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REPUBLIC OF NAMIBIA MINISTRY OF FINANCE Progress Report on parameters under The Minister of Finance Performance Agreement 2015/16 (April - December 2015) Submitted by: Hon. Calle Schlettwein, MP Minister, Ministry of Finance 28 January 2016 1 2015/16 Performance Agreement- Progress Report (April – December, 2015) The Office of the President introduced the Performance Agreement System whereby all Ministers are required to submit Annual Progress Reports on the achievements made with respect to the milestones in the Performance Agreements. This Progress Report covers the achievements realized against the set targets and Ministerial objectives for the period of April – December, 2015. The Ministerial objectives have been cascaded to all levels of the Ministry, including annual plans of the various directorates, as well as performance agreements for managers and general staff. It is against this backdrop that the Minister, through the Rt Honourable Prime Minister, is submitting this Progress Report to His Excellency, the President for consideration and evaluation. The Report specifies the ministerial commitment as it appears in the Performance Matrix, the set targets and achievements recorded in respect of each target. A summarized Performance Matrix of quantifiable indicators is annexed. Additional information is also provided where relevant. In the Performance Matrix, fifteen (15) Ministerial Commitments are summarised and achievements specified. The following is a description of the progress to date:- [1] Ministerial Commitment: Oversee public finance management reforms to ensure effective implementation of public finances There are three (3) targets set for this commitment. Target#1 Two (2) additional modules integrated into the IFMS by March 2016. This target is fully achieved with the Budget Module having been developed and partially tested as at December 2015. With the automation of the budget estimates this will now be directly linked to the IFMS, enabling the monitoring of expenditure on a program and activity level. The full testing of this innovation will be finalized by end of March 2016. Substantial progress has been made with respect to a second initiative with respect to real time integration of the payments above N$5 million into the IFMS – a review and advisory mandate related to this initiative is due to be completed in January 2016, and following this the implementation phase shall commence. Target #2: Production of Government Accounts by the 30th September 2015. This target was achieved. As per the State Finance Act of 1991, the 2014/15 Government Accounts were submitted to the Office of the Auditor General on the 30th September 2015. 2 Target#3: 70% progress for the finalization of the Public Finance Management Bill. As at the end of December 2015, the first Layman’s draft was completed, thus fully achieving the set target. An advisor has been recruited in the Attorney General’s office. The draft Bill will be scrutinized legally and tabled before Cabinet by March 2016. The Office of the Attorney General has now pledged support to the drafting of this Bill. It is expected that through these initiatives the rate of progress regarding this initiative shall improve. Additional Target: Public Private Partnership Bill approved by Cabinet and CCL by December 2015. This target was achieved. The PPP Bill was presented to the Cabinet for a principal approval, and subsequently presented to and approved by the CCL during their meeting on 29 October 2015. The Bill is planned to be submitted to the legal drafters in the present quarter of Jan-Mar 2016. [2] Ministerial Commitment: Ensure prudent macro-economic stability and sustained economic growth There are six (6) targets under this commitment whose progress is as listed below Target#1 Total debt stock should not be more than 32% of GDP. The Ministry undertook a MidTerm Budget Review for the year 2015/16.One of the results of the review was the revision of the total revenue downwards and an upward revision of the GDP, while total expenditure remained unchanged. Consequently, the budget deficit rose from an estimated 5.3% to 6.8%. The impact of these revisions on total debt stock is a nominal increase of 1.7% from the baseline of 29.3% to 30.0% as a ratio to GDP. This ratio is within the set target. Target #2 Inflation should be below 10%. As at the end of December 2015, Annual Inflation was estimated at around 3.7%, well within the set target. Target #3 GDP growth rate at 5.5% in 2015 As at December 2015, the annualized GDP growth rate for the current fiscal is estimated to be around 4.3%, which is lower than the target of 5.5 percent. Thus, it is only about 80 percent of the target is likely to be achieved. The slower projected GDP growth is largely due to external factors to impacting on Namibia as a small and open Namibian economy, mainly lower global economic growth, lower commodity prices, but also the prevailing drought and the impact of foot to mouth disease outbreak in the agricultural sector. It is expected that the GDP growth outturn for the full financial year will be close to the prevailing estimate of 4.3 percent. Target #4 Improve foreign reserves from 1.5 month import cover to 3 month import cover. The high value of imports continues to be dominated by machinery and mechanical appliances, fuel, imported motor vehicles and consumer goods. These imports contributed to the deficit in the current account for the country. As at the end of December, the stock of international reserves increased to about 3.4 months of imports cover due to intervention measures to support the reserves and protect the sovereign credit rating. In particular, this substantial increase in foreign currency 3 reserves was attributed to the part of the proceeds (USD 300m) of the recent Eurobond issuance that was allocated to boost the stock of reserve and asset swap arrangements with GIPF. Target #5 Contain interest servicing costs at below 6.6% of government revenue. It is estimated that the interest servicing cost on government debt as at December 2015 stood at 5.2 percent of government revenue, thus meeting the set target. The sharp depreciation of the ZAR/NAD against major currencies is, however, exerting pressure of debt servicing, thus contributing to an effective increase in servicing cost of foreign debt. Namibia however continues to have very manageable debt servicing costs; governments of several comparable developing economies have interest costs of close to 10% of fiscal revenue. Target #6 Contain Contingent liabilities at or below 6.5% of GDP. Contingent liabilities can be in the form of guarantees, letters of credit, letters of comfort, etc. During the period under review, very minimal new contingent liabilities were agreed to. Consequently, along with the impact of increased GDP base in the current fiscal, the value of contingent liabilities as its proportion stands at close to 4%, which is well within the set target. [3] Ministerial Commitment: Strengthen and improve an outcome based programme budget system This commitment is to be fulfilled by the attainment of four (4) set targets. Target #1 Revised template and evaluation framework by 31 March 2016. This target will be reached by March 2016. To date, half of the target is met, with the draft template developed and consultation with O/M/As held. Target #2 First Mid-Term Budget Review Report tabled in Parliament before end of October 2015. The maiden Review was undertaken and completed, thus fully meeting the target. While work towards finalization of the mid-term budget review was concluded by October 2015, this was tabled at the National Assembly in early November 2015. What is crucial to report is that the review was successfully conducted being the first of its nature in Namibia. The review facilitated in reassessing the revenue estimates and efficient reallocation of expenditure budgets in view of priority initiatives and up to date spending patterns. Target #3 Funds tracking survey for one Vote conducted. Measures have been put in place for the work to be concluded before the end of the financial year. About one-quarter of this target is completed, with a development partner being identified to undertake the survey by the remainder of the financial year. The related activity that was carried out was the identification of 9 non-core budget items and the corresponding review of the amounts allocated to them. This exercise resulted in substantial savings, which were re-allocated to priority activities of the Government, through the amended Appropriation Act. 4 Target #4 Appropriation Bill tabled in the National Assembly not later than the 31st March 2016. As at December 2015, Ministerial and technical budget hearings as well as presentation of the proposed budget to the Cabinet Committee on Treasury were carried out. CCT and Cabinet (deliberative cabinet) have recommended the budget and fiscal stance. The Fiscal Strategy document that informs the preparation of the budget was compiled by December 2015. It is envisaged that the target will be met and fully on track as planned and required by the statute. [4] Ministerial Commitment: Promote global, continental and regional economic integration There are two (2) targets that will give effect to the fulfilment of this commitment. Target #1 Customs and Excise Amendment Bill approved by Cabinet and CCL by July 2015. The target was met and the Layman’s Draft Bill has been submitted to the Ministry of Justice for further processing, thus fully meeting the target set for this period. These proposed (‘priority’) amendments are aimed at aligning the current provisions in the Customs and Excise Act, 1998 to international Customs Instruments such as the World Customs Organization’s Revised Kyoto Convention on the Simplification and Harmonization of Customs procedures, (WCO RKC, 1999) and to cater for new technological advancements. It is expected that the Draft Amendment Bill will be certified and ready for tabling in Parliament during its next Session that commences in February 2016. A more comprehensive review of the Act, with the purpose of harmonizing customs laws pertaining in the SACU Common Customs Area has been undertaken in parallel and the Draft is at 85%. It is envisaged that a final Layman’s Draft Bill will be shared with stakeholders for comments and inputs during the last Quarter (January –March) of FY 2016. Target #2 One Stop Border Post Agreement between Namibia and Botswana signed by November 2015. Two key documents relating to the establishment of a one-stop-border-post between Namibia and Botswana have been developed (as an agreed SACU pilot exercise), namely a Bilateral Draft Agreement between the two customs authorities and a Layman’s Draft Bill which has been considered by CCL. As directed by the CCL, the Office of the Attorney General has been tasked with finalizing the legal framework. It is envisaged that the draft Bill will be tabled in Parliament during its first session commencing in February 2016.Thus, about 95 percent of the target has been achieved. Another related activity carried out under this commitment is the hosting of the SACU Summit in December 2015 that resulted in the Heads of State and Government re-affirming their commitment to SACU and directed the Council to resuscitate the full functioning of all SACU Institutions to ensure the implementation of the approved SACU Work Programme. 5 [5] Ministerial Commitment: Review existing legal regime and policies to reform financial sector so that the sector serves the interests of Namibia better There are two (2) targets under this commitment Target #1 Micro Lending Bill tabled in the National assembly by November 2015. The Bill was approved by CCL and submitted to the Ministry of Justice for certification. The certification process has not been finalized by November 2015. This progress constitutes about 80 percent of the needed action, which was the set target. It is expected that the Bill will be certified by March 2016. Target #2 Domestic asset Requirement Regulations 90% reviewed by March 2016. In the review period, consultations with Namfisa and industry have commenced on the review of domestic asset requirements, thus meeting about 75 percent of the target. The remaining set of consultation and the formulation of the Regulations will be completed by March 2016 during Jan-Mar 2016 period. Additional target: Regular meetings with the financial sector representatives especially those financial institutions that are under the auspices of the Minister of Finance. Several consultation meetings have been held with various institutions, industry players and stakeholders. This includes regular meetings with SOEs under the purview of the Ministry. [6] Ministerial Commitment: Provide leadership and take full responsibility for the ministry’s results. Further support the leadership and staff of the ministry to achieve its core functions. There are two targets to be attained under this commitment. Target #1 Quarterly review management meetings held. As at the end of December 2015, three management meetings as well as weekly top management meetings were held in line with the set target and work programmes. One of the key agenda items of the management meetings has been to review progress on planned departmental annual targets and related guidance as needed. Target #2 Bi- Annual General Staff Meetings held. During the period under review one general staff meeting was undertaken. The second such staff meeting is planned for the month of February 2016. This parameter shall be achieved by the end of the financial year. [7] Ministerial Commitment: Ensure broad-based economic empowerment of Namibians and local sourcing of goods and services Two (2) targets are set for the accomplishment of this commitment. 6 Target#1 100% progress towards the enactment of the Procurement Bill by December 2015. This target was achieved, with the approval of Public Procurement Act by the Parliament. As a further step, provision of trainings for the implementation of the Act also commenced in November 2015. Target #2 Gazetting of the Procurement Regulations gazetted by February 2016. The drafting of the Regulations is completed. The Regulations will be gazetted in February 2016 as expected, thus fully meeting the target. [8] Ministerial Commitment: Promote the Whole of Government Approach to the implementation of the national development programmes and projects. This commitment is to be attained by the execution of one target. Target# 1 Quarterly inter-ministerial/institutional meetings held. Monthly CCT meetings are held, with joint CCT and CCTD also mainstreamed. Ministerial consultations have been held for both the Mid-Year Budget Review and the 2016/17 Budget and MTEF. Other consultations with O/M/As are undertaken on a needs basis. This arrangement has contributed to the meeting of the set target. [9] Ministerial Commitment: Engage and listen to the voices of civil society, particularly grassroots organizations with the ultimate goal to improve the living standards of Namibians. Three (3) targets were identified for this commitment. Target#1 10 budget stakeholder’s consultations held. After the tabling of the 2015/16 Budget 7 budget stakeholders consultations were conducted. Of these, five took place in Windhoek, One in Oshakati and another in Walvisbay. A total of three stakeholder consultations were also undertaken prior to, and after the tabling of the Mid-Year Budget Review, thus meeting the set target. Target #2 Two (2) public hearings achieved. Three different sets of public hearings were undertaken in the review period, thus meeting the set target. These were in regard to consultations with the non-bank industry segments during the drafting of the standards and regulations under the envisaged FIM Bill; public engagements on the Public Finance Management reforms as well as engagements on the development of financing instruments for SMEs. Target #3 Budget translated in local indigenous languages and published. The Citizen’s Budget for the 2015/16 Budget is translated in seven (7) local vernacular languages and booklets were distributed through the print media. [10] Ministerial Commitment: review tax policy and administration to ensure a fair and broad tax system, efficient revenue collection. Five (5) targets were agreed to be realized to give effect to the attainment of this commitment. 7 Target #1 100% completion of the Revenue Agency Layman’s Bill and its submission to Cabinet by March 2016. The Revenue Agency Policy was approved by Cabinet in November 2015 and the Layman’s Bill is planned to be submitted to Cabinet in February 2016, thus fully meeting the target. Target#2 Income Tax and VAT Amendment Bills tabled in the National Assembly by December 2015. This target was successfully achieved, not only the Amendment Bills tabled in Parliament, but they were also enacted into laws in December 2015. Target#3 Tax proposal for export taxes tabled in the National Assembly. During the review period the draft ‘proposal for export taxes’ was prepared and submitted to the CCL and legal drafters. The CCL and the legal drafters recommended, through various interaction with the MoF, provisions for processes for the introduction and collection of export taxes. It is envisaged that in the Jan-Mar 2016 period the processes for introduction and collection of export taxes shall be finalized and the certification of the Bill will be finalized. To date, about 80 percent of this target has been completed. Target #4 Tax Policy aimed at curbing illicit tax evasion and tax avoidance developed by the end of the financial year. In the review period investigative activities were undertaken in order to take stock of the current situation with respect to observed instances of tax evasion / avoidance. Cabinet approval has been secured for Namibia to joint International Tax Cooperation initiatives. Given the specialized nature of these areas of tax policy, technical support will be sourced from this cooperation arrangement to develop a robust domestic policy and administrative arrangements. Thus, about half of this target has been met during the remaining period. Target#5 100% progress with respect to the automation of tax returns and collections. The implementation of the Integrated Tax System project is progressing well with the preparatory process for pilot testing having commenced in December 2015. The process of testing is anticipated to conclude by mid-2016. Automation of tax returns will form part of the tested components. The system is expected to go live in 2017. Other developments aimed at improving collections were the introduction of speed-point machines at the cash offices, the non- acceptance of personal cheques except where they are guaranteed by the local commercial banks and the speed adopted to clear the backlog on assessment of the tax returns. [11] Ministerial Commitment: Improve the monitoring and management of fiscal and financial risks. This commitment is envisaged to be fulfilled by the attainment of two (2) targets. Target #1 Annual Article VI Consultation Report submitted to Cabinet. This target was achieved. Further progress was made with regard to the implementation of some of the recommendations 8 contained in the Report, one of which was to ensure that the level of the stock of the international reserve is boosted from the 1.5 months of imports cover to an acceptable level of 3 months of imports cover. The other recommendation that was considered was the fiscal consolidation by containing the growth in expenditure, the budget deficit and consequently the debt stock. The Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) assessment carried out by the African Development Bank in collaboration with various Government departments was another related achievement as it pointed to many achievements by Government in the management of public finance while highlighting also few areas of developments. The Report will be submitted to Cabinet before the end of 2015/16 financial year. Target # 2 Improvement in sovereign credit rating. Other important development that occurred during that time which could serve as surveillance to fiscal and financial risks are the credit ratings that were carried out during the reporting period. Both Moody and Fitch Ratings Agencies rated Namibia with a stable outlook and Fitch has upgraded Namibia’s national rating on the back of South Africa’s ratings downgrade. This reaffirmation of Namibia’s credit rating comes at a time of subdued global and regional macroeconomic performance, and therefore is a positive outcome. [12] Ministerial Commitment: Enter into performance target-oriented agreement with the Deputy Minister and Permanent Secretary. Give political and facilitation to the implementation of the performance agreement by the PS This commitment has only one (1) target to give effect to its realization. Target#1 Performance Agreement with DM and PS signed by October 2015 and are being executed. The performance agreement between the Minister and Deputy Minister was finalized and submitted. The performance agreement of the PS was signed by the Secretary to Cabinet and noted by the Minister before October 2015, thus realizing the set target. [13] Ministerial Commitment: Oversee the development and implementation of Customer Service Charters in all key departments/directorates of the Ministry There is one (1) target set for the realization of this commitment. Target #1 8 functional charters launched in December 2015. All Directorates drafted their Charters and these were sent to the Office of the Prime Minister for quality assessment before they are launched, thus meeting about 95 percent of the target. The Charters are planned to be launched before the end of March 2016. 9 [14] Ministerial Commitment: Ensure that public officers suspected of engaging in corrupt practices or any other irregular conduct step aside to pave way for independent investigation. There is one (1) target set for the attainment of this commitment. Target #1 Mechanism for reporting official misconduct in place and fully operational. The Ministry has placed suggestion boxes at offices where complaints/concerned can be deposited. Alternatively, any misconduct issues can also be sent to the Human Resource Division. During the period under review, nine (9) such cases where reported. All nine hearings were conducted and as a result, three officials were suspended and two cases have been submitted to the Public Service Commission. Three officials are prosecuted. In summary, the ministry treats cases of misconduct seriously and has established processes for thorough and expeditious adjudication in such instances. [15] Ministerial Commitment: Perform duties assigned by the Constitution and other relevant statutes diligently. There is one (1) target set for the attainment of this commitment. Target #1 The President is 100% satisfied that the Minister’s performance meets the Government’s expectations. The above progress will assist the Minister to assess his performance and compile his report to the President by the due date for assessment and outcome. CONCLUSION The Report highlighted areas of achievements, challenges as well as measures initiated to mitigate the challenges. There are four key areas of achievements. These relate to objective areas in respect of (i) maintaining macroeconomic stability, (ii) policy interventions and structural reforms to optimize outcomes, (iii) leadership and improvement of internal process and (vi) openness and stakeholder consultation. Measures for macroeconomic stability have been maintained or improved, amidst a challenging external economic environment. A commendable level of economic growth has been achieved, with sustainable fiscal operations and relatively better price stability. Key policy reforms have been achieved, particularly in the field of public procurement and tax policy with new initiatives being undertaken. Staff engagement and monitoring of activities at all levels of management have allowed for timely achievement of some of the targets. Active stakeholder engagement has been pursued, especially in regard to budget and policy formulation. The maiden introduction of the Mid-Year Budget Review is among the initiatives for improving public finance management and a more participatory process. 10 Challenges: The challenges experienced are mainly in regard to limited technical capacity, especially in the areas of legal design and systems development. Legal reviews and drafting is increasingly dependent on a limited critical mass of expertise of the Ministry of Justice. In some instances, limited technical capacity within the Ministry would need to be supplemented by insourced external capacity. With regard to economic performance, external developments weigh on the resilience of the domestic economy, given the decree of openness. Measures to mitigate the challenges: Several measures have been initiated to mitigate the impacts of the challenges experienced and optimize outcomes going forward. The Ministry has instituted technical consultations with line O/M/As in order to facilitate timely progress on activities. To the extent possible, scarce skills have also been sourced and paired with internal capacity to drive the priority initiatives. The report gives assurance that the Ministry has made substantial progress towards its strategic targets, and is on course to achieve majority of these performance objectives. It also points on areas for improvement going forward and matters on which guidance is due. 11