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Download AP Macroeconomics Unit 5 Portfolio Questions and Answers
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AP Macroeconomics 1. 2. 3. UNIT 5 PORTFOLIO QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS QUESTIONS REPRESENT A BUSINESS CYCLE. WHY DOES THE ECONOMY MOVE IN CYCLES? DEFINE THE BASIC PARADIGM OF CLASSIC ECONOMINC THEORY. GRAPH THE AGGREGATE SUPLY MODEL IN THE LONG RUN AND DESCRIBE (EXPLAIN) ITS SHAPE. DEFINE THE KEYNESIAN THEORY. Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Model (Keynesian Theory) (review the unit 5 material ) 4. Define Aggregate Demand (AD) and list the factors (components) of the aggregate demand that shift the AD curve. 5. Describe the shape of the AD. Why does the aggregate demand curve have a downward slope? 6. 7. Describe the foreign sector substitution effect, the interest rate effect, and the wealth effect. Define aggregate supply (AS). 8. What is the meaning of short run and long run in the economy? 9. Explain both the macroeconomic short run model and the long run model of the AS. What is the best way to describe the AS curve in the long run? 10. List the basic factors that affect short-run AS. Explain the effect of each factor. 11. List the basic factors that affect both short-run AS and long-run AS. Explain the effect of each factor. List the factors that affect the level of full employment. 12. 16. Draw an aggregate supply/aggregate demand diagram. Label the axes of your diagram. Make the aggregate supply curve upward sloping. Show which curve shifts when foreigners suddenly develop a distaste for our products. What will happen to equilibrium price level in the short run? Would you expect the same thing to happen to equilibrium output and the equilibrium price level in the long run? Redraw the aggregate supply/aggregate demand diagram using a vertical aggregate supply curve. Now what happen when foreigners develop distaste for our products? Explain why the long run aggregate supply curve is draw as a vertical line and the short run aggregate supply curve is draw upward sloping? Explain why the long run effects of a change in foreign tastes are different from the short run effects. Using the model of AD and AS, what happens to real GDP; the price level, and unemployment with more consumption spending? Explain the trade-off between inflation and unemployment. 17. What is the main contrast between the short-run and long-run Philips curve? 13. 14. 15. ANSWERS 1. REPRESENT A BUSINESS CYCLE. WHY DOES THE ECONOMY MOVE IN CYCLES? The Business Cycle means Economic Instability. The business cycle affects all sectors of the economy, though in varying ways and degrees. The cycle has greater effects on output and employment in the capital goods and durable consumer goods industries than in the services and non-durable goods industries. Recurring increases and decreases in the level of economic activity over periods of years. It consists of 4 phases: Peak: Business activity has reached a temporary maximum. The economy is near or at FULL EMPLOYMENT and the level of real GDP (output) is at or very close to the economy’s capacity. The price level is likely to rise (inflation) during this phase. Recession is a period of decline in total output, income, and unemployment. It’s marked by the contraction of business activity in many sectors of the economy, GDP declines, unemployment increases. Trough (depression) : output and unemployment “bottom out” at their lowest levels. Recovery or Expansion: Period in which the real GD, income, and employment rise. At some point the economy again approaches full employment. Inflation can occur if Spending expands more rapidly than does production capacity WHY DOES THE ECONOMY MOVE IN CYCLES? The average growth rate of the United States economy, as measured by the percentage change in real GDP is just over 3 % per year for the postwar period. Only in a very few years has the economy grown at its average rate. It typically grows faster than average and then in some years real GDP falls or shows negative growth. All economy experience fluctuations in economic activity (contractions and expansions) The ups and downs in economy activity are recurrent but do not conform to a uniform schedule. It’s extremely difficult to predict its severity and length. 2. DEFINE THE BASIC PARADIGM OF CLASSIC ECONOMINC THEORY. GRAPH THE AGGREGATE SUPLY MODEL IN THE LONG RUN AND DESCRIBE (EXPLAIN) ITS SHAPE. From 1800 – 1930. The basic classic idea is the Say’s Law “Supply creates its own demand” (Supply = Demand . Whenever anything is produced, it generated an amount of income equal to its value. Then, that it would be impossible to produce too much because of this fact. When something is produced (supplied), it gendered enough income to purchase (demand) the item. However, there is no rule that says the income generated in the production process must be used to buy the item produced. Workers and employees may decide to save a portion of their earnings. The unpurchased Items would collect in INVENTORIES Inventories (extra supply) induce producer to lower prices, people buy more and finally prices would adjust to ensure there was no excess production (Say’s answer /Classical approach answer). THE BASIC PARADIGM OF CLASSIC ECONOMINC THEORY: Demand for product was never a concern for Classical thinkers. There was enough demand, then the most important factor determining output (GDP) was SUPPLY, and the most important factors determining the supply were the AMOUNT of Resources (Factor of Production) in economy and the state of technology. The classical analysis has a very simple answer to the questions “What does decide the amount of output in the economy? RESOURCES and TECHNOLOGY In 1930, the Great Depression years, the classical analysis cannot explain the macroeconomics situation: There was no decrease in lands, labor, and capital, the same technical level, but the output (GDP) fells during the Great Depression. A classical aggregate supply curve Price Level AS Real GDP (Output) It’s a perfect vertical line indicating the classical approach: output depends on the amount of resources and the state of technology, NOT PRICES. Classical reasoning says “the price level would be high or low; it doesn’t matter, because the amount of supply (real GDP or output) is NOT a function of prices”. There are many situations where the price level in the economy really affects the amount supplied by all producers. In 1936 J. M. Keynes (elaborated another approach to explain the macroeconomic behavior during the Great Depression (Keynesian Theory) 3. DEFINE THE KEYNESIAN THEORY. The classical postulate that the price adjustments guarantee that supply would be always equal demand did not work under certain conditions. Keynes pointed out that Say’s Law, the basis of the classical analysis did not hold true in all cases (all time). Keynes presented the AD/AS Model to explain how the economy worked during the Great Depression. The AD/AS model indicates that the Great Depression was caused by a lack of demand for goods and services. Based on this evaluation of the situation, Keynes developed a remedy (cure) for the Great Depression. Keynes’ approach was considered too radical and it was not applied until World War II. Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Model (Keynesian Theory) (review the unit 5 material ) 4. Define Aggregate Demand (AD) and list the factors (components) of the aggregate demand that shift the AD curve. Aggregate demand is a schedule or curve that shows the amounts of real output (real GDP) that buyers collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level. The relationship between the price level (as measured by the GDP price index) and the amount of real GDP demanded is inverse or negative: When the price level rises, the quantity of real GDP demanded decreases; when the price level falls, the quantity of real GDP demanded increases. AD= C + I + G + Xn X n = Export -Import Determinants of aggregate demand / factors that shift the aggregate demand curve 1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household borrowing d. Personal taxes 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Expected returns • Expected future business conditions • Technology • Degree of excess capacity • Business taxes 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates 5. Describe the shape of the AD. Why does the aggregate demand curve have a downward slope? An aggregate demand curve (AD) shows the relationship between the total quantity of output demanded (measured as real GDP) and the price level (measured as the implicit price deflator). At each price level, the total quantity of goods and services demanded is the sum of the components of real GDP, as shown in the table. There is a negative relationship between the price level and the total quantity of goods and services demanded all other things unchanged. There are two reasons for a negative relationship between price and quantity demanded in individual markets. First, a lower price induces people to substitute more of the good whose price has fallen for other goods, increasing the quantity demanded. Second, the lower price creates a higher real income. This normally increases quantity demanded further. 6. Describe the foreign sector substitution effect, the interest rate effect, and the wealth effect. An increase in wealth will induce people to increase their consumption. The consumption component of aggregate demand will thus be greater at lower price levels than at higher price levels. The tendency for a change in the price level to affect real wealth and thus alter consumption is called the wealth effect; it suggests a negative relationship between the price level and the real value of consumption spending. A lower price level thus reduces interest rates. Lower interest rates make borrowing by firms to build factories or buy equipment and other capital more attractive. A lower interest rate means lower mortgage payments, which tends to increase investment in residential houses. Investment thus rises when the price level falls. The tendency for a change in the price level to affect the interest rate and thus to affect the quantity of investment demanded is called the interest rate effect. A lower price level makes that economy’s goods more attractive to foreign buyers, increasing exports. It will also make foreign-produced goods and services less attractive to the economy’s buyers, reducing imports. The result is an increase in net exports. The international trade effect is the tendency for a change in the price level to affect net exports. 7. Define aggregate supply (AS). Aggregate supply is a schedule or curve showing the relationship between the price levels of output and the amount of real domestic output that firms in the economy produce. This relationship varies depending on the time horizon and how quickly output prices and input prices can change. We will define three time horizons. • In the immediate short run, both input prices and output prices are fixed. • In the short run, input prices are fixed but output prices can vary. • In the long run, input prices as well as output prices can vary. 8. What is the meaning of short run and long run in the economy? Short run: a time period at which the prices of goods and services are changing in their respective markets, but INPUT PRICE S has NOT yet adjusted to those product market changes. Long-run: a time period long enough for input prices to be adjusted to market forces. Now all product and input markets are in equilibrium and the economy is at full employment. 9. Explain both the macroeconomic short run model and the long run model of the AS. What is the best way to describe the AS curve in the long run? Short Run Aggregate Supply Curve Price Level Real GDP 10. List the basic factors that affect short-run AS. Explain the effect of each factor. 11. List the basic factors that affect both short-run AS and long-run AS. Explain the effect of each factor. List the factors that affect the level of full employment. See unit 5 material 12. Draw an aggregate supply/aggregate demand diagram. Label the axes of your diagram. Make the aggregate supply curve upward sloping. Show which curve shifts when foreigners suddenly develop a distaste for our products. What will happen to equilibrium price level in the short run? 13. Would you expect the same thing to happen to equilibrium output and the equilibrium price level in the long run? Redraw the aggregate supply/aggregate demand diagram using a vertical aggregate supply curve. Now what happen when foreigners develop distaste for our products? 14. Explain why the long run aggregate supply curve is draw as a vertical line and the short run aggregate supply curve is draw upward sloping? Explain why the long run effects of a change in foreign tastes are different from the short run effects. 15. Using the model of AD and AS, what happens to real GDP; the price level, and unemployment with more consumption spending? 16. Explain the trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Phillips Curve Showing Tradeoff between unemployment and inflation If an economy experienced inflation, then the Central Bank could raise interest rates. Higher interest rates will reduce consumer spending and investment leading to lower aggregate demand. This fall in aggregate demand will lead to lower inflation. However, if there is a decline in Real GDP, firms will employ fewer workers leading to a rise in unemployment. 17. What is the main contrast between the short-run and long-run Philips curve? It is also possible to have a rise in both inflation and unemployment. If there was a rise in cost-push inflation, the aggregate supply curve would shift to the left, there would be a fall in economic activity and higher prices. For example, during an oil price shock, it is possible to have a rise in inflation (costpush) and rise in unemployment due to lower growth. However, there is still a tradeoff. If the Central Bank sought to reduce the cost-push inflation through higher interest rates, they could. However, it would lead to an even bigger rise in unemployment.