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GCE Economics Course Companion Unit A2 2: The Global Economy GCE Economics Course Companion A2 2: The Global Economy “No nation was ever ruined by trade.” Benjamin Franklin What is this unit about? In this unit you will develop the knowledge you gained in AS 1 and AS 2 by looking at international trade and payments in more detail and exploring some of the issues that arise from increasing globalisation. You will: explore the reasons for trade and examine why countries, from time to time, adopt protectionist measures; analyse the structure of the UK Balance of Payments Account, consider the problems caused by payment imbalances and look at ways in which these can be corrected; examine how a currency’s exchange rate is determined, consider the effects of rate changes and explore how exchange rate fluctuations might be stabilised; explore the economic role of the European Union and consider how effectively it operates; investigate the main features and effects of globalisation; analyse the different stages of economic development that countries experience and examine the factors that affect development; and consider how government macroeconomic policy is affected by the growing openness of the world economy. What are the main topics I need to study? The exact number and sequence of topics you will study in this unit will depend on how your teacher decides to organise the course. However the content is organised, you should always try and relate the concepts and theories you study to real world events and issues. It is likely that this unit will follow a structure similar to the one below. 3 1. International trade and protection In this section you will: investigate the reasons why countries trade; use the theory of comparative advantage to explain the gains from trade; evaluate the usefulness of this theory; consider arguments for and against free trade; explore how countries may protect themselves from foreign competition; and examine the role and effectiveness of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). 2. The UK balance of payments and the exchange rate Here you will: learn about the main sections of the UK balance of payments and recent trends in the UK’s trade and investment flows; learn why the overall balance of payments account must balance; explore the nature of balance of payments’ problems and examine different ways in which these may be corrected; learn how a currency’s exchange rate is determined; analyse the effects of changes in the exchange rate; consider the pros and cons of floating and stable exchange rates; and examine the different ways in which a currency’s exchange rate can be stabilised. 4 3. The European Union (EU) In this section you will: learn about the distinctions between free trade areas, customs unions, common currency areas and full economic and monetary union; examine how the EU can both create and divert trade; consider the effects of EU enlargement; consider the pros and cons of joining the eurozone; examine the role and effects of the European Central Bank (ECB); and consider the effects of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). 4. Globalisation and economic development Here you will: examine the meaning and main features of globalisation; consider the impact of globalisation on developed and less developed economies; examine the effects of international groupings and organisations on the global economy; learn about the main stages of economic development; examine the factors which may promote or hold back economic development; learn about ways in which foreign aid to less developed economies may be provided; examine the roles of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank; and consider the arguments for trade versus aid as a way of helping economies to develop. 5. Macroeconomic policy in an open economy In this section you will consider: explore the international pressures on countries to protect the environment; and examine the ways in which international factors may affect the operation of a country’s economic policies. 5 What areas cause students particular problems? Though most students find the content of this unit to be topical and interesting, there are certain areas which some students find particularly challenging. These problem areas are discussed below: The theory of comparative advantage The theory (or law or principle) of comparative advantage is one of the most important economic ideas. It provides the basis for specialisation and exchange between individuals and firms and it is central to the explanation of why countries trade and the process of globalisation. However, students often have difficulty in explaining this idea as it seems to suggest the opposite to what their intuition tells them. In international economics, the theory of comparative advantage states that all countries can benefit from specialisation and trade provided that they specialise in goods in which they have a comparative advantage and trade those goods for other goods in which they have a comparative disadvantage. The theory is usually associated with the 19th century economist David Ricardo. It is normally illustrated through a very simple two-country, two-product model. A comparative advantage exists when a country is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another country. For example, assume that there are just two countries, Joyland and Sadland producing and consuming two goods, bread and fish. Before any specialisation and trade, we assume that both countries have equal amounts of resources and divide these equally in producing both goods. This gives the following situation: Production before specialisation Bread (tonnes) Fish (tonnes) Joyland 400 200 Sadland 200 150 Total 600 350 Joyland is more efficient than Sadland at producing both products, ie it has an absolute advantage in both bread and fish. This could be because it has better factor endowments such as more fertile wheat fields or more skilful fishers. However, it has a comparative advantage in the production of bread. This can be seen by looking at the opportunity cost of producing one tonne of bread in each country. If Joyland used all its resources to produce bread, it could produce 800 tonnes of bread and no fish. If it used all its resources to produce fish, it could produce 400 tonnes of fish and no bread. Therefore, for each tonne of bread it produces the opportunity cost is the 0.5 tonne of fish it could have produced instead. If Sadland used all its resources to produce bread, it could produce 400 tonnes of bread and no fish. If it used all its resources to produce fish, it could produce 300 tonnes of fish and no bread. Therefore, for each tonne of bread it produces the opportunity cost is the 0.75 tonne of fish it could have produced instead. 6 Joyland Sadland Opportunity costs Bread (tonnes) Fish (tonnes) 1 0.5 1 0.75 In this situation, Joyland therefore has a comparative advantage in the production of bread and Sadland has a comparative advantage in producing fish. If both countries specialise in the production of their goods of comparative advantage, then it is possible to increase production of both goods. For example, if Joyland produced 650 tonnes of bread it could still produce 75 tonnes of fish whereas if Sadland specialised exclusively in producing fish, it could produce 300 tonnes. Thus compared with the situation before specialisation, more of both goods are produced: 50 extra tonnes of bread and 25 extra tonnes of fish. Production after specialisation Bread (tonnes) Fish (tonnes) Joyland 650 75 Sadland 0 300 Total 650 375 By trading, it is possible for both countries to gain. For this to happen, terms of trade need to be agreed that are within the limits of the countries’ opportunity cost ratios, that is, somewhere between 1 tonne of bread = 0.5 tonnes of fish and 1 tonne of bread = 0.75 tonnes of fish. For example, suppose that the countries agreed to trade at an exchange rate of 1 tonne of bread = 0.64 tonnes of fish. Joyland could trade 225 tonnes of its bread for 225 x 0.64 = 144 tonnes of Sadland’s fish. This would give a situation after trade in which both countries could enjoy more of both products than they did before they specialised in their products of comparative advantage. This is shown below: Joyland Sadland Total Situation after trade Bread (tonnes) Fish (tonnes) 425 219 225 156 650 375 Compared with the situation before specialisation, the happy inhabitants of Joyland can enjoy an extra 25 tonnes of bread and an extra 19 tonnes of fish while their less fortunate trading partners in Sadland are now a little less sad as they have 25 tonnes more bread and 6 tonnes more fish – a ‘win-win’ outcome! 7 The essential steps in using a model like this are to: make clear your assumptions; make sure that the opportunity cost ratios are different in each country; remember that a country has a comparative advantage in the product in which it has the lower opportunity cost; appreciate that both countries do not necessarily have to specialise completely in their products of comparative advantage; and make sure that the terms of trade fall between the opportunity cost ratios if beneficial trade is to take place. You should practice applying this model of comparative advantage with different figures until you are confident that you have grasped how it works. The effects of specialisation and trade can also be illustrated by the use of production possibility frontiers. Specialisation and trade allow the achievement of combinations of goods that would previously have been unattainable, that is outside the countries’ production possibility frontiers, when the countries were self-sufficient. Production and consumption possibilities Fish (tonnes) Sadland (after trade) 400 Joyland (after trade) 300 Joyland (before spec) 200 150 Sadland (before spec) Bread (tonnes) 200 400 800 8 The theory of comparative advantage is often criticised as being too simplistic because it relies on unrealistic assumptions such as: a very uncomplicated model two-country, two-product model; the ignoring of transport costs; perfect occupational mobility of factors of production within a country; full employment of factors of production; perfectly competitive markets; constant returns to scale; and no externalities from production or consumption. Some commentators also point out that the theory was formulated at a time when capital was largely immobile between countries and that this is no longer the case in today’s sophisticated, global economy. However, some of these assumptions are only used to create a workable model; they do not destroy its ability to illustrate an essential economic truth. For example, increasing the number of countries and products involved only increases the opportunities to benefit from specialisation and trade, and the existence of increasing returns to scale may actually increase the gains from specialisation. It should also be remembered that comparative advantage is a dynamic concept – a country can gain or lose a comparative advantage in a particular product over a period of time. This will happen when there is a change in relative efficiency and opportunity cost ratios, for example, because one country invests more in new technology or training. Trade barriers Though most students understand the nature of overt trade barriers such as tariffs and quotas, many have difficulty in analysing and evaluating their impact on the economy. They are also less sure about the nature of ‘hidden’ or ‘covert’ trade barriers. Tariffs A tariff is a tax on imports. It may also be referred to as an import duty or customs duty. Tariffs are normally imposed as a deliberate attempt to reduce the demand for imports by raising their price to the consumer and thereby making domestically produced goods more competitive. The effects of a tariff can be analysed with the aid of a supply and demand diagram. In the absence of foreign trade, the market price and quantity would be fixed by the interaction of domestic demand and supply: Pd and Qd. We then assume that a country can obtain as many imports as it wishes at the prevailing world price below the domestic market price, Pw. The world supply curve Sw is therefore perfectly elastic at this price. In this situation, domestic production will fall to Q1 whereas domestic demand will rise to Q4; the difference being made up of imports of Q1Q4. 9 If the government now imposes a specific tariff of PwPt per unit, the world supply curve shifts upwards to Swt by the amount of the tariff. In this situation, domestic demand falls to Q3 whereas domestic supply rises to Q2. Imports therefore fall to Q2Q3. Compared with the situation before the imposition of the tariff, consumer surplus has been reduced by the total of all the shaded areas on the diagram as consumers now have to pay a higher price for a smaller quantity of goods. The government receives PwPwt x Q2Q3 in tax revenue. Of the remainder of the lost consumer surplus, part has gone in the cost of the extra factors of production employed by domestic producers and part to producers in the extra profits that have boosted their producer surplus. However, part of the lost consumer surplus has not been reallocated to any other group; this is the net loss to society as a whole and is referred to as the deadweight welfare loss. Effect of the imposition of a tariff Price Sd Revenue from tariff Extra costs Deadweight welfare loss Pd Pwt Swt Pw Sw Inc in prod surplus Q1 D Q2 Qd Q3 10 Q4 Quantity Quotas A quota is a quantitative restriction on the amount of goods allowed into a country. Quotas can be set in terms of the number of units or value of goods imported. The effect of a quota is to restrict the total supply to the domestic market and thereby increase the price to consumers. This can be analysed in a similar way to the effect of a tariff shown above. In a situation in which there is free trade, domestic suppliers would have to compete at the world price. Initially, at the prevailing world price, domestic consumers demand Q4. Of this quantity, domestic suppliers provide Q1 and the remainder, Q1Q4, is supplied from imports. When a quota of Q1Q2 is imposed, the new effective supply curve is Sd + q at every price above Pw. The price that consumers have to pay therefore rises to Pq and quantity demanded falls to Q3. Of this quantity, domestic suppliers provide Q5 and the remainder of Q5Q3 is supplied from imports. Overall, consumer surplus has fallen by the total shaded area. Domestic producers have received an increase in producer surplus, there are increased payments to domestic factors of production and foreign suppliers are now receiving a higher price for the goods they supply to the domestic market. Again there is an overall deadweight welfare loss but, unlike with the tariff, there is no import tax revenue for the government. Effect of the imposition of a quota Price Sd Sd + q Inc in prod surplus Deadweight welfare loss Pq Pw a Sw D Q1 Q5 Q2 Q3 11 Q4 Quantity Subsidies Another method by which domestic suppliers can be helped to compete with foreign producers is through the payment of government subsidies. This effectively tops-up the price received in the market by domestic producers and makes it profitable for them to supply a greater amount than was previously the case. Again the effect of the payment of the subsidy can be analysed with the aid of a similar diagram. Initially, without the subsidy and with the ruling world price at Pw, domestic producers would only be prepared to supply Q1 and the rest of the domestic demand for the good, Q1Q3, would have to be met from imports. If a specific subsidy of PwPs is paid to domestic producers, then the domestic supply curve shifts to the right to Sds. Domestic producers are now able to supply Q2 at the prevailing world price and the amount of imports falls to Q2Q3. In this case, there is no reduction in consumer surplus, as the market price and quantity remain the same at Pw and Q3. However, domestic producers have received an increase in producer surplus, there have been increased payments to domestic factors of production and the government has to pay out a total subsidy of PwPs x Q2. There has therefore effectively been a re-distribution of income from domestic taxpayers to domestic firms and factors of production. Effect of the payment of a subsidy to domestic producers Price Sd Amount of subsidy Sds Ps Pw a Sw D Q1 Q3 Q2 12 Quantity Other trade barriers There are a number of other ways in which domestic producers can be protected from foreign competition. These include: embargoes: complete bans on imported goods; exchange controls: limits on the amount of foreign currency that domestic residents can use to purchase foreign goods and services; voluntary restraint of export agreements: countries mutually agree to restrict their exports to one another; import licenses: importers are required to obtain a license before they can legally purchase goods from abroad; and administrative barriers: sometimes countries can use excessive bureaucracy, unnecessarily strict health and safety regulations and/or customs checks, and government procurement policies that favour domestic producers to restrict imports. As these restrictions are normally presented as being imposed for reasons other than trade protection, they are often referred to as ‘covert’ or ‘hidden’ barriers. All trade barriers tend to cause some efficiency losses as they encourage less efficient domestic production at the expense of restricting domestic consumers’ access to cheaper imports. However, trade barriers are sometimes defended on economic and non-economic grounds. The following is a brief outline of some of these arguments. Arguments for trade barriers The infant industry argument: This states that short-term protection can sometimes be justified, particularly in less developed economies, in order to allow recently established industries to develop and take advantage of as yet unexploited economies of scale. Once these industries have developed sufficiently, it is argued that the protection can be withdrawn. However, the danger is that industries may become dependent on trade barriers and never learn to become fully efficient. Anti-dumping: Sometimes countries may need to take action to protect their industries from unfair competition from goods being ‘dumped’ from abroad. These goods may be sold in the export market at prices lower than they would normally be sold domestically, perhaps due to government subsidy. Dumping is outlawed by World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules but it can often be difficult to prove. Demerit goods: Protectionist measures may sometimes be used to safeguard society from the over-consumption of demerit goods such as alcohol, tobacco and narcotics that might arise from the availability of cheap foreign supplies of these goods. Employment: Countries may wish to maintain certain industries in which they do not have a comparative advantage in order to protect against the damage to employment that might be caused by over-specialisation. If a country is heavily 13 dependent on a small number of industries and these become subject to increased competition from developing foreign producers with lower costs, then heavy structural unemployment may be experienced. Strategic reasons: A country may justify the use of trade barriers to protect industries that it may depend upon in times of war or national emergency, for example, steel, arms or agriculture. Culture: It may be argued that protection of certain industries is justified in order to maintain a certain way of life which is part of a country’s tradition and heritage. When evaluating the effects of trade barriers, be sure that you weigh up the pros and cons carefully. Use the tools of consumer and producer surplus to help you analyse how different groups are affected and examine the overall effect on economic welfare. Some students tend to neglect or underplay the effects on consumers. Trade creation and trade diversion Though students are normally able to understand the nature of the free trade area and customs union formed by a trading bloc such as the EU, some find difficulty in explaining the trade creation and diversion effects of these arrangements. Trade creation refers to the effect on domestic consumer spending of the abolition of tariffs between member countries. As domestic consumers are now able to find cheaper foreign alternatives they will switch expenditure away from higher cost domestic producers. This effect is illustrated in the following diagram. It is the reverse of the effect of the imposition of the tariff illustrated earlier. Initially, with the tariff in existence, domestic consumers pay a price of Pt for Q3 goods. Q2 of this quantity is supplied by domestic producers with Q2Q3 provided by imports. When the tariff is removed the price falls to the EU level of Peu. Domestic consumers now consume Q4, with Q1 being provided from imports from other EU countries. The total shaded area represents the increase in consumer surplus as a result of the removal of the tariff. Part of this gain is accounted for by the loss of producer surplus, part by the reduction in domestic costs of production through the unemployment of some domestic factors of production and part by the reduction in the government’s tax revenue. The remainder represents the net welfare gain from the removal of the tariff. Trade creation effect of removal of a tariff 14 Price Sd Revenue lost from removal of tariff Reduction in costs Net welfare gain Pt St Peu Seu Reduction in prod surplus Q1 D Q2 Q3 Q4 Quantity Trade diversion refers to the shift in domestic consumer expenditure from lower cost suppliers of imports from outside the trading bloc to higher cost producers within the trading bloc when a common external tariff is imposed. As illustrated previously, the effects of the imposition of a tariff results in a loss of consumer surplus due to higher prices being paid for a smaller quantity of goods. It also results in an increase in producer surplus, an increase in costs of production, extra tax revenue and a deadweight welfare loss. The overall effect therefore on a country’s citizens of joining a free trade area and customs union like the EU will therefore depend on the balance between trade creation and trade diversion. 15 The balance of payments The balance of payments is a record of all of a country’s financial transactions with other countries over a given period of time. Students sometimes find difficulty in explaining why the balance of payments as a whole must balance and tend to misunderstand or ignore the nature of financing through drawing on or additions to the official reserve assets which consist mainly of holdings of foreign currencies. The UK Balance of Payments forms an important part of its national accounts. The account is made up of two main sections. Current account The current account is principally a measure of payments and receipts generated by international trade in goods and services. In the UK, the current account is divided into four parts. Trade in goods: exports of goods minus imports of goods. Trade in services: exports minus imports of ‘invisibles’ such as financial services, transport, travel and tourism, royalties and license fees. Income: earnings from UK investments abroad and the repatriation of income from UK nationals abroad minus earnings of other countries from their investments in the UK and the repatriation of income from foreign nationals working in the UK. Current transfers. These are government, private and charitable sector transfers that represent resources which are consumed within a short period after the transfer is made, for example, food aid given to help deal with a famine in a less developed country. Most of the transfers in this section relate to the UK’s membership of the EU. The UK pays part of its tax revenues to the EU but receives payments such as agricultural subsidies and regional grants If current account outflows are greater than inflows, then there is said to be a current account deficit. If inflows exceed outflows, then there is said to be a current account surplus. Capital account and financial accounts The capital account records all UK capital transfers. These are mainly associated with debt forgiveness (debts owed by developing countries to the UK which have been written off) and migrants’ transfers of capital assets as a result of immigration and emigration. The capital account normally represents a very small proportion of the total value of UK balance of payments transactions. 16 The financial account records all inflows of capital into the UK and outflows of capital from the UK. These include: direct investment such as the provision of funds by major shareholders for the setting up or expansion of factories and offices, mergers of companies and acquisitions of businesses; portfolio investment such as the purchase of stocks and shares by investors who do not have an important say in the running of the businesses concerned; the purchase and sale of financial derivatives, that is, financial instruments the price of which depends on the value of another (normally financial) asset or assets; other investment including longer term foreign aid through the provision of trade credits and loans; and changes in reserve assets resulting from drawing on or adding to foreign currency reserves and the borrowing from, or repaying debts to, foreign central or commercial banks or the IMF. Errors and omissions As it is not possible to record all payments and receipts accurately, a figure is included for net errors and omissions which result from inaccuracies in recording or the failure to record certain transactions. Why the balance of payments must balance In an accounting sense the balance of payments must, by definition, balance because it is based on a system of double-entry recording in which all economic transactions have two sides: a credit and a debit. For example, when a UK importer buys a car from abroad, the imported car is represented by a debit entry and the payment for it is represented by a credit. A debit entry represents a change in UK ownership of other countries’ assets and a credit entry represents a change in other countries’ ownership of any sort of UK asset (real or financial). Inflows of foreign exchange are required to enable outflows to occur. If there is a UK balance of payments current account deficit, then this has to be matched by a capital and financial account surplus. If capital inflows from other sources are less than the current account deficit, then the Bank of England has to finance this through drawing on its reserve assets or borrowing from foreign central or commercial banks or the IMF. Similarly, if there is a current account surplus which is not matched by capital outflows from other sources, then the Bank of England will add to its reserve assets or pay off foreign debts. The following is a summary of the 2008 UK Balance of payments accounts. All figures are in £ billions and have been rounded for simplicity. 17 UK Balance of Payments Account, 2008 (£bn) Current Account: Trade in goods Trade in services Income Current transfers Current account total Capital and financial accounts Capital account Financial account: Direct investment Portfolio investment Financial derivatives (net) Other investment Reserve assets (net) Capital and financial accounts total Current, capital and financial accounts total Net errors and omissions Credit Debit 251 170 264 15 700 344 116 237 29 726 6 2 52 241 73 -129 -18 -580 -1 -653 73 -930 -631 69 4 18 How will I be assessed? Assessment at A2 is a step up from what you experienced at AS level. It is intended to stretch you and be more challenging. You are expected to deal with less familiar contexts and more complex information. There is a greater emphasis on analysis and evaluation and less on pure knowledge and understanding. Questions are less structured and more open-ended giving you scope to answer in a variety of ways. Some of the questions may require you to make links with other sections of the course. Assessment for this unit consists of a 2 hour examination which you will sit either in January or in June. The examination will consist of two sections: an unseen case study section and an essay section, each of which will carry 40 marks (50% of the total marks for the paper). While there is no hard and fast rule, it is suggested that you should spend at least half the examination time on the case study section. You need to take into account that you have more material to read on this section. However, you still need to leave sufficient time to choose which essay question you are going to attempt, and to plan and write your essay. It is suggested that you spend at least 50 minutes on the essay section of the paper. Case study The case study consists of a small number of pieces of source material about a particular topic, theme or issue. The source material may be a mixture of written information such as newspaper or magazine articles and/or charts or graphs. You will be asked four questions which relate to the source material. One of the questions in this part of the paper will require a relatively short answer while others will require you to write at greater length. In this part of the paper you may be required to analyse and interpret written, numerical, diagrammatic and graphical data. This may require you to make calculations such as percentages and percentage changes and to handle index numbers. The final question will normally require you to demonstrate your ability to evaluate a particular viewpoint or opinion. Essay In the essay section you will be required to answer one structured essay from a choice of three. Each essay will be broken down into two parts. Part (a) will assess knowledge and understanding and application and analysis will carry 15 marks. Part (b) will also test application and analysis but will have a particular emphasis on evaluation and judgement and will carry 25 marks. 19 Quality of written communication All questions, other than the first in the case study section, will require you to write extended answers. Assessment of your answers to these questions will take into account the quality of your written communication. This does not mean that you have to write elegant phrases with long words to earn high marks. It does mean, however, that you should take care with your spelling, punctuation and grammar and that you should use economic vocabulary accurately. You should try to express your ideas clearly and concisely and present your arguments logically and coherently. You should always write in sentences and paragraphs and avoid lists of bullet points unless you are short of time to complete a question. Diagrams can be a valuable feature of many answers, helping to clearly illustrate the points you are making. However, you must make sure that you draw and label your diagrams accurately and clearly and that you explain what they are showing. How can I make the most of my ability? Economics affect the lives of everybody. To develop real understanding you need to relate what you study in class to national and international economic events and issues that are reported in the media. Following the tips below will help to develop your interest and understanding of the content of this unit. Follow the news: International economics features most days on TV, radio and in the papers. Paying attention to the economics sections of the news will not only increase your understanding but give you examples you can use in exams. Use the Internet: There is a great deal of valuable information about the global economy on the internet but you need to be selective in how you use websites. Tutor2u has very useful sections and good discussions in its Economics Blog. The BBC and Guardian economics sites are also very helpful with illuminating discussions, debates and examples. There are many other useful web addresses in the CCEA Resource List. Read around the subject: There are a number of excellent textbooks, magazines and journals available which cover the content of this unit in detail. The resource list that follows covers some of the most commonly used textbooks and other sources of information which are available. However, this should not be interpreted as prescribing particular resources. For more advice, consult your teacher. Reading around what you discuss in class is an excellent way of broadening and deepening your understanding. Be organised: There is quite a lot of content in this unit, but you should already be familiar with some of the key ideas and concepts from your study of Units AS 1 and AS 2. Make sure that you organise your notes effectively so that you cover each of the main sections. There are more detailed Study Tips on the CCEA Economics microsite: www.ccea.org.uk/economics/. 20 Develop good examination technique: Exams can be stressful but by being well prepared and confident of how you are going to approach the paper, you can minimise the stress and make sure you give of your best on the day. Following the advice below will help. Make sure that you thoroughly revise all aspects of the unit content. Do not avoid studying difficult topics or try to ‘spot’ questions. This might mean that you cannot answer some questions and restrict your choice. Understand fully what the examiners expect you to be able to do. Familiarise yourself with the specimen questions and mark schemes that CCEA has produced. Write practice answers to the different types of question and check them against your notes. Make sure you practise using examples to illustrate your points and arguments. Remember that the time spent on each question should reflect the mark allocation. Don’t spend half an hour on a five mark question and leave yourself short of time to answer questions with much higher mark allocations. Only do what the question asks you to do - there are no marks for including information that the question doesn’t ask for. Make sure you use the case study information and refer to it in answering Question 1. Remember that the final case study question and part (b) of the essay questions will normally require balanced answers that address both sides of the issue. You need to think critically and evaluate before coming to a reasoned overall judgement. This unit is partly about economic theories but it is also about how these theories apply to the real economy. Be sure to include real world examples and provide evidence to support your arguments. The exam is not just a test of your knowledge and understanding. It assesses how well you interpret questions and select relevant information. It examines how effectively you can analyse and evaluate and how clearly you can communicate your ideas. Remember! To score highly, you must answer the questions directly. Read and re-read the questions and make sure you know exactly what they are asking before you start writing. Think carefully about the command words and what they require you to do, for example, explain, analyse, critically examine, compare, discuss and evaluate. 21 Further resources Text books Anderton A: Economics (5thed), Pearson Education Beardshaw, J et al: Economics: A Student’s Guide, Pearson Education Begg D, Fisher S & Dornbusch R: Economics (9thed), McGraw Hill Cramp, P: Understanding Economic Data, Anforme Cramp, P: Development Economics (4thed), Anforme Grant S & Bamford C: Studies in Economics and Business: The European Union (5thed), Heinemann Krugman P and Oldfield M: International Economics: Theory and Policy (7thed), Pearson Education Lipsey, R & Chrystal, K: Economics (11thed), Oxford University Press Sloman, J: Essentials of Economics (4thed), Prentice Hall Magazines and journals Economic Review: www.philipallan.co.uk Economics Today: www.anforme.co.uk The Economist: www.economist.com Websites Tutor2U BIZED UK Treasury The Bank of England The Office for National Statistics European Central Bank The International Monetary Fund Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development The Institute for Fiscal Studies The World Bank Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment Office of National Statistics Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries The Financial Times The Times The Independent The Guardian The Daily Telegraph The Economist BBC Business News David Smith Economic Blog Freakonomics Blog www.tutor2u.net/ http://www.bized.co.uk/learn/economics/index.htm www.hm-treasury.gov.uk www.bankofengland.co.uk www.ons.gov.uk www.ecb.int www.imf.org www.oecd.org www.ifs.org.uk www.worldbank.org www.detni.gov.uk www.statistics.gov.uk/ www.opec.org/home/ www.ft.com www.the-times.co.uk www.independent.co.uk www.guardian.co.uk www.telegraph.com www.economist.com http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/default.stm www.economicsuk.com/blog freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/ 22 Glossary Absolute advantage: A situation in which one country is able to produce a good more efficiently than another country. This means that it can produce the good using fewer resources. Appreciation (of a currency): A rise in the exchange rate of a currency so that a given amount of this currency now buys more of another currency. Balance of payments account: A record of one country’s financial transactions with the rest of the world over a given period of time, normally a year. Capital and financial accounts (of the balance of payments): The sections of the balance of payments that record all capital transfers and capital flows into and out of the UK. Common Agricultural Policy (CAP): The agricultural policies of the EU designed to support and stabilise farmers’ incomes and guarantee the supply of food at a reasonable price. CAP reform: In recent years, there have been attempts to reform the CAP which had proved to be a very large drain on the EU budget and had resulted in high agricultural prices and surpluses of certain food products. Reforms have included the decoupling of payments to farmers from the amount they produce, reductions in guaranteed minimum prices, the rewarding of farmers for protecting and improving the environment, cutting payments to the largest farms and providing funds for rural development. Common currency area: A group of countries that agree voluntarily to adopt the same currency, for example, the eurozone. Comparative advantage: A situation in which one country is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another country. Current account (of the balance of payments): The section of the balance of payments account which records payments for the purchase and sale of goods and services. Customs union: A group or bloc of countries which agrees to impose a common external tariff on imports from outside these countries. Deficit: A situation in which expenditure is greater than earnings. A deficit on the current account of the balance of payments would occur when expenditure on imports of goods and services is greater than earnings from exports. Depreciation (of a currency): A fall in the exchange rate of a currency so that a given amount of that currency now buys less of another currency. Devaluation: A decision by a government to fix the exchange rate of its currency at a lower value than it held previously. 23 Economic and Monetary Union (EMU): The adoption of a single currency by certain members of the EU. The main effects of this on member counties are ease of trade, transparency of prices and the need for a single monetary policy formulated by the European Central Bank (ECB). Economic development: The process by which a country is able to satisfy the basic needs of its inhabitants, raise their living standards and widen the range of economic and social choices open to them. Enlargement (of the EU): The expansion of EU membership to include some of the former Eastern bloc countries and other countries within Europe. Applicants for EU membership have to prove that they can adopt the Union’s economic policies, have effective competition policies and are able to protect the rights of minority communities within their countries. Environmental policy: The plans and measures adopted by individual countries and international economic groupings to protect the environment. European Central Bank: This is the central bank of the eurozone. Through a committee of representatives of member countries, it decides on monetary policy and sets the official interest rate for the eurozone. European Union (EU): The EU is a customs union and free trade area providing a common market through which goods and people can travel between member countries can move relatively unhindered by regulation and border controls. Euro: The single European currency used by the majority of the member countries of the European Union. Eurozone: The trading area formed by the EU countries which have adopted the euro as their single currency. Exchange rate: The rate at which one currency exchanges for another, that is, the price of one currency expressed in terms of another. Fair trade: The purchase of goods from developing countries at prices which guarantee a fair return for producers. The fair trade movement tries to encourage importers and consumers to purchase designated fair trade goods and to discourage the consumption of goods which are produced by very cheap labour. Fiscal policy: All government measures involving taxation, other means of raising revenue and expenditure. Fixed exchange rate: This occurs when the price of a currency is set at a particular level in terms of another currency. The exchange rate is prevented from moving outside of a very narrow margin either side of its set rate through intervention in the foreign exchange market by the country’s central bank. 24 Foreign aid: Assistance offered by wealthier economies to developing countries. This may take the form of financial grants, the provision of technical expertise, loans or tied aid which is linked to the recipient country’s purchase of goods and services from the donor. Floating exchange rate: An exchange rate that is determined by the market forces of demand and supply. The exchange rate will move in response to changes in exports, imports and international capital movements. Free trade: International trade which is free from barriers or import controls such as tariffs and quotas. Free trade area: A group or bloc of countries which encourages free trade amongst its members. Members may retain their own trade barriers against other countries as in the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA) or also form a customs union and impose a common external tariff as in the EU. Globalisation: The process by which the international economy has become more open and world markets for goods, services and capital have become more integrated. Globalisation is often associated with economic growth and improvements in the standard of living but has also been criticised for making large multinational companies more powerful at the expense of the populations of the poorest countries. The Group of 20 (G20): This is a discussion forum for the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the main industrialised and developing economies. It meets to discuss issues related to global economic stability such as policies for economic growth and the regulation, supervision and functioning of world financial markets. International Monetary Fund (IMF): The IMF attempts to coordinate the international monetary system and ensure that there is sufficient liquidity to finance the growth of world trade. Member countries make financial contributions to the fund in proportion to the size of their economies. The IMF will provide loans to countries which are experiencing persistent balance of payments problems but will usually impose conditions designed to ensure that the underlying economic problems of the country are addressed. Less developed country (LDC): A country which has a relatively low Gross National Product (GNP), a poorly developed economic infrastructure and which tends to be economically dependent on agricultural production. Marshall-Lerner condition: This states that a devaluation of a currency will only improve a country’s balance of payments situation if the sum of the price elasticities of demand for its exports and imports is greater than one. 25 Monetary policy: Policy designed to influence the cost and availability of credit in an economy. In an increasingly open global economy, the operation of monetary policy may require international cooperation and coordination if it is to be effective in combating problems like the credit crunch and recession. In the UK, monetary policy is operated by the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England. In the eurozone, it is operated by the European Central Bank (ECB). Open economy: An economy which has few trade barriers and depends heavily on international trade and the free movement of people and capital. Government macroeconomic policy in open economies may be difficult to operate without coordination with trading partners as the economy may be destabilised capital movements. Opportunity cost ratio: The cost of producing one unit of a particular good or service expressed in terms of the amount of another good that has to be foregone. Protectionism: Policy measures which are designed to protect domestic producers from foreign competition. These include tariffs, quotas and administrative barriers. Quota: An import control which imposes a limit on the quantity of goods that can be imported. Stabilisation (of an exchange rate): The use of central bank foreign exchange reserves to maintain a currency’s exchange rate within a given band. If the exchange rate is considered to have fallen too low, the currency can be purchased by the central bank on the foreign exchange market using its reserves of other currencies. If the exchange rate is considered to have risen too high, then the currency can be sold and the proceeds added to the foreign currency reserves. Surplus: A situation in which earnings are greater than expenditure. A surplus on the current account of the balance of payments would occur when earnings from exports of goods and services are greater than expenditure on imports. Sustainable economic development: Development of an economy which occurs at a pace which can be maintained over the long term because it does not produce shortages of factors of production which will lead to high levels of inflation or lead to the over-use of finite or non-renewable resources. Tariff: A tax on imports or customs duty normally designed to raise the price of imports and thereby reduce foreign competition to domestic production. Terms of trade: The exchange rate or price of exports in terms of imports. The terms of trade index expresses the price of exports relative to the price of imports and is calculated by the following formula: index of export prices x 100. index of import prices A rise in the terms of trade index is referred to as an improvement as it means that fewer exports have to be sold to purchase a given quantity of imports. Conversely, a fall in the terms of trade index is referred to as a worsening or deterioration. Trade barriers (or controls): Measures such as tariffs and quotas designed to protect domestic producers from foreign competition. 26 Trade creation: The increased specialisation and trade brought about by the formation of a trading group or bloc that abolishes or reduces trade barriers between member countries. Domestic consumers will tend to switch some expenditure from higher cost domestic producers to lower cost imports. Trade diversion: The effect of a trading group or bloc imposing a common external tariff on goods entering from non-member countries whilst abolishing or reducing trade barriers between member countries. Domestic consumers will tend to switch expenditure away from the production of non-member countries to the production of member countries. Trade war: A situation in which protectionist measures introduced by one country or a trading bloc result in retaliatory measures being taken by other countries. In such a situation all countries involved tend to lose as the efficiency and welfare gains of specialisation and trade are lost. Trade liberalisation: The process of making world trade more free by the reduction and, where possible, elimination of trade barriers. World Bank: This is the informal name given to the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD). It borrows money in international capital markets and lends this to developing countries to finance projects which are designed to improve areas such as infrastructure, health and education provision, agriculture and industry. World Trade Organisation (WTO): The organisation which supervises and regulates international trade. It aims to promote trade liberalisation by negotiating the reduction of trade barriers between member countries. It also helps to resolve trade disputes between members. 27 Revision checklist Section 1: International trade and protection At the end of this section you should be able to: Explain why countries trade. Apply the concept of specialisation and the theory of comparative advantage to illustrate the gains from trade. Evaluate the usefulness of the theory of comparative advantage. Explain and evaluate arguments for and against free trade. Explain the range of trade controls which may be used and evaluate their effects. Explain the main aims of the WTO and evaluate how well it has achieved them. 28 Notes Section 2: The UK balance of payments and the exchange rate At the end of this section you should be able to: Explain the main components of the UK balance of payments accounts and how they relate to one another. Describe the main trends in the UK balance of payments in recent years. Explain the problems caused by large and persistent balance of payments deficits and surpluses. Explain and evaluate the different measures that might be used to correct these imbalances. Explain how exchange rate values are determined when they are allowed to ‘float’. Analyse the effects of changes in the exchange rate. Explain how an exchange rate may be stabilised and the benefits of stable exchange rates. 29 Notes Section 3: The European Union At the end of this unit you should be able to: Explain the main features of the existence of a free trade area, customs union and common currency area within the EU. Notes Explain the trade creation and trade diversion effects of the EU. Evaluate the effects of EU enlargement and the possible extension of the eurozone. Explain the roles and analyse the impact of the ECB. Analyse and evaluate the effects of the CAP and attempts to reform it. Section 4: Globalisation and economic development At the end of this section you should be able to: Explain the main features of globalisation. Analyse and evaluate how globalisation has affected developed and less developed economies. Explain how international organisations such as the WTO and G20 may influence the international economy. Explain the process of economic development and the factors that may help or hinder it. Explain the parts played by governments and other bodies in providing aid to less developed and developing economies. Compare the effectiveness of foreign aid and trade liberalisation in assisting economic development. 30 Notes Section 5: Macroeconomic policy in an open economy At the end of this section you should be able to: Explain the pressures in open economies that may lead countries to develop policies to protect the environment. Analyse how a country’s fiscal and monetary policies may be affected by international factors. 31 Notes