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Extremes (M. Wehner, LLNL and UC Berkeley)
Extremes (M. Wehner, LLNL and UC Berkeley)

... • Used time dependent GEV statistics. • “Today’s rare hot events become commonplace” ...
nips2000a - Department of Computer Science and Engineering
nips2000a - Department of Computer Science and Engineering

...  ‘Expanded’ implies authority diffusion arrested  As nodes outside rootset start participating in the distillation… • #Expanded increases • #Pruned decreases ...
Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century
Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century

... fashion, they act to heat the atmosphere near the Earth’s surface. Recent increases in the concentrations of these gases, along with increases in temperature, have been the basis for concerns about “global warming.” Major changes in climate that might result from such increased concentrations of gre ...
Using Model Hierarchies to Better Understand Past Climate Change* Masa K
Using Model Hierarchies to Better Understand Past Climate Change* Masa K

... over Europe. The range of the model results, in temperature as well as in precipitation, is fairly large (sometimes up to 10°C for the temperatures). However, when compared to the pollen-based thermal and hydrological estimates from Peyron et al. (1998) and Tarasov et al. (1999), all models simulate ...
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*Dynamically simulated tropical storms in a changing climate and

... • Wind speed must attain 20m/s at 850hPa (change in slightly more intense TCs) ...
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Correctly define: air mass, air pressure, anemometer, barometer

... Correctly define: air mass, air pressure, anemometer, barometer, cyclone, dew point, front, isobar, isotherm, meteorology, precipitation, psychrometer, relative humidity, saturated, transpiration WEATHER BASICS: ¾ Explain where the energy for Earth’s weather originates. ¾ Describe the basic directio ...
hurrellhighlights
hurrellhighlights

... and Triassic periods at 251 Ma (1). This boundary marks the largest extinction recorded in Earth’s history. Kiehl and Shields are carrying out the first fully coupled climate simulation for this time period. They find the western tropical Panthalassic ocean has a warm pool of water with SSTs reachin ...
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Slide 1

Climate Models - Climate Wizard
Climate Models - Climate Wizard

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PeterBajcsy_SP2Learn_v2 - PRAGMA Cloud/Grid Operation
PeterBajcsy_SP2Learn_v2 - PRAGMA Cloud/Grid Operation

... Currently, there is no single method that could estimate R/D rates and patterns for all practical applications. Therefore, cross analyzing results from various estimation methods and related field information is likely to be superior than using only a single estimation method. ...
B. Mills, J. Andrey, S. Tighe, S. Baiz
B. Mills, J. Andrey, S. Tighe, S. Baiz

... Current and past pavement designs generally assume a static climate whose variability can be adequately determined from records of weather conditions which normally span less than 30 years and often less than 10 years ...
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Symmetry Plus Quasi Uniform Association Model and Its Orthogonal

... YAMAMOTO & TOMIZAWA expected frequencies under the models described in this paper could be obtained using an iterative procedure, for example, the general iterative procedure for log-linear models of Darroch and Ratcliff (1972) or using the Newton-Raphson method to the log-likelihood equations. Eac ...
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SAWS Climate change and Response initiatives

... given lengths if he plants early, at time of onset and late onset • This information is of use to plan whether to intercrop. • Whereas most of SAWS’ forecasts indicate terminologies such as – “above Normal, – Below Normal and – Normal” with assistance of the Agrometeorological services, the same may ...
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Long-range dependence in the North Atlantic Oscillation

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NARCCAP_Users_Meet_Intro

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MAST_-_Introduction2MET

... Key Terms  Wind Chill Factor: The cooling effect of any combination of temperature and wind, expressed as the loss of body heat (effects tells us its much colder than it really is).  Chinook Wind: A warm dry wind on the eastern side of the Rocky Mountains (some people often become irritable and ...
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Integration of Ocean Observations into an Ecosystem Approach to

... – Behavior (distribution) critical: TOPP (Tagging of Pacific/Pelagic Predators), POST (Pacific Ocean Shelf Tracking ), OTN (Ocean Tracking Networks), acoustics combined with fine-scale hydrography (e.g. Moving Vessel Profiler). Extends complexity of models. ...
Prof. Wescott (Part I) ( )
Prof. Wescott (Part I) ( )

... •NASA and Columbia University Earth Institute research finds that human-made greenhouse gases have brought the Earth’s climate close to critical tipping points, with potentially dangerous consequences for the planet. (NASA) •The average temperature of the earth's surface has risen by 0.74 degrees C ...
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Slide 1

... •NASA and Columbia University Earth Institute research finds that human-made greenhouse gases have brought the Earth’s climate close to critical tipping points, with potentially dangerous consequences for the planet. (NASA) •The average temperature of the earth's surface has risen by 0.74 degrees C ...
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Atmospheric model



An atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (clouds and precipitation), heat exchange, soil, vegetation, surface water, the kinematic effects of terrain, and convection. Most atmospheric models are numerical, i.e. they discretize equations of motion. They can predict microscale phenomena such as tornadoes and boundary layer eddies, sub-microscale turbulent flow over buildings, as well as synoptic and global flows. The horizontal domain of a model is either global, covering the entire Earth, or regional (limited-area), covering only part of the Earth. The different types of models run are thermotropic, barotropic, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic. Some of the model types make assumptions about the atmosphere which lengthens the time steps used and increases computational speed.Forecasts are computed using mathematical equations for the physics and dynamics of the atmosphere. These equations are nonlinear and are impossible to solve exactly. Therefore, numerical methods obtain approximate solutions. Different models use different solution methods. Global models often use spectral methods for the horizontal dimensions and finite-difference methods for the vertical dimension, while regional models usually use finite-difference methods in all three dimensions. For specific locations, model output statistics use climate information, output from numerical weather prediction, and current surface weather observations to develop statistical relationships which account for model bias and resolution issues.
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