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Probability Theory
Probability Theory

... Let us show that one of the events (1.3) and (1.4) will always take place, which would imply that the sum of their probabilities is at least 1, and hence prove (1.2). Indeed, assume that the event (1.3) does not take place, that is, some column contains only ...
The life and work of A.A. Markov
The life and work of A.A. Markov

The Hazard Rate Matrix Approach to Credit Rating Transitions
The Hazard Rate Matrix Approach to Credit Rating Transitions

Anatomy of integers and permutations
Anatomy of integers and permutations

Four random permutations conjugated by an adversary
Four random permutations conjugated by an adversary

On the Triviality of High-Order Probabilistic Beliefs
On the Triviality of High-Order Probabilistic Beliefs

Bounds on the Bayes Error Given Moments
Bounds on the Bayes Error Given Moments

PDF
PDF

... tandem exponent for many MGS–MGC pairs. We next observe that Theorems 1 and 2 can also be proved for memoryless Laplacian sources (MLSs) under the magnitude-error distortion measure. Using a similar approach, we establish upper and lower bounds for the JSCC excess distortion exponent for the lossy t ...
Probability and Statistics Prof. Dr. Somesh Kumar Department of
Probability and Statistics Prof. Dr. Somesh Kumar Department of

... distribution of the discrete case.In the geometric distribution,we were considering Bernoullian trials and we were waiting for the first success or first occurrence. So, here also, it saysPoisson process and we are waiting for the first occurrence. So, in a sense,thisexponential distribution is a co ...
ENTROPIES AND RATES OF CONVERGENCE
ENTROPIES AND RATES OF CONVERGENCE

... estimates. Note that the Dirichlet process always selects discrete distributions and hence it cannot be directly used as a prior on densities. In a recent article, Ghosal, Ghosh and Ramamoorthi (1999a) showed that the Dirichlet mixture of normal prior gives rise to a consistent posterior under gener ...
ENTROPIES AND RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR MAXIMUM OF NORMAL DENSITIES
ENTROPIES AND RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR MAXIMUM OF NORMAL DENSITIES

... estimates. Note that the Dirichlet process always selects discrete distributions and hence it cannot be directly used as a prior on densities. In a recent article, Ghosal, Ghosh and Ramamoorthi (1999a) showed that the Dirichlet mixture of normal prior gives rise to a consistent posterior under gener ...
PDF
PDF

... The sign of age was expected to be negative. The assumption is based on the research finding of Cordell et. al. (1996) which reports the inverse relationship between the age and participation in many outdoor recreation activities. It is hypothesized that age, which measures the activeness of people, ...
New Perspectives on the Complexity of Computational Learning, and Other
New Perspectives on the Complexity of Computational Learning, and Other

... making any progress, but his enthusiasm for research and the excitement he brought to each discussion was infectious, and I would walk away with new ideas and new optimism. By not only advancing the state of the art in our field but also taking the time to explain our area to other mathematicians, ot ...
Introduction to Probability and Its Applications
Introduction to Probability and Its Applications

Probability, Random Processes, and Ergodic Properties
Probability, Random Processes, and Ergodic Properties

Likelihood Assignments in Extensive-Form Games
Likelihood Assignments in Extensive-Form Games

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pdf

... the first to examine explanation. It has been has analyzed by philosophers for many years. Traditionally, it has been modeled by introducing a deductive relation between the explanation and the fact to be explained (explanandum) (Hempel and Oppenheim 1948). While perhaps applicable to scientific enq ...
The Five Greatest Applications of Markov Chains.
The Five Greatest Applications of Markov Chains.

Entropy Demystified : The Second Law Reduced to Plain Common
Entropy Demystified : The Second Law Reduced to Plain Common

The cover time of random geometric graphs - CMU Math
The cover time of random geometric graphs - CMU Math

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES Darrell Duffie
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES Darrell Duffie

... In applications, random-matching models have also allowed for random mutation of agents, obviously in genetics, and in economics via random changes in preferences, productivity, or endowments. Typical models are also based on “random search,” meaning that the time at which a given agent is matched i ...
Interactive Privacy via the Median Mechanism
Interactive Privacy via the Median Mechanism

Mechanism Design with Selective Verification
Mechanism Design with Selective Verification

... Due to the space limitations, some proofs and technical claims are omitted from this extended abstract. The full version of this work is available at [Fotakis et al. 2015b]. 1.3. Related Previous Work ...
probably approximately correct (pac
probably approximately correct (pac

Introduction to Graphical Models with an Application in Finding
Introduction to Graphical Models with an Application in Finding

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Ars Conjectandi



Ars Conjectandi (Latin for The Art of Conjecturing) is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jakob Bernoulli and published in 1713, eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus Bernoulli. The seminal work consolidated, apart from many combinatorial topics, many central ideas in probability theory, such as the very first version of the law of large numbers: indeed, it is widely regarded as the founding work of that subject. It also addressed problems that today are classified in the twelvefold way, and added to the subjects; consequently, it has been dubbed an important historical landmark in not only probability but all combinatorics by a plethora of mathematical historians. The importance of this early work had a large impact on both contemporary and later mathematicians; for example, Abraham de Moivre.Bernoulli wrote the text between 1684 and 1689, including the work of mathematicians such as Christiaan Huygens, Gerolamo Cardano, Pierre de Fermat, and Blaise Pascal. He incorporated fundamental combinatorial topics such as his theory of permutations and combinations—the aforementioned problems from the twelvefold way—as well as those more distantly connected to the burgeoning subject: the derivation and properties of the eponymous Bernoulli numbers, for instance. Core topics from probability, such as expected value, were also a significant portion of this important work.
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