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HARVARD UNIVERISTY
Government Data Center
Political Methodology Conference 1992
Wednesday, July 15
Registration:
The Charles Hotel, One Bennett Street, Cambridge
-you will receive an information portfolio when you check into the hotel
-continental breakfast is included with your room
-you will be escorted from the hotel lobby to the conference at 9:15 Thursday morning
Thursday, July 16
9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse
Session I: Stephen Ansolabehere and R. Douglas Rivers, “Using Aggregate Data to
Correct for Response Bias in Surverys.”
Discussant: Jim Stimson
Session II: Michael Mackuen, Robert Erickson, and Jim Stimson, “Aggregation, Moving
Attractors, and the Character of Partisan Change.”
Discussant: John Freeman
Lunch will be held in the Taubman Center
Session III: Jonathan Nagler, “Testing the Symmetry Assumption of our Non-linear
Models: Alternative Specifications to Logit and Probit for Dichotomous Dependent
Variables.”
Discussant: Simon Jackman
Session IV: Robert Erickson and Tom Palfrey, “The Puzzle of Incumbant Spending in
Congressional Elections” and Tse-min Lin and Janet Box-Steffensmeier, “A Dynamic
Model of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.”
Dinner will begin at 7:30
Upstairs at the Pudding, 10 Holyoke Street, Cambridge
You will be escorted from the Charles Hotel lobby at 7:15
Friday, July 17
9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse
Session I: Charles Franklin and R. Michael Alvarez, “Measuring Uncertainty in Political
Perception.”
Discussant: Stanley Feldman
Session II: Elizabeth Gerber and Jeff Dubin, “Finite Mixture Models for Qualitative
Choice: A Study of Voter Heterogeneity.”
Discussant: Larry Bartels
12:30-2:00 Lunch will be held at Shilla Korean Restaurant
Session III: Nathaniel Beck and Jonathan Katz, “Model Selection by Cross-Validation.”
Discussant: Christopher Achen
Session IV: Philip Schrodt, “Machine Coding of Events Data” and John C. Mallery,
“Beyond Correlation: Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.”
Discussant: Herbert Kritzer
Graduate Student Session
Dinner will begin at 7:00
Littauer Center lounge
Saturday, July 18
9:30 The Alfred Taubman Center Penthouse
Session I: Melvin Hinich, “Estimating the Parameters of Spatial Models.”
Discussant: Henry E. Brady
Session II: Joshua Goldstein, “Reciprocity in Superpower Relations: An Empirical
Analysis.”
Discussant: Renee Smith
Lunch will be held in the Taubman Center
Session III: Invited Address by Donald Rubin, Department of Statistics, Harvard
University.
Discussant: Gary King
Session IV: Kenneth McCue, “Proposal for the Test of the Transition Model and the
Homogeneity Model.”
Discussant: Skip Lupia
Dinner will begin at 7:00
Elizabeth and Gary King’s house
Sunday, July 19
The Charles Hotel
Session I: Walter Mebane, “A Dynamical System Model of Federal Expenditures and
Congressional Campaign Finance.”
Discussant: John Jackson
Session II: John Londregan and Keith Poole, “The Political Economy of Growth, NonConstitutional Rule, and Leadership Succession.”
Discussant: James Granato
Political Methodology Conference 1992
Chris Achen
University of Michigan
Institute of Social Research
The discussant for “Model Selection by CrossValidation.”
Henry Brady
University of California, Berkeley
The discussant for “Estimating the Parameters of
Spatial Models.”
Jo Andrews
Harvard University
Suzanna de Boef
University of Iowa
Jim Alt
Harvard University
John Bruce
Harvard University
R. Michael Alvarez
Duke University and Caltech
Giving a paper entitled “Measuring Uncertainty in
Political Perception.”
Tami Buhr
Harvard University
Stephen Ansolabehere
University of California, Los Angeles
Giving a paper entitled “Using Aggregate Data to
Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.”
Jim Campbell
National Science Foundation
Larry Bartels
Princeton University
The discussant for “Finite Mixture Models for
Qualitative Choice: A Study of Voter
Heterogeneity.”
Jay Dow
University of Texas, Austin
Nathaniel Beck
University of California, San Diego
Giving a paper entitled “Model Selection by CrossValidation.”
Jeff Dubin
California Institute of Technology
Division of Humanities and Social Sciences
Giving a paper entitled “Finite Mixture Models for
Qualitative Choice: A Study of Voter
Heterogeneity.”
Ken Benoit
Harvard University
David Epstein
Columbia University
William Berry
Florida State University
Robert Erikson
University of Houston
Giving two papers entitled “Aggregation, Moving
Attractors and the Character of Partisan Change,”
and “The Puzzle of Incumbent Spending in
Congressional Elections.”
Carlos Boix
Harvard University
Stanley Feldman
SUNY, Stony Brook
The discussant for “Measuring Uncertainty in
Political Perception.”
Janet Box-Steffensmeier
University of Texas
Graduate Student in Government
Giving a paper entitled “A Dynamic Model of
Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.”
Morris Fiorina
Harvard University
John C. Mallery
MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
Giving a paper entitled “Beyond Correlation:
Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.”
Phillip Schrodt
University of Kansas
Giving a paper entitled “Machine Coding of Events
Data.”
Ken McCue
Pactech Date and Research Incorporated
Giving a paper entitled “Proposal for the Test of the
Transition Model and the Homogeneity Model.”
Edward Schwartz
Harvard University
Eileen McDonough
Northeastern University
Renee Smith
Michigan State University & University of
Rochester
Graduate Student in Political Science
The discussant for “Limited Reciprocity and the
Evolution of Superpower Cooperation.”
Walter Mebane
Cornell University
Giving a paper entitled “A Dynamical System
Model of Federal Expenditures and Congressional
Campaign Finance.”
Charles Stewart
MIT
Jonathan Nagler
Texas A&M University
Giving a paper entitled “Testing the Symmetry
Assumption of our Non-linear Models: Alternative
Specifications to Logit and Probit for Dichotomous
Dependent Variables.”
James Stimson
University of Iowa
Giving a paper entitled “Aggregation, Moving
Attractors and the Character of Partisan Change,”
and is also the discussant for “Using Aggregate
Data to Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.”
Dave Nixon
Washington University, St. Louis
Alan Szwaraski
Harvard University
Phil Paolino
Harvard University
Joe TenBarge
University of Texas
Susan Pharr
Harvard University
Carla Valle
Harvard University
Tim Prinz
University of Virginia
Rick Vallely
MIT
Sherry B. Quinones
Michigan State University
Herb Weisberg
Rice University
R. Douglas Rivers
Stanford University
Giving a paper entitled “Using Aggregate Data to
Correct for Response Bias in Surveys.”
Guy Whitton
Princeton University
Professor Don Rubin
Harvard University
Department of Statistics
Delivering Invited Address.