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Reg. No…………….………. KIGALI INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY INSTITUT DES SCIENCES ET TECHNOLOGIE DE KIGALI Avenue de l'Armée, B.P. 3900 Kigali, Rwanda INSTITUTE EXAMINATIONS – ACADEMIC YEAR 2012/2013 FACULTY OF ARCHITECTURE AND ENVIRONMENTAL DESIGN (FAED) MAIN EXAM DEPARTMENT OF ESTATE MANAGEMENT AND VALUATION YEAR: 1 SEMESTER: 2 EMV3121: INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS DATE: / /2011 DURATION: 2 HRS MAXIMUM MARKS: 60 INSTRUCTIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. This paper contains Four(4) questions Question One is COMPULSORY and carries 30 Marks. Answer questions One and any other Two (2) from the remaining Three (3). Do not forget to write your registration number Do not write any answer on this question paper Note: You are required to strictly abide by ALL examination rules printed on the answer booklet. QUESTION 1 COMPULSORY [30 Marks] a) List and explain any four important reasons justifying the existence of National Income data to a growing economy like Rwanda [10 Marks] i. Gives a clear picture of the economy: The national income accounts or social accounts give a clear picture of the economy regarding the GDP, national income, per capita income, saving ratio, production, consumption, disposable income, capital expenditure, etc. It gives a clear view of the health of the economy and the way in which it functions. It also gives a view on the living standard of the people. ii. iii. Helps in the promotion of efficiency and stability of the economy: To foster the economic growth, any government has to see what she has achieved in the past and what has to be done in the future. For this purpose, the preparation of national income accounts is quite inevitable for the promotion of economic efficiency and stability. It helps the government to set the national priorities, such as education, inflation, unemployment, defence, social development, and industrialization, etc. Measurement of economic welfare: Measurement of economic welfare is another purpose of the preparation of social accounts. Through social accounting, we can know at a glance to what extent the masses are better off than at the time when planning started. iv. Shows interrelationship of different sectors of the economy: Through the study of national income accounts, the reader is in a position to inter-relate different sectors of the economy. v. Used in the formulation of monetary, fiscal and trade policies: The national income accounts are very essential for the statesmen, governments, and politicians, because they help them to efficiently formulate different economic policies, including monetary policy, fiscal policy and trade policy. In the absence of national income accounts, the economic planning would be disastrous. b) Briefly explain why money is considered to be a store of value. For this function to be achieved, what underlying conditions must prevail? [5 Marks] Money enables people to delay potential purchases to the most convenient time by providing them with a convenient way to store their purchasing power. However, to act as a store of value: – It must be capable of being reliably saved, stored, and retrieved and be predictably usable upon retrieval – The value of the money must also remain stable over time c) Outline and briefly explain any Six types of inflation that you know of [9 Marks] Creeping Inflation: This is also known as mild inflation or moderate inflation. This type of inflation occurs when the price level persistently rises over a period of time at a mild rate. When the rate of inflation is less than 10 per cent annually, or it is a single digit inflation rate, it is considered to be a moderate inflation. Galloping Inflation: If mild inflation is not checked and if it is uncontrollable, it may assume the character of galloping inflation. Inflation in the double or triple digit range of 20, 100 or 200 percent a year is called galloping inflation.. Hyperinflation: It is a stage of very high rate of inflation. While economies seem to survive under galloping inflation, a third and deadly strain takes hold when the cancer of hyperinflation strikes. Nothing good can be said about a market economy in which prices are rising a million or even a trillion percent per year. Hyperinflation occurs when the prices go out of control and the monetary authorities are unable to impose any check on it. Germany had witnessed hyperinflation in 1920’s. Stagflation: It is an economic situation in which inflation and economic stagnation or recession occur simultaneously and remain unchecked for a period of time. Stagflation was witnessed by developed countries in 1970s, when world oil prices rose dramatically. Deflation: Deflation is the reverse of inflation. It refers to a sustained decline in the price level of goods and services. It occurs when the annual inflation rate falls below zero percent (a negative inflation rate), resulting in an increase in the real value of money. Japan suffered from deflation for almost a decade in 1990s. Demand Pull Inflation: Caused by increase in aggregate demand. This increase is caused by increased private and government spending Cost Push Inflation: Is caused by a drop in aggregate supply which is caused by increased prices of inputs. It is also called as Supply Shock Inflation. Others classifications include, commodity inflation, wage inflation, monetary inflation, fiscal inflation, foreign exchange inflation etc d) Differentiate between the terms ‘trade Quota’, ‘exchange control’ and ‘dumping’ as used in international trade [6 Marks] i. Quota: a limit imposed on quantity of goods that may be imported over a given period of time ii. Exchange control system: regulation that restricts domestic residents from accessing foreign exchange. Can require permission from central bank iii. Dumping: selling products in foreign markets more cheaply in the domestic market QUESTION 2 [15 Marks] a) Outline and briefly explain any three problems of aggregation in the study of macroeconomics [10 Marks] In studying the economy in its entirety on the basis of macroeconomic aggregates, the following challenges are usually met i. Difficulty in finding an appropriate unit of measurement, e.g. total output of goods and services since there are millions of different types of goods and services in the economy ii. The problem of value measurement in instances where prices are changing, since value has dual components – price and quantity which many times is difficult to separate iii. Aggregates also hide their constituent elements e.g. an increase in total output tells nothing about who receives the output or the distribution factor. b) Macroeconomics is said to be concerned with the big issues. List and briefly explain any five of these including their implications [5 Marks] To understand these macroeconomic problems, one needs to identify, measure and analyze the main aggregates of the economy. These broad aggregates/’big issues’ include i. The Total output of goods and services in the economy-(national income) ii. iii. iv. v. vi. Total employment and unemployment The aggregate demand for, and total supply of output The balance of payments The rate of economic growth The general price level [All explained in detail] QUESTION 3 [15 marks] a) One of the key functions of money is a ‘unit of account’. Briefly explain this notion. [3 Marks] Money is a standard numerical unit of measurement of the market value of goods, services, and other transactions. A unit of account is a necessary prerequisite for the formulation of commercial agreements that involve debt. b) List any briefly explain any three required conditions for the function in (a) above to be achieved effectively. [6 Marks] As a unit of account, money must be: – Divisible into smaller units without loss of value; – Fungible, that is, one unit or piece must be perceived as equivalent to any other. – Verifiably countable. A specific weight, or measure, or size to be c) Explain any three motives for liquidity preference [6 Marks] Liquidity preference refers to the desire to hold money in cash or bank deposits. The motive to do so include: i. Transaction motive: this is holding money in cash to facilitate day-to-day transactions. It is assumed that income is received once at a time but the expenditure is continuous, hence money is held to offset these continuous expenditures. ii. Speculative motive: Also referred to as speculative demand. This is where current demand for money depend on expectations of the future occurrences e.g. future rise in lending interest rates can encourage speculators to hold money in cash to meet such dealings iii. Precautionary motive: Precautionary motive arise out of consumers desire to provide for unexpected and unplanned expenditures. Money kept to meet such unforeseen eventualities constitutes precautionary demand. This however depends on the level of income. The higher the level of income, the higher is the sum put aside to meet these needs and vise versa. iv. Finance motive: Money held in cash to finance or sustain ongoing needs/demands such as ongoing investments. QUESTION 4 [15 Marks] a) Define a commercial bank [ 2 Marks] A commercial bank is a financial institution, usually licensed by government, whose primary function is to provide financial services to customers, while enriching its investors. Commercial banks are regulated by government in their functions b) Explain the meaning of the terms ‘expansionary’ and ‘restrictive’ monetary policy. List any Six tools that the National Bank of Rwanda (BNR) can use to implement the national monetary policy [8 Marks] Monetary policy is the process by which a government, central bank, or monetary authority manages the money supply to achieve specific goals. Monetary policy can be expansionary (geared towards increasing money supply) or restrictive (aimed at reducing money supply) Interest rate policy Currency purchases or sales Increasing or lowering government borrowing Increasing or lowering government spending Lending ceilings Open market operations (OMO) Special deposits by commercial banks Manipulation of exchange rates Raising or lowering bank reserve requirements [Any 6] c) Explain the principle of money creation using fractional reserve lending [5 Marks] Money creation through the fractional reserve system: Fractional-reserve banking creates money whenever a new loan is created. The ultimate amount created depends on the reserve ratio. For example, If an initial deposit of 5,000,000 is made, with the reserve ratio R, of 20%, the total money created is equal to Initial deposit (I) x Multiplier(M). Where the Multiplies = 1/R. Hence in the above case, total money deposits created = 5,000,000 x 5 = 25,000,000. Reg. No…………….………. KIGALI INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY INSTITUT DES SCIENCES ET TECHNOLOGIE DE KIGALI Avenue de l'Armée, B.P. 3900 Kigali, Rwanda INSTITUTE EXAMINATIONS – ACADEMIC YEAR 2012/2013 FACULTY OF ARCHITECTURE AND ENVIRONMENTAL DESIGN (FAED) SUPPLEMENTARY EXAM DEPARTMENT OF ESTATE MANAGEMENT AND VALUATION YEAR: 1 SEMESTER: 2 EMV3121: INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS DATE: / /2011 DURATION: 2 HRS MAXIMUM MARKS: 60 INSTRUCTIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. This paper contains Four(4) questions Question One is COMPULSORY and carries 30 Marks. Answer questions One and any other Two (2) from the remaining Three (3). Do not forget to write your registration number Do not write any answer on this question paper Note: You are required to strictly abide by ALL examination rules printed on the answer booklet. QUESTION 1 COMPULSORY [30 Marks] a) Distinguish between formal impact and effective impact of a tax [5 Marks] Formal tax incidence refers to an individual or firm on whom the initial impact of the tax falls. Effective Incidence on the other hand refers to the final resting place of a tax. This therefore is a more important concept from an economic point of view when considering the ultimate effect of a tax on say distribution of income b) What are the advantages and limitations associated with macroeconomics study? [10 Marks] Importance of Macro-Economics is as below 1. It is helpful in understanding the functioning of a complicated economic system. It also studies the functioning of global economy. With growth of globalization and WTO regime, the study of macro-economics has become more important. 2. It is very important in the formulation of useful economic policies for the nation to remove the problems of unemployment, inflation, rising prices and poverty. 3. Through macro-economics, the national income can be estimated and regulated. The per capita income and the people’s living standard are also estimated through macro-economic study. It explains the fluctuations in national income, per capita income, output and employment. Limitations of Macro-Economics: 1. Individual is ignored altogether. For example, in macroeconomics national saving is increased through increasing tax on consumption, which directly affects the consumer welfare. 2. The macro-economic analysis overlooks individual differences. For instance, the general price level may be stable, but the prices of food grains may have gone spelling ruin to the poor. A steep rise in manufactured articles may conceal a calamitous fall in agricultural prices, while the average prices were steady. The agriculturists may be ruined. While speaking of the aggregates, it is also essential to remember the nature, composition and structure of the components. c) Define international trade. Why do countries carry out this kind of trade? [5 Marks] International trade refers to the exchange of capital, goods, and services across international borders or territories of the countries involved. It is trade between countries. This kind of trade is conducted with the aim of maximizing benefits of specialization, diversity, interrelationships etc. Countries are usually not endowed with all needed resources, hence international trade allows for the sharing, acquisition or exchange of these resources. It is usually controlled by way of tariffs, quotas etc? d) Suppose the economy of Rwanda was to be hit by double digit inflation, what would be the likely effects on the real estate sector? [10 marks] Possible effects would include Due to the decrease in the real value of money and other monetary items over time, this would make it difficult to acquire items necessary for the development of the sector such as building materials Uncertainty about future of the sector and the economy as a whole Inflation may discourage investment and saving, investors would be discouraged to invest in Rwanda Vacancy rates might increase as demand for property falls with businesses shifting to other more stable countries Reduction in overall economic productivity, this can lead to unemployment in the sector High inflation may lead to shortages of goods if consumers begin hoarding. This would divert money from the sector to meet such basic goods Lending institutions e.g. banks would loose Government would looses in taxes from tax payers, unless rates are revised QUESTION 2 [15 Marks] a) Differentiate between direct taxes and indirect taxes [4 Marks] Direct taxes: this category is imposed on income, wealth, spending power or any of these tax bases Indirect taxes: Indirect taxes are levied on goods and services and are often included in the price of the product. The tax base is the goods and services itself b) Why do governments formulate and implement fiscal policies? [5 Marks] The primary role of government in almost all economies is to maintain stability in the economy as well as safeguarding citizens’ welfare. The undertaking of these responsibilities can sometimes involve massive spending by government depending on the situation. The money to finance the government’s spending is sometimes realized through taxation, printing more money, user charges etc. Fiscal policy is therefore concerned with and guides government spending and taxation c) Briefly explain the following principles of taxation i. Economy principle [3 Marks] The cost of collection should be minimal in relation to the tax yield. The total amount of the tax collected should considerably exceed the cost of carrying out the collection exercise; otherwise it would be utterly meaningless and not viable ii. Convenience principle [3 Marks] The method, manner and time for payment should be convenient to the tax payer e.g. If the tax payer is a farmer, the time of collecting the taxes should be after harvest is done and not during planting period. Similarly, the approach and the manner in which the exercise is conducted should be realistic and acceptable if it is to be successful QUESTION 3 [15 Marks] Write short notes on the following as used in macroeconomics a) Fisher’s quantity theory of money [5 Marks] The quantity theory of money states that ‘the average price of transactions in an economy is proportional to the nominal quantity of money in circulation’. According to this theory, money is held for making payment for current transaction. This relationship is summarized in Fisher’s equation of exchange Demand for money = transaction demand According to Fisher M α P MV = PT MV = PT – – – – [Where V and T are constant] (Fisher’s equation of exchange) where M is the nominal stock of money, V is its velocity (how many times a unit of money turns over during a period of time), P is the price level and T is number of transaction b) Excess burden of a tax [5 Marks] Excess burden: refers to net fall in welfare (or deadweight loss) as a result of imposing the tax. It’s a notion that tax on income, capital and commodities distort choice in such a way that the total loss by the tax payer is greater than the money burden of the tax Total loss > Money burden Dx-Dx is the demand curve for good X Sx is the supply curve before tax and (Sx+T) is the supply curve after taxation – all made horizontal for simplicity P1P0RS represents the tax revenue The shaded area RST represents excess burden or dead weight loss of the tax STQ0Q1 is the value the society places on Q0Q1. However, this amount is greater than the resource cost of producing it RTQ0Q1 by RST (the shaded area) c) The theory of absolute advantage [5 Marks] A country is said to have an absolute advantage in the production of a commodity if it can produce it more efficiently than any other country. This implies that the production in the country yields more output for a given unit of inputs Country Inputs Output A 100 240 B 100 265 Country B is said to have absolute advantage in the production of the good in the above case since it produces more units of output with the same units of inputs. QUESTION 4 [15 Marks] a) Briefly explain the three methods of measuring National Income. [3 Marks] Product/output approach (O): National output is found by adding up the value of all final goods and services produced by firms during the year. Intermediate goods are omitted to avoid double counting Expenditure approach (E): National expenditure is found by adding up total value of spending on final goods and services during the year. National expenditure therefore includes total consumption, investment, government expenditure and net export Income approach (Y): This includes all incomes earned by factors of production during a year. b) With respect to Keynesian classical economics, explain with illustrations: i. Equilibrium national income at full employment [6 Marks] When national income is in equilibrium at full employment, no gap is said to exist. All resources are said to be employed ii. Deflationary gap and suggest any three remedial measures that can be used to address it. [6 Marks] Deflationary gap is the amount by which aggregate demand must be increased to raise the equilibrium national income to full level of employment. It occurs when national income is in equilibrium at less than full employment of resources Remedies Deflationary gap can be closed by increasing aggregate demand through Increasing government spending. The increase in total injection will have a multiplier effect on income Reducing taxes (restrictive fiscal policy) which stimulates consumption by increasing disposable income