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ASIA PACIFIC MINISTERIAL CONFERENCE ON PPPs Dr. Salman Shah Advisor to Prime Minister on Finance and Economic Affairs Country Profile • • • • • Population: 160 million (2006 est) GDP (Nominal):US$145 billion (FY07) Foreign Investment: US$ 8.4 billion (FY07) GDP per capita: US$925 (FY07) Country Rating: – S&P B+ long term, B short term, Positive – Moody’s B1 stable – OECD 6 • • • • FX Reserves: US$16 billion Stock Market Index. (30th June 2007): 13,772 Market capitalization – US$66.4 billion (June 30, 2007) Stable Exchange rate for 6 years State of the Economy • Pakistan’s economy has grown at an average rate of about 7.5% in the last three years (2003/2004 – 2005/2006), positioning itself as one of the fastest growing economies in South Asia • The Government of Pakistan estimates that less than half of the infrastructure investment needs can be covered by public funds, signaling the need for private sector involvement • Private sector investment in infrastructure projects has been forthcoming, averaging 1.4% of GDP • However, over the next decade, Pakistan needs to invest around 7.5% of its GDP per annum in infrastructure to sustain a GDP growth of 7-8% • This indicates significant private sector participation for every rupee that the Government of Pakistan spends on infrastructure development Historically ….. • Investment in Infrastructure has been largely Stagnant • Public Sector Funds for Infrastructure Investment are unlikely to increase greatly – Limited Fiscal Space - Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Legislation – Competing Needs from Social Sector – Lack of institutional capacity – Lack of an enabling Policy environment and Legislation – Underdeveloped Long-term Debt Markets – Lack of Expertise, Latest Technology, and Best Practice in public sector Situation Improving … • • • • • Policy Regime Stable Pro Business Investment Policies Improved Regulation Financial Sector & Capital Market Reforms Deregulation, Privatisation and liberalization policies being implemented – success stories in the telecommunications, financial and energy sectors • Multilateral and international donor support for Private Sector Infrastructure PPPs An old Concept – New Impetus • A relationship between public and private sectors on a specified set of contractual obligations that promotes cooperation between the two sectors to provide services • PPPs are structured and procured on the basis of outputs, not inputs and as services, not assets • Key Features: – Contracting authority specifies the outputs of a service – Contracting authority or end users buy the specified outputs from a private party – Private party determines the inputs required to achieve the specified output • Projects driven by output specifications allow maximum risk transfer to the private party, ensuring greater value for money for the government PPPs An old Concept – New Impetus (cont.) •PPP agreements are useful in unregulated sectors as they allow ‘regulation by contract’ on a project to project basis. • A Policy and Regulatory framework for PPP in the telecom and energy sectors is present. • However, a framework for unregulated sectors like transport and logistics, municipal services, sanitation, solid waste management, social sector, and real estate does not exist. PPP- GOP’s Objectives and Plan The Government’s objectives in promoting PPPs are to provide: • More services, to meet increasing demand in basic services such as water and sanitation, solid waste management, transport and rural electricity. • Better services, to improve the quality of existing services and provide incentives and funding for infrastructure maintenance and up-gradation. PPP- GOP’s Objectives and Plan (cont’d) • Affordable services, to segments of the population that cannot pay cost recovery tariffs. – The Government will provide targeted (to low income consumers), explicit (not hidden as budget support) and performance based (only provided once the service is actually delivered) subsidies. • Timely services, to meet the immediate service demands of citizens. Program Structure TASK FORCE ON PPPS (established in June 2006) Policy and Legislative Framework) WG on Policy and Legislation WG on Standardized Provisions IPDF (Section 42 Company Incorporated in May 2006) •Task Force Secretariat •Project Development •Capacity Building •Guidelines (Feasibility Study, Procurement, Contract Monitoring etc.) WG on Viability Gap Funding (VGF) Ministry of Finance •Project Support •Credit Enhancement WG on Risk Management Fwork IPFF (Being Incoporated as an NBFC) •Long Term Fixed Rate Local Currency Residual Financing Transaction Advisory Funding VGF Guarantees 10 IPDF – Bridge between Public and Private Sectors • The Government has set up an Infrastructure Project Development Facility (IPDF) under the auspices of the Ministry of Finance (MOF), to generate PPP projects with Implementing Agencies (line ministries, provincial Governments, local bodies, state owned enterprises etc.). • IPDF will provide direct access to a professional PPP Unit that will help Implementing Agencies to improve proposals and prepare them for tendering, without becoming a contract signatory to those transactions. • Projects may be submitted for any necessary complementary financing to a proposed independent financing body – the Infrastructure Project Financing Facility (IPFF) – for any ‘residual’ financing needs that are not available in the market. IPDF – Bridge between Public and Private Sectors – (cont’d) PPP project evaluations will focus on, but will not be limited to, the following sectors: • • • • Transport and logistics including provincial and municipal roads, rail, seaports, airports, fishing harbours as well as warehousing, wholesale markets, seaports, slaughter houses and cold storage. Mass Urban Public Transport including buses, and intra and inter-city rail. Municipal Services including water supply and sanitation; solid waste management; low cost housing, and health / education facilities. Small Scale Energy Projects other than those being facilitated by Private Power Infrastructure Board (PPIB) and the Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB). Overview of Active Projects Overview of Active Projects (cont’d) Project Pipeline (con’t) . SECTOR NAME OF PROJECT PROVINCE Energy 7-MW DG Khan Link-III Hydro Power Project Punjab KWSB 80 MW Captive Power Plant Sindh Power Generation in Lasbella (LIEDA) Balochistan Bus Rapid Transit System (BRTS) Corridor 2-4 Sindh Driver Training Institute Sindh Inter-City Bus Terminal Facility - National Highway Sindh Inter-City Bus Terminal Facility - Super Highway Sindh Intra-City Bus Terminal Facilities (22 Terminals) Sindh Karachi Circular Rail Sindh Karachi Light Rail Mass Transit System (Corridor 2-6) Sindh Motor Vehicle Inspection System Sindh Urban Transport System Punjab Date Processing Plant (Turbat) Balochistan PTDC Islamabad Tourist Village ICT Industrial Park Balochistan Mass Urban Public Transport Office/Industry Infrastructure Project Pipeline (con’t) . Municipal Services Transport & Logistics Car Parking Garages Sindh CDA Water Supply Pipeline ICT Development of Car Park Garages Sindh Gwader Desalination Plant Baluchistan Gwader Solid Waste Management Baluchistan Integrated Meat Processing Facility Punjab Karachi Desalination Plant Sindh Low Cost Housing Sindh Poly Tech College Kotly AJK Shelterless Primary Schools Baluchistan Slaughterhouse Baluchistan Quetta Solid Waste Management Baluchistan Transportation of Garbage Sindh Cold Storage Baluchistan International Flower Auction Facility Punjab Sindh Coastal Highway (278 KM) Sindh Strengthening of Civil Works Division Baluchistan Distribution of All Infrastructure Projects across Sectors Criterion: Number of projects Distribution of Active Infrastructure Projects across Sectors (by number) Distribution of Active Infrastructure Projects across Sectors (by value) The Way Forward… • • • • • Enactment of PPP Law Setting up the Viability Gap Fund (VGF) Setting up a Guarantee Fund Sector specific policies, guidelines and toolkits PPP Cells at the federal, line ministries, second and third tier governments • Multilateral and Bilateral support – Faster project implementation – Enhanced accountability • Capacity Building of institutions and Development of Financial Products Thankyou