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Aggregate Supply (AS) I. Introduction to Aggregate Supply a. Aggregate supply is a schedule of the quantity of output that an economy will supply at various price levels. Can be measured in Short-Run or Long-Run. i. The relationship between the average price level of all domestic output & the level of domestic output produced. b. Production Capacity: The max value of goods an economy is capable of producing given the available resources c. Full Capacity: Max value of Real GDP representing the most production possible in the economy. i. Max level of Real GDP is max level of production; ii. Because AS is measured as a level of Real GDP, constant dollars measure the value of total production (inflation is accounted for) II. Short-Run Aggregate Supply a. The price of goods has changed, but the input prices have not adjusted to product market changes. i. In other words, the economy is not producing at potential. There is some cyclical unemployment. b. Short-Run AS Graph (SRAS) RGDPu – Unemployed/underemployed resources. Increase in production causes little change in price level. o Producers want to supply less at lower prices RGDPf – More resources being used & are becoming difficult to find causing the price of inputs to increase RGDPc – At capacity, underemployed & unemployed resources cannot be found, causing the price of inputs to increase. Small change in production causes big change in price level. o Producers want to supply more at higher prices ** The value of AS only increases if output increases. Increased price levels = increased production. ** When price levels are up, the value of AS is up; when price levels are down, the value of AS is down. i. Movement along the SRAS occurs when there is a change in the value of AS caused by a change in price level. 1. Moving along the curve… ii. Shifting the SRAS occurs when firms change production levels, caused by… 1. Input Prices: If inputs increase, less is supplied. If input decrease, more is supplied. 2. Taxes: If supply-side taxes increase, production decreases. If supply-side taxes decrease, production increases. 3. Deregulation: If regulations increase, production decreases & visa-versa. 4. Political & Environment Phenomena: Large nations will see a decrease in SRAS without permanent decreases in employment. a. If the disaster is EPIC, then small & large nations may see a permanent decrease in the ability to produce! III. Long Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS) a. Input prices have adjusted to market forces – all product & input markets are in equilibrium & full employment (no cyclical unemployment) b. LRAS Graph c. Shifting LRAS i. Availability of Resources: A large labor force, large stock of capital, or more natural resources can increase the level of full employment. ii. Technology & Productivity: Increased technology increases productivity of capital & labor. 1. Increases LRAS over time!! iii. Policy Incentives: If gov’t. policy provides incentives, GDPf rises 1. Incentives to find a job, tax incentives to invest in capital or technology IV. Macroeconomic Equilibrium a. Quantity of real output demanded is equal to the quantity of real output supplied. b. Graphing Macroeconomic Equilibrium c. Recessionary Gap: Occurs when the economy is operating below Qf & experiencing high unemployment i. When equilibrium is below Qf… d. Inflationary Gap: Occurs when the economy is operating above GDPf. Production is higher than GDPf, rising price levels are the main concern i. When equilibrium is above Qf… e. Supply Shocks: Usually caused by an epic event that would impact several industries… i. Negative Shocks: The economy faces increased unemployment & increase in prices i. Stagflation: High unemployment & high inflation rates ii. Positive Shocks: Higher productivity & lower input prices ** Increased AS causes an increase in Real GDP, an decrease in unemployment & lower price levels. ** Decreases AS causes a decrease in Real GDP, an increase in unemployment & higher price levels. V. Keynesian Economics v. Classical Economics & the AS Curve a.Keynesian School of Thought: Believes that the economy often resembles the recessionary situation. i. The flat horizontal section of the SRAS Curve. b. Classical School of Thought: Believes the economy will always gravitate toward full employment i. The vertical portion of the SRAS or the LRAS