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Trade and the law of Comparative Advantage International trade now accounts for nearly 25% of world GDP. The liberalization of trade in goods and services, and the rapid increase in foreign direct investment across national boundaries have been and will continue to be hugely important for the development of the global economy. The virtues of international trade and exchange Economists are normally positive about the economic consequences of trade. Granted there are those who highlight the inequities of the global trading system and in particular, the marginalization of developing countries who have struggled to build and maintain a competitive advantage in key markets. But taken as a whole, the consensus among economists is that there are significant gains in economic welfare and efficiency arising from the continued expansion of trade and investment between nations. The concept of comparative advantage First introduced by David Ricardo in 1817, comparative advantage exists when a country has a ‘margin of superiority’ in the production of a good or service i.e. where the marginal cost of production is lower. Countries will usually specialize in and then export products which use intensively the factor inputs which they are most abundantly endowed. If each country specializes in those goods and services where they have an advantage, then total output can be increased leading to an improvement in allocative efficiency and economic welfare. Put another way, trade allows each country to specialize in the production of those products that it can produce most efficiently (i.e. those where it has a comparative advantage). This is true even if one nation has an absolute advantage over another country. So for example the Canadian economy which is rich in low cost land is able to exploit this by specializing in agricultural production. The dynamic Asian economies including China have focused their resources in exporting low-cost manufactured goods which take advantage of much lower unit labour costs. In highly developed countries, the comparative advantage is shifting towards specializing in producing and exporting high-value and high-technology manufactured goods and highknowledge services. Comparative advantage for the UK Using trade data drawn from the UK balance of payments with other countries, the UK’s comparative advantage now lies in the following areas: oil, chemicals & pharmaceuticals, aerospace and medical technology, insurance, financial services, computer services & software, other business services, and entertainment. The UK has lost much if not all of its comparative advantage in textiles, steel, coal and many other areas of traditional manufacturing industry where it runs structural trade deficits. Example of comparative advantage Consider two countries producing two products – digital cameras and vacuum cleaners. With the same factor resources evenly allocated by each country to the production of both goods, the production possibilities are as shown in the table below. Pre-specialization UK USA Total Digital Cameras 600 2400 3000 Vacuum Cleaners 600 1000 1600 To identify which country should specialize in a particular product we need to analyze the internal opportunity costs for each country. For example, were the UK to shift more resources into higher output of vacuum cleaners, the opportunity cost of each vacuum cleaner is _____ digital television. For the United States the same decision has an opportunity cost of _____ digital cameras. Therefore, the _____ has a comparative advantage in vacuum cleaners. If the UK chose to reallocate resources to digital cameras the opportunity cost of one extra camera is still one vacuum cleaner. But for the United States the opportunity cost is only _______ of a vacuum cleaner. Thus the _____ has a comparative advantage in producing digital cameras because its opportunity cost is lowest. Complete the chart calculating output after specialization Post-specialization UK USA Total Digital Cameras Vacuum Cleaners As a result of specialization according to the principle of comparative advantage, output of both products has increased - representing a gain in economic welfare. For mutually beneficial trade to take place, the two nations have to agree an acceptable rate of exchange of one product for another. There are gains from trade between the two countries. If the two countries trade at a rate of exchange of 2 digital cameras for one vacuum cleaner, the post-trade position will be as follows: The UK exports ______ vacuum cleaners to the USA and receives ______ digital cameras The USA exports _______digital cameras and imports ______vacuum cleaners Complete the chart calculating post trade output / consumption Digital Cameras Vacuum Cleaners UK USA Total Compared with the pre-specialization output levels, consumers in both countries now have an _____________ supply of both goods to choose from. What Determines Comparative Advantage? Comparative advantage is best viewed as a dynamic concept meaning that it can and does change over time. Some businesses find they have enjoyed a comparative advantage within their own market in one product for several years only to face increasing competition as rival producers from other countries enter their markets and under cut them on price or take market share through non-price competition. For a country, the following factors are often seen as important in determining the relative costs of production: The quantity and quality of factors of production available (e.g. the size and efficiency of the available labour force and the productivity of the existing stock of capital inputs) Investment in research & development (this is important in industries where patents give some firms a significant market advantage) – there is quite strong evidence that an emerging comparative advantage often comes from entrepreneurial trial and error – the never ending process of engaging in research and innovation to find more efficient process and new products Fluctuations in the real exchange rate which then affect the relative prices of exports and imports and cause changes in demand from domestic and overseas customers Import controls such as tariffs, export subsidies and quotas can be used to create an artificial comparative advantage for a country's domestic producers The non-price competitiveness of producers (e.g. covering factors such as the standard of product design and innovation, product reliability, quality of after-sales support) Comparative advantage is often a self-reinforcing process. Entrepreneurs in a country develop a new comparative advantage in a product (either because they find ways of producing it more efficiently or they create a genuinely new product that finds a growing demand in home and international markets). Rising demand and output encourages the exploitation of economies of scale; higher profits can be reinvested in the business to fund further product development, marketing and a wider distribution network. Skilled labour is attracted into the industry and so on. The wider benefits of international trade Expanding trade by collectively reducing barriers is the most powerful tool that countries, working together, can deploy to reduce poverty and raise living standards. A growing body of evidence shows that countries that are more open to trade grow faster over the long run than those that remain closed. And growth directly benefits the world's poor. A one percentage point increase in growth on average reduces poverty by more than 1.5 per cent each year. Increased trade also benefits consumers and efficient producers, through lower prices and access to a wider variety of goods. This is because trade encourages greater specialization which dramatically lowers costs - and more intense competition, which is central to innovation. In sharp contrast, trade barriers can impose high costs on society - and particularly on those that can least afford them. For example, it has been estimated that barriers to imports in the 1990s saved 226 jobs in the US luggage industry, but at a cost to American consumers of nearly $1.3m per year for each job. And taxpayers in the European Union spend over $500m annually to subsidize the production of peas and beans. One way of expressing the gains from trade in goods and services between countries is to distinguish between the static gains from trade (i.e. improvements in allocative and productive efficiency) and the dynamic gains (the gains in welfare that occur over time from improved product quality, increased choice and a faster pace of innovative behaviour) Some of the broader gains from free trade are outlined below: Welfare gains – allocative efficiency: Free trade can be shown under certain conditions to lead to significant increases in welfare. Neo-liberal economists who support the liberalization of trade between countries believe that trade is a ‘positive-sum game’ – in other words, all counties engaged in open trade and exchange stand to gain. Economies of scale - trade allows firms to exploit scale economies by operating in larger markets. Economies of scale lead to lower average costs of production that can be passed onto consumers. Competition / market contestability – trade promotes increased competition particularly for those domestic monopolies that would otherwise face little real competition. Dynamic efficiency gains from innovation - trade also enhances consumer choice and international competition between suppliers help to keep prices down. Trade in ideas stimulates product and process innovations that generates better products for consumers and enhances the overall standard of living. Access to new technology: Trade, like investment, is also an important mechanism by which countries can have access to new technologies. Although the importation of new technology may have negative employment consequences for those workers who lose their jobs because of capital-labour substitution, provided that an economy is flexible enough to be able to reemploy these workers, there should be no net loss of jobs as a result. To the contrary, new technology creates new jobs in support industries. Rising living standards and a reduction in poverty - James Wolfeson has argued that trade can be a powerful force in reducing poverty and raising living standards. A growing body of evidence shows that countries that are more open to trade grow faster over the long run than those that remain closed. And growth directly benefits the world's poor. A one percentage point increase in growth on average reduces poverty by more than 1.5 per cent each year. For next class I want you to summarize the following points regarding the law of comparative advantage. This needs to be typed and no less than 300 words. I will collect this and grade it. No work late will be accepted. How does trading under the law of comparative advantage benefit countries? What determines which products a country has comparative advantage in? Once a country has achieved comparative advantage in a product, why forces seem to allow it to maintain this comparative advantage? What are some of the main arguments in favour of international trade?