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Transcript
• Infrastructure Financing in the Asia-Pacific
• Rajiv Biswas, Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, IHS
• United Nations APAC High Level Consultation on Financing for Development, Jakarta
• The material contained in this presentation may not be reproduced, displayed,
published
or distributed in any way without the written permission of IHS Inc.
© 2014 IHS
New Development Finance Initiatives
• BRICS Development Bank: The New Development Bank being
created by the BRICS will have total authorised capital of USD 100
billion. The NDB will be headquartered in Shanghai.
• Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: The AIIB has total
authorised capital of USD 100 billion of which China has offered to
provide USD 50 billion.
 The AIIB will be headquartered in Beijing
 57 countries have joined as founding members
• Silk Road Fund: China has committed to provide USD 40 billion in
funding for the Silk Road Fund to provide financing for infrastructure
projects in central Asia and Southeast Asia.
© 2014 IHS
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Reshaping the Financial Architecture for Development Finance
• Indonesian President Jokowi said in his speech to the Asia-Africa
Conference in Jakarta on 22 April that:
“Those who say the global economic problems shall only be solved through
the World Bank, the IMF and the ADB, these are obsolete ideas.“
“There needs to be change. It's imperative that we build a new international
economic order that is open to new emerging economic powers."
• A new Working Paper entitled “Reshaping the Financial Architecture
for Development Finance: The New Development Banks” written by
Rajiv Biswas about the AIIB, Silk Road Fund and BRICS Development
Bank has also been published by the London School of Economics
(Working Paper Number 2/2015, LSE Global South Unit at link:
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/cgi/stats/report/eprint/61120
© 2014 IHS
3
Private Finance for Infrastructure Development
• Deepening Equity and Bond Markets in Asia:
 Asian developing countries have been deepening domestic bond
markets since the East Asian Crisis, but many countries have further
progress to make in deepening the liquidity and range of range of
instruments in domestic bond markets.
 Some Asian countries are still establishing their equity markets which
will also help to mobilise private capital for development.
 The development of REITS and Infrastructure Trusts are also an
important mechanism for mobilising private capital. Many of the more
advanced Asian financial markets have such funds. India has
introduced these funds under the Modi government.
© 2014 IHS
4
Nepal: Reconstruction Financing
• Infrastructure Damage:
 Power infrastructure, roads and dams have been damaged and will require international
infrastructure financing to rebuild.
 Tourism infrastructure will also need to be rebuilt. Tourism accounts for 8% of Nepal’s GDP
including indirect multiplier effects.
• Reconstruction Costs:
 Total reconstruction costs will likely exceed USD 5 billion or 25% of Nepal’s GDP.
 US Geological Survey’s probabalistic assessment of reconstruction costs is most likely in
range of USD 1 billion to USD 10 billion.
• Poverty Resulted in High Death Toll:
 With per capita GDP of around USD 1,000 per year, construction quality was very low in
Nepal, which increased the destruction caused by the earthquake.
 Nepal has no capacity to fund reconstruction, which will require a co-ordinated
reconstruction program funded by international donor assistance.
© 2014 IHS
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