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Regional Modeling. - Advanced Study Program
Regional Modeling. - Advanced Study Program

as powerpoint presentation - UGAMP
as powerpoint presentation - UGAMP

... •Development of a large scale crop model that can be combined with GCMs to produce long term forecasts of yields that can be used for planning (HAPPY) ...
Climate v. Weather
Climate v. Weather

... and climate change. • While watching the video, think about the point Stephen Colbert is trying to make at the end of the video and how it might relate to the ideas of weather, climate, and global warming. Click Here for Video Link ...
Global Warming - Michigan Department of Education Technology
Global Warming - Michigan Department of Education Technology

... 3. Explain how shifts in Earth's continents may have caused a change in Earth's climatic regions. ...
Sources of Uncertainty
Sources of Uncertainty

... • UKCIP (the United Kingdom Climate Impacts Programme) is contracted to provide to UK industry a new set of scenarios in 2008. “The UKCIPnext climate change scenarios will be presented … as probability distributions.” They will be available for 25km grid boxes. “Model outputs will include changes in ...
Suryachandra A. Rao NCEP CFS V2.0 Coupled Model Developmental Activities in India
Suryachandra A. Rao NCEP CFS V2.0 Coupled Model Developmental Activities in India

Effect of plants on Climate
Effect of plants on Climate

... land use practices influence regional climate, vegetation, and stream flow patterns in adjacent natural areas. Global Change Biology, 4:495-504. The study utilized climate modeling and other independent data to show that the climate in Rocky Mountain National Park and in surrounding natural areas is ...
racewin - TEMPEST
racewin - TEMPEST

... Start up workpackages WP 1: Critical review of storm track & climate change studies (Lead: Prof David Stephenson) WP1 will undertake a comprehensive and critical review of previously published studies on how European storminess is likely to change due to climate change and any observational trends ...
Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced
Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced

... global and Atlantic meridional oceanic heat transports in the Northern Hemisphere are at realistic 2 PW (1 PW  1015 W) and 0.9 PW, respectively. In the perturbation run (FW), a freshwater flux of 0.1 Sv is spread over the surface North Atlantic between 50°N and 70°N at year 150 of the control run; ...
activity - Éclairs de sciences
activity - Éclairs de sciences

... since the air pressure inside the jar is greater than it is outside. Generally speaking, this is a sign that precipitation is coming. If the needle points above the “0” level, the pressure inside the jar is less than it is outside, which indicates high atmospheric pressure and, in general, the comin ...
Models and scenarios - Nachhaltiges Landmanagement
Models and scenarios - Nachhaltiges Landmanagement

... combine long and short term trends in order to provide activities of the regional projects on modelling and impact assessment with a common set of scenarios for global land use change on a mid term time scale. The scenarios will consider important feedbacks of agricultural markets, climate, economy ...
Lec 18 - Agro Meteorology - Development of e
Lec 18 - Agro Meteorology - Development of e

... monsoon. It consists of series of cyclones that arise in India Ocean. These travel in northeast direction and enter the Peninsular India along its west coast. The most important of these cyclones usually occur from June to September resulting in summer monsoon or southwest monsoon. This is followed ...
Presentation - Copernicus.org
Presentation - Copernicus.org

... and HC 3Q0 – best performing RCM-GCM Combination ...
Effects of systematic biases in the stratosphere on the tropospheric
Effects of systematic biases in the stratosphere on the tropospheric

... CMIP3/IPCC-AR4 is used here as a reference for the climate of the low top climate model. This 100 year data set is referred to as CM31. A new simulation was performed using the high top climate model. This simulation, CM47, was started from an ocean state of the low top CM31 climate simulation and a ...
Climate change and tourism
Climate change and tourism

PPT
PPT

... • Our best estimate of 0.19 W m-2 is much lower than IPCC recommendation of 0.65 (0.25-1.1) W m-2 or the Bond et al. review • IPCC value is from models that greatly overestimate BC in upper troposphere Better understanding of BC scavenging is critical for radiative forcing estimates ...
Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years
Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

... concentrations, aerosol abundance (of sulphate, black carbon and organic carbon, for example), ozone concentrations (tropospheric and stratospheric), land use (for example, deforestation) and solar variability. By averaging simulated temperatures only at locations where corresponding observations ex ...
El Niño Southern Oscillation-Tropical Cyclones/Hurricanes and
El Niño Southern Oscillation-Tropical Cyclones/Hurricanes and

... Three major techniques (referred to as regionalisation techniques) have been developed to produce higher resolution climate scenarios: (1) regional climate modelling; (2) statistical downscaling, and (3) high resolution and variable resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) time-slice ...
Incorporating Extremes into Climate Envelope
Incorporating Extremes into Climate Envelope

... 2 Gleason, K. L., J. H. Lawrimore, D. H. Levinson, T. R. Karl, and D. J. Karoly. 2008. A revised US Climate Extremes Index. Journal of Climate 21 (10):2124–2137. 3 PRISM Climate Group, Oregon State University. Accessed 2011. 2.5-arcmin (4 km) Monthly climate data. http://prism.oregonstate.edu. 4 Kna ...
FAQ 7.1 | How Do Clouds Affect Climate and Climate Change
FAQ 7.1 | How Do Clouds Affect Climate and Climate Change

... Clouds strongly affect the current climate, but observations alone cannot yet tell us how they will affect a future, warmer climate. Comprehensive prediction of changes in cloudiness requires a global climate model. Such models simulate cloud fields that roughly resemble those observed, but importan ...
INTERDYNAMIK thematic workshop on vegetation dynamics
INTERDYNAMIK thematic workshop on vegetation dynamics

... whether the models should be compared to the data at the species, PFT or biome level, but the workshop did not arrive at a conclusive answer. Most DGVMs were developed with the modern climate in mind, and in this context the main question is whether carbon fluxes are represented correctly. For palae ...
Low Rank Language Models for Small Training Sets
Low Rank Language Models for Small Training Sets

... The standard file formats used for interpolating different language models cannot compactly represent the low rank parameter structure of LRLMs. Thus, despite having relatively few free parameters, storing LRLMs in standard formats can result in prohibitively large files when the -gram order or voca ...
Modeling Earth`s Climate - National Science Teachers Association
Modeling Earth`s Climate - National Science Teachers Association

... use a model to change the percent of ice cover or amount of greenhouse gases and correlate these changes to changes in Earth’s temperature. Another feedback loop highlighted in the curriculum is or decrease CO2 amounts in the model and observe how the the effects of cloud cover on Earth’s temperatur ...
Overlooked  Scientific  Issues  in  Assessing ... Greenhouse  Gas  Warming. ()r{~/~A:-1 R.  A.  Pielke
Overlooked Scientific Issues in Assessing ... Greenhouse Gas Warming. ()r{~/~A:-1 R. A. Pielke

... CLONES DUE TO THEm POOR SPATIAL RESOLUTION The horizontal grid spacing of general circulation models is around 400 km. As shown by Pielkel$, as least four grid increments are required to reasonably represent an atmospheric feature, thus this grid resolution \"ould only permit features 1600 km or lar ...
Weather
Weather

... Wright-Patterson AFB) are: 0=none, 300-1000=weak, 1000-2500=moderate, 2500-5300=strong [note that these values are relative to the very large thunderstorms which occur in the Mid-West!]. This parameter only indicates the potential for thunderstorm formation - for thunderstorms to actually form also ...
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Atmospheric model



An atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (clouds and precipitation), heat exchange, soil, vegetation, surface water, the kinematic effects of terrain, and convection. Most atmospheric models are numerical, i.e. they discretize equations of motion. They can predict microscale phenomena such as tornadoes and boundary layer eddies, sub-microscale turbulent flow over buildings, as well as synoptic and global flows. The horizontal domain of a model is either global, covering the entire Earth, or regional (limited-area), covering only part of the Earth. The different types of models run are thermotropic, barotropic, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic. Some of the model types make assumptions about the atmosphere which lengthens the time steps used and increases computational speed.Forecasts are computed using mathematical equations for the physics and dynamics of the atmosphere. These equations are nonlinear and are impossible to solve exactly. Therefore, numerical methods obtain approximate solutions. Different models use different solution methods. Global models often use spectral methods for the horizontal dimensions and finite-difference methods for the vertical dimension, while regional models usually use finite-difference methods in all three dimensions. For specific locations, model output statistics use climate information, output from numerical weather prediction, and current surface weather observations to develop statistical relationships which account for model bias and resolution issues.
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