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Last updated January 12, 2015 Intermediate Macroeconomics EC 171, Spring 2015 Mondays and Wednesdays, 405 – 520 pm Professor Stephanie Seguino Telephone: 802.656.0187 Office: Old Mill 340 Website: www.uvm.edu/~sseguino Office hours: M and W, 3 - 4 pm Note For a variety of reasons, email is not efficient for communication. See me during office hours instead. Make-up exams will be allowed only under extreme circumstances, such as illness. In order to schedule a make-up exam you must notify me prior to the exam (this is the only case where email communication should be used) and provide a written note from your doctor. Please turn off cell phones and computers before class begins. The dates of the midterm and final exam dates are written in stone, but I may choose to alter the chapter assignments (or omit chapters entirely) depending upon how long it takes to cover essential material. Changes to the syllabus (if any) will be posted on Blackboard. Check the header for the date on which the syllabus was revised to make sure you have the most recent version. _____________________________________________________________________________ Course Description This class explores the theoretical background for understanding macroeconomic problems and policy options. Topics include the IS-LM and AS-AD general equilibrium systems, money, unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. We will be emphasizing the historical context of our tools as well as highlighting real world applications of them. We will compare and contrast the major macroeconomic theories, including Keynesian, Classical, New Classical, and Post-Keynesian models. The use of models to develop an understanding of how macroeconomies work requires algebra and calculus. The models are used to explore a number of questions about the price level, aggregate output, and unemployment. What explains recessions? What causes inflation? What are the macroeconomic effects of tax cuts? Does increased income inequality have macroeconomic effects? Can we raise wages and promote economic growth? And what was behind the global crisis of 2008? It is assumed that you have a good understanding of the fundamental concepts of Demand and Supply, Unemployment, Inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Business Cycles, and Fiscal and Monetary Policy. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Prerequisites All students registering for this course must have taken EC 11 and 12 as well as Math 19 (or 21) in order to have the level of preparedness in economic theory and math required to successfully complete this course. You must have a valid UVM email account. If you have a private account, you should forward your UVM email to that account. A number of articles for this class as well as the syllabus will be posted on Blackboard (denoted BB below). ______________________________________________________________________________________ Required and Optional Textbooks Blanchard, Olivier and David Johnson. 2012. Macroeconomics (Sixth Edition). ISBN 978-0132078337 (Required) 1 Last updated January 12, 2015 Findlay, David and Olivier Blanchard. Study Guide and Tutorial for Blanchard. ISBN 978-0132078337 (Optional). Subscription to New York Times. Call (888) 698-2655 to order a subscription or visit: www.nytimes.com/collegerate. Monday through Friday is $3.50/week with free digital access, or a digital only subscription for $1.88 per week. (Required) Palley, Thomas. 2013. From Financial Crisis to Stagnation: The Destruction of Shared Prosperity and the Role of Economics. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1107612464. (Required) The Findlay and Blanchard Study Guide has not been ordered for the bookstore. You will need to find it from an online bookstore. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Class Requirements Students will be evaluated based on their performance in the following categories: (1) Attendance. Attendance is required. Two absences are allowed (this includes medical absences). Each absence above that threshold will reduce your final grade by a half a letter grade. Students arriving more than 5 minutes late to class will be marked as absent. (2) Homework and quizzes. There will be three homeworks and, from time to time, quizzes. These will be graded on a simple scale: Grade ✓+ ✓ ✓0 Points 95 75 50 0 Meaning Excellent Average/Good Sub-par Fail/Absent In cases where the work is really exceptional, I’ll award a check-plus-plus, so it’s equivalent to a 100. (3) Three exams. Two mid-term exams, February 23 and March 30, and a comprehensive final on May 8 at 130pm in 209 Votey. Please take note and arrange your travel schedules accordingly. There are no make-up exams except in case of documented medical emergency. To study for these exams, expect to put in 9-12 hours of work. Final exam is comprehensive. (4) Current economic events. Be prepared to participate in class discussions on applications of macro theory to current economic events. Preparation necessitates reading the newspaper and/or economics blogs (specific blogs noted below) on current US and global macroeconomic issues, and doing the course reading in advance. As part of your preparation, you will write bi-weekly commentaries on blog or news articles (see below for details). (5) Study Guide. Do questions in the Study Guide on your own as practice and in preparation for exams. These will help you to understand the material with greater depth and to identify areas on which you need additional help. You are encouraged to work in groups on these problems. These will not be graded. These course requirements will be weighted as follows in calculating your final grade: Current events work: 10% Homeworks: 10% Exams (3): 20%, 25%, and 35%, respectively. ______________________________________________________________________________________ Course Grades Letter grades are assigned on a straight scale: A is 90-100 percent B is 80-89 percent C is 70-79 percent D is 60-69 percent 2 Last updated January 12, 2015 F is 59 percent or less +/- will be assigned at the discretion of the professor. Student responsibility I have tried to give you a good idea of what the course involves and the timetable on which we will work through the material. I reserve the right to change readings, times, and other aspects of the syllabus as needed, however. You are responsible for reading your syllabus to keep abreast of the schedule, and staying current on any other changes to the syllabus, which will be announced in class. 3 Last updated January 12, 2015 Tentative Course Schedule Date Week 1: Jan. 12-14 Topic Introduction, Measurement of Macroeconomic Performance Reading Blanchard, Chs. 1-2, and appendices. Palley, Chs. 1-2. Calculus review “Measuring the Economy: A Primer on GDP and the NIPA.” [BB] Week 2-3: Jan. 21 - 28 The Short-Run: The Goods Market Costanza, “Time to leave GDP behind.” [BB] Blanchard, Ch. 3. Week 4: Feb. 2-4 Financial Markets Blanchard, Ch. 4. Palley, Chs. 3-5. Weeks 5-6: Feb. 9-18 The IS-LM Model Blanchard, Ch. 5. February 23 Week 7: Feb. 25 Exam 1 The Medium Run: The Labor Market Blanchard, Ch. 6 (including appendix) Week 8: Mar. 9-11 The Aggregate Supply-Aggregate Demand Model Blanchard, Ch. 7. Week 9: Mar. 16-18 The Long Run: Economic Growth Blanchard, Chs. 10-13. Week 10: Mar. 23-25 Inequality and Economic Growth Palley, Ch. 8. Seguino, “Macroeconomics, Human Development, and Distribution.” [BB] Onaren, “The role of gender in equality-led sustainable development.” [BB] March 30 Weeks 11-12: Apr. 115 Week 13: Apr. 20-22 Exam 2 Open Economy Macro Blanchard, Chs. 18-21. The Global Economic Crisis Fine, B. “Assessing South Africa’s New Growth Path: Framework for Change?” [BB] Blanchard, Ch. 9. Palley, Chs. 6-7. Bernanke, Ben. “The Crisis and the Policy Response.” http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/b ernanke20090113a.htm Epstein, Gerald, “Memento, the Meltdown, and the Mainstream.” http://triplecrisis.com/memento-the-meltdown-andthe-mainstream/ Week 14: April 27-29 Policy Discussion Blanchard, Chs. 8, 22-24. Palley, Chs. 9-12. 4 Last updated January 12, 2015 May 8 Council of Economic Advisors Report on ARRA [BB] Location: Votey 209 Comprehensive Final Exam: 130330pm. 5 Last updated January 12, 2015 Current economic events analysis assignment As part of integrating theory with real world events, regularly read the New York Times newspaper and economics blogs. See the list of blogs to choose from, and their websites, below. Assignment 1. 2. 3. 4. Select a newspaper article clearly related to macroeconomics. You may on occasion choose to write an article located in an economics blog from the selection listed below. Every two weeks, write a one-page reaction to the selected article or blog entry. This should be typewritten. Clearly identify the source of the article; identify the main argument of the article; and provide your analytical reaction to it. You may, for example, note the linkages between the issues discussed in the article and the theoretical material we are covering in class. Or you may compare the event with economic events in other countries or regions. Or you may offer a critique of how the author is analyzing a particular issue. The article should be clearly connected to our course material. If it is not, choose a different article. These should be completed by every other Wednesday beginning with January 21. You should turn them in, in a notebook, on the dates of each of the three exams this semester. [No late assignments accepted, no exceptions]. There may be a temptation to wait until the last minute to do these assignments, but do not give in. Be prepared each Wednesday to discuss your article in class if called on. Altogether, you should have 7 such reaction papers by the end of the semester, due on the following dates: January 21 February 4 February 18 March 11 March 25 April 8 April 22 The table below indicates how I will grade these assignments. In exceptional cases, a ✓++ will be awarded, equivalent to a 100. Grade ✓+ ✓ ✓- Points 95 75 50 0 0 Meaning Excellent Average/Good Sub-par Missing/Missing the point Economics Blogs US Economic Issues (and some Europe) Economix: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/ Economist’s View: http://economistsview.typepad.com/ Economists’ Forum: http://blogs.ft.com/economistsforum/#axzz1U6P9jYef Nancy Folbre: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nancy-folbre/ Jamie Galbraith: http://utip.gov.utexas.edu/JG/Comments%20and%20Interviews.html Grasping Reality with Both Hands: http://delong.typepad.com/ Greg Mankiw's Blog: http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/ Paul Krugman: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/ 6 Last updated January 12, 2015 Planet Money: http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/ Global Economic Issues The Daly Blog: http://steadystate.org/learn/blog/ Dani Rodrik: http://rodrik.typepad.com/ The Guardian: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/america IMFdirect: http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/ Naked Keynesianism: http://nakedkeynesianism.blogspot.com/ New Deal 2.0: http://www.newdeal20.org/ Real World Economics Review Blog: http://rwer.wordpress.com/ Triple Crisis Blog: http://www.triplecrisis.com/ Vox EU: http://www.voxeu.org/ 7