum 1

Does adaptation to climate change provide food security? A micro-perspective from Ethiopia: Working Paper 19 (334 kB) (opens in new window)
Does adaptation to climate change provide food security? A micro-perspective from Ethiopia: Working Paper 19 (334 kB) (opens in new window)

... rain-fed agriculture, sub-Saharan Africa’s development prospects have been closely associated with climate. For instance, the World Bank reported that droughts and floods have reduced Ethiopia’s economic growth by more than a third. Climate change is projected to further reduce food production (Rose ...
Global trends in extreme precipitation
Global trends in extreme precipitation

... As a result of greenhouse gas (GHG) build-up in the atmosphere, global mean near-surface temperature shows an increasing trend since the beginning of the twentieth century (Angeles et al., 2007; Campbell et al., 2011; Singh, 1997; Solomon et al., 2007; Taylor et al., 2007), with greater increases in ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... respond. This has led to calls for information about the range of possible impacts and the level of certainty in our projections. ...
Hydrological Cycle in the Danube basin in present
Hydrological Cycle in the Danube basin in present

... SRESA1B scenario runs. The basin-scale properties of the hydrological cycle are computed by spatially integrating the precipitation, evaporation, and runoff fields using the Voronoi-Thiessen tessellation formalism. The span of the modelsimulated mean annual water balances is of the same order of mag ...
Manitoba`s Larger Emitters - International Institute for Sustainable
Manitoba`s Larger Emitters - International Institute for Sustainable

Russia`s Role in the Post-2012 Climate Change Policy: Key
Russia`s Role in the Post-2012 Climate Change Policy: Key

... with Kyoto targets without any mitigation measures, as their carbon emissions are still lower than in 1990. The result is that Russia and the Eastern European countries are not subject to any real caps or incentives to reduce their emissions because their caps are calculated from a high base of the ...
Pluralising climate change solutions? Views held and voiced by
Pluralising climate change solutions? Views held and voiced by

... importance of including relevant stakeholders in order to give voice to those affected by decisions, the transnational deliberative democracy models that promote discursive democracy instead speak of open and inclusive discursive space (Stevenson and Dryzek, 2012). One reason for why the emphasis is ...
ICES J. Mar. Sci.-2011-McCay-1354-67
ICES J. Mar. Sci.-2011-McCay-1354-67

... The project addresses two overarching research questions: (i) how climate forcing affects surfclam populations; and (ii) how the socio-economic and regulatory system responds to perceived and documented effects of environmental change. Our focus in this article is on the second question, but also on ...
Framing the flood: a media analysis of themes of resilience in the
Framing the flood: a media analysis of themes of resilience in the

... Still, there has been little critical inquiry into what resilience means in this context and little guidance for individuals, communities and governments regarding behavioral or procedural change that they should adopt as a consequence. For example, one view gaining currency suggests that resilience ...
SUB-COMPONENT STUDY: PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE
SUB-COMPONENT STUDY: PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE

... Both the human and environmental continuums are strongly shaped by the country’s complex topography, as are the vectors (e.g. mosquitoes and sand flies) that contribute to some diseases, like dengue or zika, in various parts of the country. Many diseasecausing vectors require specific meteorological ...
Using the IPCC`s Assessment Report data and climate change
Using the IPCC`s Assessment Report data and climate change

... Virtually certain ...
national latino climate leadership forum
national latino climate leadership forum

... government, and environment—gathered on June 17, 2016, in Washington, D.C., at the National Latino Climate Leadership Forum to focus on one of the most pressing issues facing Latinos today—climate change. We need greater public support and political will if we are going to help put America on a path ...
Craven District Council Climate Change Strategy And Climate Local
Craven District Council Climate Change Strategy And Climate Local

... with the Independent Committee on Climate Change May 2012 report which stated ‘A failure to secure reductions across the areas where local authorities have significant influence would leave emissions above levels required to meet the climate change Bill’. This strategy focuses on how Craven District ...
the bali action plan: key issues in the climate negotiations
the bali action plan: key issues in the climate negotiations

... for developing countries” by Harald Winkler, Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town Mitigation – the reduction of emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) – has been at the heart of the climate negotiations from the outset. As the next round of negotiations focuses on what developing countries ...
CHANGING HOW EARTH SYSTEM MODELING IS DONE TO
CHANGING HOW EARTH SYSTEM MODELING IS DONE TO

... Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Meehl and Bony 2011). This is a very low number of replicates to characterize a distribution in something so dynamically rich as global climate. For example, Deser et al. (2012; see Daron and Stainforth 2013 for another example) est ...
Hope in God`s Future - The Methodist Church in Britain
Hope in God`s Future - The Methodist Church in Britain

... traditions; and seek to discern the implications of this encounter for changed practice. Our report also seeks to reflect our practice as Christians, and is structured to reflect many Christian liturgies. We seek to bring the situation of the church, as part of a world facing threats of climate ch ...
Establishment of an ecosystem transect to address climate change
Establishment of an ecosystem transect to address climate change

... Climate change is expected to be a significant driver of ecosystem change and, given a range of additional anthropogenic impacts (e.g. habitat clearance), evidence-based management is crucial to minimise biodiversity loss during this change. However, whether science can effectively guide biodiversit ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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