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PowerPoint Presentation - Numerical Weather Prediction
PowerPoint Presentation - Numerical Weather Prediction

... – Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) May, 2002 ...
PHYS 4520: Physics in Meteorology Introduction to the Earth`s
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... relates to whether such envelopes can be reduced in size using metrics of model quality. The non-linear nature of the system and the “distance” between the models and reality create new challenges here. Challenges which have not yet been addressed but which may well provide fruitful areas for furthe ...
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... The first examines feed backs between the cryosphere and surface temperature, hydrology and overlying atmospheric circulation. These feedbacks are seen clearly in model simulations of the future climate, but they are also found on daily to seasonal timescales in the present climate. I will show resu ...
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2-Presentations\Ottesen_HO

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... Changes in the global hydrological cycle Different modelling institutes use different plausible representations of the climate system within their global climate models (GCMs), giving a range of climate projections for a single emissions scenario. A method of accounting for this “climate model struc ...
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... anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases (GHG), have been designed for such studies by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). A number of different anthropogenic emission scenarios have been developed by the IPCC. Within the full range of the IPCC scenarios, A1B (IPCC 2007) expects ...
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No Slide Title

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Contributed White Papers:presented July27-28

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Breakout 1-personal models - Building New Theories of Human

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... 7. On the plot below, draw the atmospheric pressure profile. Does atmospheric pressure decrease faster in the lower atmosphere or in the upper atmosphere? • Pressure decreases faster in the lower atmosphere, decreases slower in the ...
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Modeling of common-mode currents on electric

... network on which common-mode current is impressed (e.g., cable sheaths) – Model with multi-port system based on, or derived from, S-parameters – ADS computes S-parameters for hull & bulkhead geometries with N bonds – Network analyzer measures three-terminal S-parameters for cables – Synchronizing re ...
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Reflections of Data Collection and Modeling

... I We can create a purely descriptive model with few assumptions, but this has limited usefulness I We want to model for either inference or ...
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... 1972) and the oil crisis in the 70s have given rise to energy-environment-economy (E3) models to explore the feasibility of long-term development pathways. The rise of climate change on the public agenda since the late 80s has prompted the need for quantitative assessment of mitigation strategies, i ...
Ten Discplines of a Successful Forecaster
Ten Discplines of a Successful Forecaster

An Introduction to CCSM http://www.ccsm.ucar.edu
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...  Climate prediction is a problem of predicting the patterns or character of weather and the evolution of the entire climate system.  It is often regarded as a “boundary value” problem. For the atmosphere this means determining the systematic departures from normal from the influences from the othe ...
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Atmospheric model



An atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (clouds and precipitation), heat exchange, soil, vegetation, surface water, the kinematic effects of terrain, and convection. Most atmospheric models are numerical, i.e. they discretize equations of motion. They can predict microscale phenomena such as tornadoes and boundary layer eddies, sub-microscale turbulent flow over buildings, as well as synoptic and global flows. The horizontal domain of a model is either global, covering the entire Earth, or regional (limited-area), covering only part of the Earth. The different types of models run are thermotropic, barotropic, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic. Some of the model types make assumptions about the atmosphere which lengthens the time steps used and increases computational speed.Forecasts are computed using mathematical equations for the physics and dynamics of the atmosphere. These equations are nonlinear and are impossible to solve exactly. Therefore, numerical methods obtain approximate solutions. Different models use different solution methods. Global models often use spectral methods for the horizontal dimensions and finite-difference methods for the vertical dimension, while regional models usually use finite-difference methods in all three dimensions. For specific locations, model output statistics use climate information, output from numerical weather prediction, and current surface weather observations to develop statistical relationships which account for model bias and resolution issues.
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