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Case Study - Korea Opportunities for BB Connectivity in APAC Ki-young, Ko| 2013. 9. 24 0 Introduction 1 International Internet Traffic Trend 2 KT Plan to Cope with the Traffic 3 Highway Construction & Telecom Infrastructure 4 Considerations 01 International Traffic Trend Traffic is growing but growth rate is slowing down, so is the Asian Region Global Traffic Regional Traffic Growth Rate Int’l Internet Bandwidth(Tbps) 120 140% Africa 100 120% US&Canada 80 100% 60 80% 40 60% 20 40% 0 20% Europe Latin America 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Asia 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Telegeography 02 International Traffic Forecast Growing but the growth rate is slowing down, without a “Star” application Internet Traffic by Application Estimated Global IP Traffic per Month Unit(Exabyte) IP-VPN Email 3% 2% Gaming 4% VoIP/IM/Video Calling 5% 120 109.5 100 Other 8% 77.4 80 Web Browsing 26% 20 Streamed & Buffered Audio/Video 22% Online File Storage 11% Telegeography 59.1 60 40 P2P 19% 93.8 43.5 30.7 6 14 9 33% 32 5 60% 24 15 2011 2012 28% 41 2013 2014 23 18 19% 49 2015 6% 52 2016 Video File Sharing Business Data Web and Other Data Video Communications Voice Communications Online Gaming Cisco 03 Traffic Trend in Korea By internet services 14% 13% 12% 10% 11% 12% 10% 11% 14% 31% 32% 31% Video 76% 35% 33% 31% 2012Y 4Q 2013Y 1Q 2013Y 2Q Web-hard P2P Multimedia Web E-mail etc. 01 KT Traffic Forecast by Country Asia Traffic US Traffic (Unit : Gbps) (Unit : Gbps) 350 300 275G 321G 300 250 274 250 200 226 200 190G 173 150 194 148 150 143 104 100 99 100 60 60 50 257G 235 46 50 40 28 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Inbound 2014 2015 Outbound 2016 2009 Current Capacity 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Required Capacity Analysis by Estimated global IP traffic per month in Telegeografy and kt global traffic expectation graph 01 KT Total Need 628 G bandwidth to cope with global IP traffic by 2016 Total Traffic (Unit : Gbps) 700 31G 600 447G 500 275G 400 628G 300 200 321G 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Forecast US Inbound EU Inbound ASIA Inbound Current Capacity Required Capacity 03 Domestic Traffic Trend 66.5% of households in Korea have smart devices Market share Traffic Destkop 81.4% Smartphone 65.0% Smart TV 5.2% SmartPad 4.1% Smart device 66.5% Digitial TV 43.7% Notebook 30 2 20 1 10 20.2% MP3 Player Other 2.5 1.5 54.8% GPS Navigation Digital camcoder Mobile(Gbps) 56.6% Digital Camera Game console Fixed(Tbps) 16.8% 0.5 11.9% 0 9.1% 2010 Jan 2.8% KISA 2012 0 2010 Jun 2010 Dec 2011 Aug NTMS/ARGOS 1 International internet traffic trend 2 KT Plan to Cope with the Traffic 3 Integrated construct highway and network infrastructure 4 Consideration 01 Plan 1 - Submarine Cable Capacity ‘13 US 280Gbps Asia 240Gbps ‘14 US 340Gbps Asia 290Gbps ‘15 US 400Gbps Asia 340Gbps ‘16 The existing submarine system will adapted a new technology : 40Gps or 100Gps Asia Pacific Gateway launching (under construction) New pacific cable launching (under discussion) APG (Asia Pacific Gateway) New trans pacific - Landing (11): Korea, Japan (2), China(2), Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand - System Capacity : 38.4Tbps - Ready For Service : Early 2015 - Landing (7): Korea, China (3), Taiwan, Japan, USA - System Capacity : at least 15Tbps - Ready For Service : 2017 (under discussion) 02 Plan 2 - Global POP TORONTO London SEATTLE KOREA HongKong INDIA VIETNAM THAI SINGAPORE JAPAN PALO Amsterdam FrankFurt NY LA (1Wilshire / Equinix) PHILIPPINE INDONESIA Global POP : 12 Countries 14POPs Internet POP : 7 Countries 10 POPs USA(5), Canada, United Kingdom(2), Germany(2), Netherlands, Japan(2), Hong Kong(4), Singapore(2), Vietnam, Philippine, India, Thailand, Indonesia + West Asia(4), Europe(2) countries (until 2016) 03 Plan 3 - IP Network Optimization 1 High Bandwidth Interconnections 2 Without a Blind Spot - 2 center nodes and 20 main nodes - 10 Gbps to 100 Gbps - Around 100 nodes all over the nation 3 Domestic Backbone Bandwidth 4 Domestic FTTH rate - 6,600 Gbps - Plan to upgrade to higher bandwidth - Copper based access network: 10% - Fiber based access network: 90% 05 Plan 4 - All-IP Based Transformation Fixed & Wireless Convergence Service on ALL-IP Network Current (2011) PSTN Enterprise Home Intelligent SoIP SoIP Service AS AS Show-talk AS Evolution (2013) Wireless Additional Service PSTN Intelligent Service PSTN & AGW PSTN, Intelligent Service, Messaging, Web AS Integrated DB Enterprise SSW POTS Home + Enterprise Wireless Additional SoIP AS Service Future (2015) Fixed IMS Fixed Back-Bone network Wireless IMS Wireless Wireless Back-Bone CS network network Fixed & Wireless Separate Network POTS POTS Integrated IMS Integrated IMS PSTN & AGW Integrated Back-Bone Network Upgraded Cloud DB Wireless CS network Transform to 2 Networks: Circuit Switched Network & IP Multimedia Sub System PSTN & AGW Integrated Back-Bone Network All-IP Wireless CS network Integrated Network 1 International internet traffic trend 2 kt’s plan for traffic increasing 3 Highway Construction & Telecom Infrastructure 4 Consideration 01 Case Study – “Dreamline” Dreamline leased telecom networks from Korea Expressway Corp. that constructed highways with telecom infrastructures Dreamline network structure (43,188km) Core Network Structure • Highways • DWDM 400G • Speed up to 1.6Tbps Metro Network Structure • Subway and main roads • 14 MSPPs Access Network Structure • Ring configuration 01 Case Study – “Dreamline” Dreamline Network Features 1 Stability Cables are housed in cable ducts 1.5m under the surface 2 Expandability Easy connection to other highway cables 3 Cost Savings 4 Easy Access for Maintenance 02 Synergy Effects 1 Construction Cost Reduction 2 Maintenance Efficiency 3 Restoration Option 4 Service Price Reduction 5 Applications for ITS 02 Synergy Effects - Construct Cost Reduction (per km) Terrestrial fiber cable Submarine cable Form Material Construction $ 13,800 Cable: $ 1,000 Manhole: $ 4,800 Pipe: $ 8,000 $ 58,000 $ 1,000 Cable: $ 1,000 $ 45,000 Submarine cable: $ 35,000 Steel pipe: $ 10,000 $ 5,370 Standard: 1km cable construction - Landing fiber cable : from kt standard quantity for unit (pipe(4), manhole(4), 36C fiber cable) - Submarine cable : from kt Submarine Company Information $ 135,000 02 Synergy Effects - Maintenance Efficiency Terrestrial fiber cable Submarine cable 1 day (using vehicle) 20 days (using Cableship) $ 5,000 $ 500,000 Feature Repair duration Repair cost (per 1 time) 02 Synergy Effects - Restoration Option Current Future Taiwan earthquake example - Multiple & Simultaneous submarine cable faults - 8 cables(2006), 4 cables(2007), 8 cables(2009) Landing Cable is a Restoration Option 02 Synergy Effects – Service Price Reduction Asia IP transit & backhaul price is 3 times more expensive than that of Europe/North America Asian Information Super Highway Atlantic 23 Why Expensive? • Only 8 submarine cables in Asia • Asian population is 60% of the world Indian 8 Pacific 18 Asian Information Super Highway • Can reduce service price by more IP transit competition Technology: Making the Asian Highway also an Information Highway By Rphan Samarajiva; published on January 6, 2011 02 Synergy Effects - Applications for ITS ITS (Intelligent Transport System), leveraged on integrated highway and network infrastructure ETCS ATMS Electronic Toll Collection Systems Advanced Traffic Management Service Information Processing & Monitoring Automatic Vehicle Charging Service Traffic Flow Control Service ATE Automatic Traffic Enforcement Service Illegal parking enforcement services Vehicle number recognition system ATC Information Collection Information Provision Advanced Vehicle and Highway Service Real time Signal Control Service Traffic Flow Control Service 03 Applications for ITS - ETCS Electronic Toll Collection Systems Number of Passed Vehicles per day(/Lane) 108,000 → 432,000 Processing time per Vehicle 45sec → 9sec 03 Application – ATE Automatic Traffic Enforcement Number of Traffic Accidents (for 6 months) 1,405 → 999 Number of Casuality by Traffic Accidents (for 6 months) 87 → 52 03 Applications for ITS - ATC Advanced Traffic Signal Control Systems Travel speed Travel hours per travel distance 1 International internet traffic trend 2 kt’s plan for traffic increasing 3 Integrated construct highway and network infrastructure 4 Considerations 01 Consideration - North America Traffic The highest traffic in Asia is to North America Aisa North America Europe 01 Consideration – North America Traffic Need to Construct a new Backbone Network connecting North America ISP Europe Traffic ISP Mongolia North America Traffic Korea ISP Asian Information Super Highway ISP Japan China Pakistan ISP India ISP ISP Thailand ISP ISP ISP Vietnam Cambodia Laos ISP ISP ISP ISP Consideration – Traffic usage efficiency Ring Topology to Unprotected Network (reduce USD 650,000 and capacity efficiency increase 12.5%) Before Optimization Hehwa Busan & Geoje Seoul ITMC W+P (75%) KORNET W+P (75%) Busan ITMC Backbone efficiency rate Capacity : 2 X Protected 10G Usage : 15G • Ring topology • transmission protected scheme Guro After Optimization Hehwa W (50%) Busan & Geoje Seoul ITMC W (50%) W (50%) W (50%) KORNET Busan ITMC Guro Backbone efficiency rate Capacity : 4 X Unprotected 10G Usage : 20G • Unprotected topology • Routing protected scheme ` 02 02 Consideration - Cost Efficiency The Latest Transmission Technology – PTN, ROADM Previous 1980s 1990s 10/100BaseT GbE Pure IP Packet Transport Router Switch PDH Circuit Transport Pure Ethernet SDH 10GbE DWDM • PTN : Packet Transport Network • ROADM : Reconfigurable Optical Add-drop Multiplexer Metro DWDM Afterward 40/100GbE MPLS Metro MSPP Ethernet PTN Next MSPP & Hybrid Voice CWDM Optical Technology 2000s MSTP ROADM