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DIPLOMA IN BANKING EXAMINATION SUBJECT: ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT (IOBM- D211) ANSWERS FOR MAY 2009 EXAMINATIONS QUESTION 1 a) i. Subsistence economy - production for consumption, no specialization and trade (1 mark) ii. Free market economy - production and consumption decisions determined by forces of demand and supply (1 mark) iii. Centrally planned economy - production and consumption determined by government (1 mark) iv. Mixed economy - combines features of free market and centrally planned economy (1 mark) b) Malawi has mixed economy (1 mark) a) Any TWO of the following: Liberalized current account; privatization of various companies; floating exchange rate regime; controlled maize and petroleum product prices; exchange control regulations (4 marks) b) A condition where the sum of debits and credits from the current account and the capital and financial accounts equal to zero CA+ KA = 0 (5 marks) QUESTIONS 2 (a) Under the substitution effect: Wage rate increases attract more units of labour. Thus, leisure hours are minimized as its opportunity cost goes up. Increased wages enable individuals to spend more on other goods and services and less of leisure. (4 marks) Under the income effect: As consumption of goods and services increases, the marginal utility of consumption decreases. On the other hand, as wages increase raises incomes, demand for leisure goes up because leisure is a normal good. (4 marks) (b) Graph (a) Graph (b) i i M2 M M1 O M1 Md O Md In graph (a) M1 is the demand for active balances which does not vary with interest rates. M2 is demand for passive balances which is inversely related to interest rates. An increase in income shifts M1 outwards and the viceversa (apposite) is true. So, total demand (in graph (b)) is the sum of M 1 and M2 in graph (a), which gives line M in graph (b). Rate changes will cause movement along curve M. (7 marks) QUESTION 3 Comparative advantage is a dynamic concept, thus firms can lose out over time due to innovations and competition. The assumption of perfect occupational mobility of factors of production may be wronged because of specialist nature of some resources in some industries which would make retraining untenable. The second assumption of constant returns to scale would only apply where technological advances are ruled out which may not be the case most of the times. Also specialisation contributes to increasing returns to scale. The assumption of 'no externalities' may not apply in some firms or industries especially whose survival depends in integration/ linkages. Finally, transportation costs (which are taken to be zero in the theory) would make some low cost (in relative terms) countries uncompetitive on the world markets as access may only be possible at a very significant freight cost. The final price at the international market includes transport. Think of landlocked Malawi and coastal Mozambique. c) As the US dollars realized from the sale of tobacco exports at the tobacco auction floors are converted into Malawi Kwacha the supply of domestic money supply increases. Exports dollars (5 marks) QUESTION 4 a) Direct taxes are paid directly to government from the one who ultimately bears the burden (e.g. income tax while an indirect taxes refer to taxes which governments collect through intermediaries from the ultimate bearer of the tax burden e.g. sales taxes, value added tax (VAT) marks) b) Tax imposition Supply + tax x a supply b a p1 a p py y O a Q1 Q (5 marks) Consumer surplus is xap (1 mark) Producer surpluss is paO (1 mark) Tax imposition raises price level to p1 and reduces quantity supplied to Q1 (1 mark) Tax revenue is p1 b y py (1 mark) Tax imposition reduces consumer or/and producer surplus by amount of tax revenue (1 mark) (4 Degree of tax burden depends on price elasticities of demand and supply (1 mark) QUESTION 5 (a) b) Policy intervention that brings high economic growth; leads to an increase in incomes; and in turn causes a rise in demand for imports; which negatively impacts balance of payments (i) (ii) (iii) GNP is sum of income generated by nationals within and outside the borders less that of non-residents; GDP is income from both nationals and non-residents within same borders. Economic growth is defined as change in national income over given period; improved welfare is a measure of positive change in living standards real per capita income measures welfare or standard of living for individuals; HDI measures on average welfare of the entire economy (c ) The earliest form of money were commodities – where intrinsic value of commodity was equal to exchange value assigned to it Coins from various kinds of metals initially iron and copper and later silver and gold (2 marks) (2 marks) Paper money appeared in the 16th century - gold was deposited and goldsmiths issued certificates of deposits - i.e. fully backed by gold. (2 marks) Bank Notes replaced paper money. These were partially backed by gold and also called fiduciary or credit money. Cheque accounts uses signed papers to make payments against account balances (2 marks) (2 marks) Electronic payments - continuous technological innovation in the monetary sector has brought electronic methods of payment – e.g. smartcards. QUESTION 6 (a) Frictional unemployment: (2 marks) o Caused by people changing jobs. o Jobs are available but those looking for them are not aware (or have no information). o Or jobs that are available offer unattractive remuneration to the seekers. (3 marks) Structural unemployment: o Caused by technological changes. o For example, in labour-capital substitution, more capital is demanded (than labour) o Occurs when skills do not match the jobs that are available. (3 marks) (b) (c) (i) Inflation is defined as the general increase in the price of goods and services. (2 marks) (ii) Demand-pull inflation occurs when demand is greater than supply or when money supply grows faster than production. (2 marks) (iii) Cost-push inflation is caused by the rise in the cost of production e.g. when prices of factor of production (e.g. land) go up. (2 marks) (i) Calculate real interest from the products’ yields given as yield minus inflation rate: 5 – 12 = -7 ~ savings 13/5 – 12 = 1.5 ~ 91-day 11 – 12 = -1 ~ 182-day 7 - 12 = -5 ~ fixed 15-12 = 3 ~ bond So the good investments or products are those with positive real interest, that is, 91-day Treasury bill and the 3-year bond whose real interest is 1.5% and 3%, respectively. (4 marks) (ii) The two products give a return which is greater than inflation, which implies one is sure that at least the same value is retained during the year. (4 marks) QUESTION 7 a) Keynesian demand management policies advocate adjustment of the level of aggregate demand to arrive at full employment equilibrium while supply side policies advocate influencing the level of aggregate supply to achieve economic growth. (4 marks) b) Increasing government expenditure; reducing taxation; reducing interest rates; increasing money supply. (4 marks) c) LRAS1 LRAS2 Price level pe Y1 Y2 YFC2 national income ( 5 marks) Supply side policies cause a shift in the long run aggregate supply curve from LRAS1 to LRAS2 withiout affecting price level (3 marks) d) The fertilizer subsidy scheme translates into reduced cost of agricultural production. As such increased agricultural output is achievable without causing an increase in the price level. During the past two years Malawi agricultural production has improved tremendously whilst inflation has been relatively stable. QUESTION 8 (a) [per month] 2006/07 Tax 0-4000 6000 >10,000 0 600 12,000 12,600 2007/08 Tax 0-5000 5000 >10,000 0 500 14,000 14,500 So government has reduced tax burden for the low-income group and varied the burden for the higher income group. (4 marks) (b) (i) He is worse off. Now paying K14,500 in taxes as opposed to K12,600 earlier> (12 marks) (ii) (iii) K14,500 - K12,600 = The average tax rate (new) is 14,500 x 100 50,000 K1,900. (2 marks) = 29% (2 marks) Income tax regulates consumption behaviour (at household) and investment behaviour (at firm) as it directly affects how much disposable incom e is left to consumption and reinvestment (which may impact on employment). so, any increase would be a deterrent and the opposite is true. surtax or VAT may be applied to products or services which government does not support e.g. on cigarettes or alcohol. any government may remove or reduce taxes (e.g. excise or import duties) in sectors where it wants to encourage investment or consumption.