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The Markovian Binary Tree: A Model of the Macroevolutionary Process
The Markovian Binary Tree: A Model of the Macroevolutionary Process

Scalar utility theory and proportional processing_ What does it
Scalar utility theory and proportional processing_ What does it

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... A random variable is a real valued function defined on the sample space. This function X = X(ω) assigns a number to each outcome ω of the experiment. Example: tossing a coin experiment ...
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... must be hidden. The “how well does it need to be hidden” component depends on the situation. Our definition of secrecy says that for any nontrivial fact ϕ (that is, one that is not already valid) that depends only the state of the classified or high-level agent, the formula ¬Kj ϕ must be valid. (See ...
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... the random-walk insertion method for cuckoo hashing. There is a clear intuition for how this random walk on the buckets should perform. If a fraction f of the items are adjacent to at least one empty bucket in the corresponding graph, then we might expect that each time we place one item and conside ...
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... an indication that some of the previous beliefs were wrong and should be discarded. It tries to choose the most plausible beliefs that can accommodate the observation. Update, on the other hand, assumes that the previous beliefs were correct, and that the observation is an indication that a change o ...
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Ars Conjectandi



Ars Conjectandi (Latin for The Art of Conjecturing) is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jakob Bernoulli and published in 1713, eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus Bernoulli. The seminal work consolidated, apart from many combinatorial topics, many central ideas in probability theory, such as the very first version of the law of large numbers: indeed, it is widely regarded as the founding work of that subject. It also addressed problems that today are classified in the twelvefold way, and added to the subjects; consequently, it has been dubbed an important historical landmark in not only probability but all combinatorics by a plethora of mathematical historians. The importance of this early work had a large impact on both contemporary and later mathematicians; for example, Abraham de Moivre.Bernoulli wrote the text between 1684 and 1689, including the work of mathematicians such as Christiaan Huygens, Gerolamo Cardano, Pierre de Fermat, and Blaise Pascal. He incorporated fundamental combinatorial topics such as his theory of permutations and combinations—the aforementioned problems from the twelvefold way—as well as those more distantly connected to the burgeoning subject: the derivation and properties of the eponymous Bernoulli numbers, for instance. Core topics from probability, such as expected value, were also a significant portion of this important work.
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