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© 2002 by The Arizona Board of Regents for The University of Arizona. All rights reserved. Business Mathematics II SOLUTIONS FOR STUDY GUIDE 2 The following questions examine parts of the material which will be covered on Test 2. Questions 1-8 refer to the continuous random variable, X, whose p.d.f. and c.d.f. are given below. 0 if x 0 2 x FX ( x ) if 0 x 2 4 1 if 2 x 0 if x 0 x f X ( x) if 0 x 2 2 0 if 2 x 1. Is fX or FX the probability density function of X? Solution. The probability density function of X is fX. Plots of the two functions are shown below. Plot A 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 Plot B 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 2. Is plot A or plot B the graph of FX? - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 2 - Solution. Plot B the graph of FX? 3. On the plot of fX , shade the region whose area corresponds to P(0.8 X 1.6). Solution. Plot A 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 4. Use the region from Question 3 to estimate P(0.8 X 1.6). Note that the area of each grid square is 0.04 square units. Solution. P(0.8 X 1.6) is approximately equal to 0.5. 5. Use the formula for the c.d.f. of X to compute P(0.8 X 1.6) exactly. Solution. P(0.8 X 1.6) = FX(1.6) FX(0.8) = 1.62/4 0.82/4 = 0.48. 6. Set up and evaluate an integral that computes P(0.8 X 1.6). Round your answer to three decimal places. 1.6 Solution. P (0.8 X 1.6) 0 .8 x dx Using Integrating.xls, we find a value of 0.480 2 for the integral. 7. Set up and evaluate an integral that computes the expected value, E(X), of X. Round your answer to three decimal places. 2 x Solution. E ( X ) x dx Using Integrating.xls, we find a value of 1.333 for the 2 0 integral. - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 3 - 8. Set up and evaluate an integral, that computes the variance, V(X), of X. Round your answer to three decimal places. (You will need to use the value for X that you computed in Question 7. 2 Solution. V ( X ) 2 x x dx X 2 0 Using Integrating.xls, we find a value of 0.222 for the integral. Questions 9-11 refer to the finite random variable X, whose p.m.f. is given below. x fX(x) 0 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.3 4 0.1 8 0.1 9. Compute the mean, X, of X. x f X ( x) 0 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.3 4 0.1 8 0.1 2.1 Solution. X all possible x 10. Compute the variance, V(X), of X. Solution. V ( X ) x X 2 f X ( x) all possible x (0 2.1) 2 0.2 (1 2.1) 2 0.3 ( 2 2.1) 2 0.3 ( 4 2.1) 2 0.1 (8 2.1) 2 0.1 0.882 0.363 0.003 0.361 3.481 5.09 11. Compute the standard deviation, X, of X. Round your answer to 3 decimal places. Solution. X V ( X ) 5.09 2.256 Questions 12-16 refer to the random variable X which gives the number of customers who visit your business in a given day. You know that the parameters of X are X = 30 and X = 6, but you do not know the p.d.f. or the c.d.f. for X. Let x be the random variable that is the mean of a random sample of size n = 80 days. 12. ? x Solution. x X 30. - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 4 - 13. V ( x ) ? Solution. V ( x ) V ( X ) / 80 62 / 80 0.45. 14. ? x Solution. x X / n 6 / 80 0.671. 15. Give a formula for the random variable, S, that is the standardization of x . Solution. S x x x x 30 . 6 / 80 16. What is the approximate distribution of S? Solution. S has a c.d.f. which is approximately standard normal. Questions 17-19 refer to the following sample of size n = 6 taken for the values of a random variable. 10.3, 12.4, 8.9, 10.3, 9.0, 11.8 17. Compute the sample mean, x . Solution. x 1 n x all possible x 1 62.7 10.3 12.4 8.9 10.3 9.0 11.8 10.45 6 6 18. Compute the sample variance, s2. Solution. s 2 1 n 1 x x 2 all possible x 1 (10.3 10.45) 2 (12.4 10.45) 2 (11.8 10.45) 2 5 10.175 2.035 5 - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 5 - 19. Compute the sample standard deviation, s. Round your answer to 3 decimal places. 2 Solution. s s 2.035 1.427 Questions 20-24 refer to the following plots of p.d.f.’s. a. b. 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -1 c. 0 1 2 3 4 -4 e. -3 -1 1 3 5 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 4 8 12 16 f. 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 -10 -5 d. 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -5 0 5 10 15 20 -4 0 4 8 12 16 20 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -1 1 3 5 7 9 11 20. Which one could correspond to a standard normal random variable? Solution. b. 21. Which one could correspond to a uniform random variable? Solution. a. 22. Which one could correspond to an exponential random variable? Solution. c. 23. Which ones could not possibly correspond to a normal random variable? (There might be more than one.) Solution. a and c. - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 6 - 24. Which one could correspond to a normal random variable with X =5 and X = 3? Solution. e. Questions 25 and 26 refer to the following situation. Fifteen (15) companies all bid on oil leases. The following data is a small part of the records on past bids. All monetary amounts are in millions of dollars. Leases Proven Value $103.3 $109.5 $98.7 Signals Company 1 Company 2 $99.0 $102.4 $91.7 $111.3 $105.8 $113.7 25. Compute the mean error in the signals. Solution. The six errors are shown below. Errors $4.3 $0.9 $1.8 $17.8 $7.1 $15.0 The mean error is ($4.3 $0.9 $17.8 + $1.8 + $7.1 + $15.0)/6 = $0.15. Let R be the continuous random variable giving the error in a geologist's estimate for the value of a lease. Experience allows us to assume that R is normal, with R = 0 and R = 10 million dollars. Suppose that the 15 companies form 3 bidding rings of equal sizes. Let M be the random variable giving the mean of the errors for a set of signals for the companies in one of the bidding rings. 26. Compute the standard deviation, M, for M? Round your answer to 3 decimal places. Solution. Since there are 3 rings of the same size, there are 5 companies in each ring and M is the sample mean for n = 5, from R. M R n 10 5 4.472 - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 7 - Questions 27-29 refer to the following situation. A normal random variable X gives the number of ounces of soda in a randomly selected can from a given canning plant. It is known that the mean of X is close to 12 ounces and that X = 0.4 ounces. A plot of fX is shown below. 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 13.0 13.5 Let x be the mean of a random sample of size n = 4 soda cans. 27. x ? Solution. x X n 0.4 0.2 4 28. Sketch a graph of the probability density function for x on the above plot. Solution. 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 13.0 13.5 29. Use standard deviations to explain why the mean of a sample of size n = 16 cans would be likely to give a better estimate for X than would the mean of a sample of size n = 4 cans. Solution. The standard deviation for the sample mean with a sample size of 16 is 0.4/4 = 0.1. At n = 16, the confidence intervals, for any given level of confidence, for X will be onehalf the width of those for a sample size of 4. - Solutions for Study Guide for Business Mathematics II, Test 2: page 8 - 30. Let X be a normal random variable with X = 24 and X = 3.2. Fill in the information that would be needed to have the Excel function Random Number Generation create random values of X in Cells A1:F10. Solution. 6 10 Normal 24 3.2 A1