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Carter AR5 info requ..
Carter AR5 info requ..

... A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for warming. 2C is certain catastrophe to billions of the most vulnerable (from AR4) and feedback planetary catastrophe. A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (CO2 equivalent). The likelihood of the sen ...
is global warming a threat?
is global warming a threat?

... The math behind the hockey stick shaped graph has been proven wrong by Canadian statisticians Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick. Here are 4 graphs. One is the global warming hockey stick used by the UN and governments around the world to justify Kyoto, the other ones use the same computer program, ...
CO2 and Temp ppt
CO2 and Temp ppt

... Play the Carbon Cycle Game! • Go to your assigned station • Roll the Die • Move (or don’t move) according to the sheet at your station • Record what happened for EACH roll of the die on your Itinerary • When you’ve rolled the die 10 times, come up and record your trip on the board. ...
Global Warming Is Here: The Scientific Evidence
Global Warming Is Here: The Scientific Evidence

... of research dusts the climate for human fingerprints by tracking temperature trends regionally, seasonally, and at different levels of the atmosphere. The pattern, or fingerprint, of human-caused climate change is distinctly different from a natural warming pattern. For example, when the planet warm ...
Document
Document

... The preceding comment does not disqualify O’Brien’s observations but it does mean that his comments should be read within a certain context and for a certain effect. In response to these skeptics, I have two main lines of argument. First, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has issu ...
Top Ten Overlooked Issues in Climate Change Science Roger A. Pielke Sr.
Top Ten Overlooked Issues in Climate Change Science Roger A. Pielke Sr.

... ¾ ¾ ¾ ...
2014/31/PR IPCC PRESS RELEASE 2 November 2014 Concluding
2014/31/PR IPCC PRESS RELEASE 2 November 2014 Concluding

... affected. In business-as-usual scenarios, consumption – a proxy for economic growth – grows by 1.6 to 3 percent per year over the 21st century. Ambitious mitigation would reduce this by about 0.06 percentage points. “Compared to the imminent risk of irreversible climate change impacts, the risks of ...
world warming
world warming

... Climate sensitivity is a measure of the strength of the connection between a perturbation to Earth’s radiation balance due to greenhouse gases, aerosols, or other natural or anthropogenic forcings, and the resulting change in global-mean surface temperature. High climate sensitivity means the climat ...
Five centuries of climate change in Australia: the view from
Five centuries of climate change in Australia: the view from

... anomaly series, we employ the trend-matching convention of Pollack and Smerdon (2004), modified slightly because the majority of the borehole temperature profiles used in the Australian reconstruction were logged relatively early in the second half of the 20th century (Fig. 3). The dataset has a med ...
Powerpoint file
Powerpoint file

... The importance of consensus Ding et al 2011 found that people who believe scientists disagree on global warming are less likely to support climate policy McCright et al 2013: “Climate change communicators should therefore identify opportunities and employ techniques to effectively counter the denia ...
ASME 160125 - ASME Community
ASME 160125 - ASME Community

... part of the existence of industrial society and human life. Contrast that to the real problem of automobile exhaust gases, which was solved by the auto industry through the development of catalytic filters, without any damage to society and without much profit to the environmentalists. But the uniqu ...
Addressing the Disparity between Climate Models and
Addressing the Disparity between Climate Models and

... My second comment relates the validity of the observations, in particular the large temperature increase starting about 1976 until the end of the century. Since these are global temperature data, they relate mainly to SST. But the latest SST data don’t show such an increase (see figure below: Gouret ...
global warming - Libertarian Alliance
global warming - Libertarian Alliance

... example, Michaels cites [former] Senator Al Gore as stating: “there is no longer any significant disagreement in the scientific community that the greenhouse effect is real”. Such a statement is intended to imply that “all scientists” agree that temperatures are rising disastrously as a result. But ...
Geography – Book 7
Geography – Book 7

... - Noon's highest insolation --> max air temperature 1-2 hours later - ^It takes time for heat to be transferred from the surface to the air - No insolation after sunset --> air loses more heat that it receives - Above concepts are applicable to different seasons (IV) More on temperature patterns 1. ...
Is Global Warming Mainly Due to Anthropogenic GHG Emissions?
Is Global Warming Mainly Due to Anthropogenic GHG Emissions?

... When the earth is in a radioactive balance with space, the net incoming solar radiation is balanced by the outgoing longwave radiation from the characteristic emission level. When greenhouse gases are added to the atmosphere, the characteristic level is raised in altitude, and, because the temperat ...
Climate Change: Science Issues
Climate Change: Science Issues

... Sciences, Georgia Tech ...
Proof that CO2 is not the Cause of the Current
Proof that CO2 is not the Cause of the Current

... representatives and reflect certain political agenda’s that are at times at odds with the scientific content of the full Report and its authors. They are therefore the outcome of a political process, rather than being an impartial and objective scientific document. A careful study of these Reports r ...
Mercury jumps, experts caution against stroke
Mercury jumps, experts caution against stroke

... Large scale deforestation, one of the reasons for the rising heat By June, average maximum temperature rose to 27.26 degree Celsius and the average minimum temperature rose to 26.11 degree Celsius. What demands keen attention is the closeness between average maximum temperature and the average minim ...
Climate Sensitivity - UW Atmospheric Sciences
Climate Sensitivity - UW Atmospheric Sciences

... • Climate forcing - uncertain, especially solar and aerosol forcing. • Heat storage - somewhat uncertain. • Climate sensitivity - also uncertain. No two of these are known with enough precision to usefully constrain uncertainty in the third, with the data available, although it is possible to fit th ...
44. Global Warming Congress should
44. Global Warming Congress should

... failure of the FCCC models. The explanation often given is that another human emission—sulfate aerosol (the main precursor of acid rain)—is responsible for the lack of warming. Sulfates form a finely divided white haze that reflects away solar radiation (thereby mitigating warming), and they also br ...
New Report Highlights the Complexity of Climate Change
New Report Highlights the Complexity of Climate Change

... 6. The large winter season warming on the western side of the Antarctic Peninsula has been traced to a decrease of sea ice just to the west of the Peninsula over the Bellingshausen Sea. It is unclear at present whether this change is a result of anthropogenic activity. 7. Reconstructions of surface ...
Reconciling warming trends
Reconciling warming trends

... completely reconcile the trends in global mean surface temperature in CMIP5 models and observations. Nevertheless, attributing climate trends over relatively short periods, such as 10 to 15 years, will always be problematic, and it is inherently unsatisfying to find model–data agreement only with th ...
Here`s - UA Atmospheric Sciences
Here`s - UA Atmospheric Sciences

... If you were to walk by early in the morning it is likely that the students would be inside sleeping (or in one of the 8 am NATS 101 classes). In that case you might look for other clues (such as the number of empty bottles in the yard) that might give you an idea of how many students lived in that h ...
Climate forcing
Climate forcing

... FAQ 5.1, Figure 1. Time series of global mean sea level (deviation from the 1980-1999 mean) in the past and as projected for the future. For the period before 1870, global measurements of sea level are not available. The grey shading shows the uncertainty in the estimated long-term rate of sea level ...
Morley
Morley

... 130,000–120,000 years ago, and the Middle Pliocene warm period, about 3.5 million years ago. (Mark C. Serreze, and Roger G. Barry, ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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