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HARVARD UNIVERISTY Government Data Center Political Methodology Conference 1992 Wednesday, July 15 Registration: The Charles Hotel, One Bennett Street, Cambridge -you will receive an information portfolio when you check into the hotel -continental breakfast is included with your room -you will be escorted from the hotel lobby to the conference at 9:15 Thursday morning Thursday, July 16 9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse Session I: Stephen Ansolabehere and R. Douglas Rivers, “Using Aggregate Data to Correct for Response Bias in Surverys.” Discussant: Jim Stimson Session II: Michael Mackuen, Robert Erickson, and Jim Stimson, “Aggregation, Moving Attractors, and the Character of Partisan Change.” Discussant: John Freeman Lunch will be held in the Taubman Center Session III: Jonathan Nagler, “Testing the Symmetry Assumption of our Non-linear Models: Alternative Specifications to Logit and Probit for Dichotomous Dependent Variables.” Discussant: Simon Jackman Session IV: Robert Erickson and Tom Palfrey, “The Puzzle of Incumbant Spending in Congressional Elections” and Tse-min Lin and Janet Box-Steffensmeier, “A Dynamic Model of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.” Dinner will begin at 7:30 Upstairs at the Pudding, 10 Holyoke Street, Cambridge You will be escorted from the Charles Hotel lobby at 7:15 Friday, July 17 9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse Session I: Charles Franklin and R. Michael Alvarez, “Measuring Uncertainty in Political Perception.” Discussant: Stanley Feldman Session II: Elizabeth Gerber and Jeff Dubin, “Finite Mixture Models for Qualitative Choice: A Study of Voter Heterogeneity.” Discussant: Larry Bartels 12:30-2:00 Lunch will be held at Shilla Korean Restaurant Session III: Nathaniel Beck and Jonathan Katz, “Model Selection by Cross-Validation.” Discussant: Christopher Achen Session IV: Philip Schrodt, “Machine Coding of Events Data” and John C. Mallery, “Beyond Correlation: Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.” Discussant: Herbert Kritzer Graduate Student Session Dinner will begin at 7:00 Littauer Center lounge Saturday, July 18 9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse Session I: Melvin Hinich, “Estimating the Parameters of Spatial Models.” Discussant: Henry E. Brady Session II: Joshua Goldstein, “Reciprocity in Superpower Relations: An Empirical Analysis.” Discussant: Renee Smith Lunch will be held in the Taubman Center Session III: Invited Address by Donald Rubin, Department of Statistics, Harvard University. Discussant: Gary King Session IV: Kenneth McCue, “Proposal for the Test of the Transition Model and the Homogeneity Model.” Discussant: Skip Lupia Dinner will begin at 7:00 Elizabeth and Gary King’s house Sunday, July 19 The Charles Hotel Session I: Walter Mebane, “A Dynamical System Model of Federal Expenditures and Congressional Campaign Finance.” Discussant: John Jackson Session II: John Londregan and Keith Poole, “The Political Economy of Growth, NonConstitutional Rule, and Leadership Succession.” Discussant: James Granato Political Methodology Conference 1992 Chris Achen University of Michigan Institute of Social Research The discussant for “Model Selection by CrossValidation.” Henry Brady University of California, Berkeley The discussant for “Estimating the Parameters of Spatial Models.” Jo Andrews Harvard University Suzanna de Boef University of Iowa Jim Alt Harvard University John Bruce Harvard University R. Michael Alvarez Duke University and Caltech Giving a paper entitled “Measuring Uncertainty in Political Perception.” Tami Buhr Harvard University Stephen Ansolabehere University of California, Los Angeles Giving a paper entitled “Using Aggregate Data to Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.” Jim Campbell National Science Foundation Larry Bartels Princeton University The discussant for “Finite Mixture Models for Qualitative Choice: A Study of Voter Heterogeneity.” Jay Dow University of Texas, Austin Nathaniel Beck University of California, San Diego Giving a paper entitled “Model Selection by CrossValidation.” Jeff Dubin California Institute of Technology Division of Humanities and Social Sciences Giving a paper entitled “Finite Mixture Models for Qualitative Choice: A Study of Voter Heterogeneity.” Ken Benoit Harvard University David Epstein Columbia University William Berry Florida State University Robert Erikson University of Houston Giving two papers entitled “Aggregation, Moving Attractors and the Character of Partisan Change,” and “The Puzzle of Incumbent Spending in Congressional Elections.” Carlos Boix Harvard University Stanley Feldman SUNY, Stony Brook The discussant for “Measuring Uncertainty in Political Perception.” Janet Box-Steffensmeier University of Texas Graduate Student in Government Giving a paper entitled “A Dynamic Model of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.” Morris Fiorina Harvard University John C. Mallery MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory Giving a paper entitled “Beyond Correlation: Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.” Phillip Schrodt University of Kansas Giving a paper entitled “Machine Coding of Events Data.” Ken McCue Pactech Date and Research Incorporated Giving a paper entitled “Proposal for the Test of the Transition Model and the Homogeneity Model.” Edward Schwartz Harvard University Eileen McDonough Northeastern University Renee Smith Michigan State University & University of Rochester Graduate Student in Political Science The discussant for “Limited Reciprocity and the Evolution of Superpower Cooperation.” Walter Mebane Cornell University Giving a paper entitled “A Dynamical System Model of Federal Expenditures and Congressional Campaign Finance.” Charles Stewart MIT Jonathan Nagler Texas A&M University Giving a paper entitled “Testing the Symmetry Assumption of our Non-linear Models: Alternative Specifications to Logit and Probit for Dichotomous Dependent Variables.” James Stimson University of Iowa Giving a paper entitled “Aggregation, Moving Attractors and the Character of Partisan Change,” and is also the discussant for “Using Aggregate Data to Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.” Dave Nixon Washington University, St. Louis Alan Szwaraski Harvard University Phil Paolino Harvard University Joe TenBarge University of Texas Susan Pharr Harvard University Carla Valle Harvard University Tim Prinz University of Virginia Rick Vallely MIT Sherry B. Quinones Michigan State University Herb Weisberg Rice University R. Douglas Rivers Stanford University Giving a paper entitled “Using Aggregate Data to Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.” Guy Whitton Princeton University Professor Don Rubin Harvard University Department of Statistics Delivering Invited Address.