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SWOT Analysis for Wuhan to Establish the Finance Center of China’s Central Region LI Min, WANG Renxian School of Economics, Wuhan University of Technology, P.R. China, 430070 [email protected] Abstract: This paper utilizes the SWOT analysis, a usable method, to analyze the feasibility and difficulty for Wuhan to establish regional financial center. With the comparison with capital cities of other five provinces in central region, this paper outlines the strengths of establishment of regional financial center in Wuhan; with the comparison with major domestic financial centers, we clarify the weaknesses of Wuhan to establish regional financial center. And then we point out the opportunities are very valuable, at the same time, the threats is very pressing. What we have done above all is aiming at giving more effective suggestions for the finance development and economic development in Wuhan. Keywords: Central, SWOT analysis, Regional financial center, Wuhan 1 Introduction In the end of 2007, "Wuhan 1+8" city circle was confirmed as one of reform pilots of "national resource-saving and environment-friendly society ( 'the two types of society') by the State Council, the position of Wuhan in central China and the regional economic coordination development strategies has been pushed to the historical height. Financial center provides streams of a powerful driving force for regional economic development. When the concept of the financial center sets off huge turmoil in China, the competition for financial center, in effect, becomes the competition of the regional economic development. The establishment of a regional financial center in Wuhan is the hot spots in the academic study in recent years, scholars discuss this issue from all perspectives, and a lot of proposals and ideas have been accepted by the government. However, possibility and breakthrough points of construction of the regional financial center in Wuhan have relatively large-scale research space. This paper is based on the SWOT analysis and through realistic comparison, it highlights the provincial strengths of Wuhan in the central capital cities, clarifies the weaknesses of Wuhan, and then points out opportunities and threats for Wuhan to establish central regional financial center. 2 Strengths of Wuhan to Establish Central Regional Finance Center As the central provincial capital cities, Wuhan, Changsha, Nanchang, Zhengzhou, Taiyuan and Hefei represent respectively the highest competitive level within their provinces and they all hope to be a regional financial center. Next, we will outline the strengths of Wuhan to establish the Central regional financial center compared with the central capital cities 2.1 Advantages of the total economy According to the market-oriented strategy and industrial and economic restructuring planning of the national economy, Wuhan has achieved economic restructuring, industrial restructuring, market rules and resource advantages integration since the reform and opening up. Comparison with the other five capital cities in the central part, Wuhan is in the first, including the economic indicators GDP, per capita GDP, fixed asset investment and total retail sales of social consumer goods, etc (Tab. 1). 625 Tab. 1 Some Economic Indicators of Six Capital Cities in Central in 2006. Cities Wuhan Zhengzhou Changsha Nanchang Taiyuan Hefei GDP(hundred millions yuan) 2590 2001.5 1790.66 1184.57 1013.38 1073.86 per capita GDP(yuan) 31630 27798 27853 26145 29497 23205 FAI(hundred millions yuan) TRSSCG(hundred millions yuan) 1325.29 1293.33 1031.9 822.2 1089.81 865.61 641.64 358.4 501.13 436.47 824.8 384.31 (Data: the data of Tab.1 come from the "Statistical Yearbook of Wuhan -2006" and related urban 2006 national economic and social development statistical data. per capita GDP index of Wuhan in the table is based on the relevant data, calculation formula is: GDP / the total population. The per capita GDP of other cities data comes directly from the statistical bulletin.) 2.2Outstanding R&D capabilities and reserve personnel (1) Scientific and technological support powerful Along with the growth of the total economy, the economic structure of Wuhan has also constantly optimized and the quality of the economy has increased. In recent years, high-tech industries of Wuhan have rapidly developed, and Wuhan formed a dynamic new economic growth zone. Wuhan has 105 units of the scientific research institutions with a representative of Branch of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, a national laboratory (only seven in the nation), 13 key national laboratories, 13 National Engineering Research Centers, 11 national level enterprise technical centers, 40 municipal science and technology business incubators, 17 Productivity Center, 14 industrialization of science and technology base. The first one photonics Information Industry Base (Optics Valley) lies in Wuhan, the first incubator building pilot city is Wuhan. (2) A stronger personnel reserve than other cities’ Strong educational force of Wuhan supports the building of regional financial center. There are a number of first-rate universities in Wuhan. At the end of 2006, the number of universities reached 52.Wuhan has 49 academicians, 747,200 students in school (first in the nation). Major famous universities in Wuhan continuously provide the financial professionals and composite talents. Abundant human resources in Wuhan have been the strong talent reserves for regional financial center (Fig. 2) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Wuhan Zhengzhou Changsha Nanchang Taiyuan Hefei Numbe of univesities(unit) number of college students (10000) Number of Graduate (10000) Fig. 2 Personnel Reserve of Six Capital Cities in Central in 2006. (Source: data of Fig.2 comes from “China city Statistical Yearbook2006”.) 2.3 Obvious advantages of natural location and traffic Wuhan lies in the middle reach of Yangtze River and is geographically in the convergence point of the eastern and western regions. Traffic conditions of Wuhan are favorable: the Yangtze River and Hanjiang River are two golden waterways, Jingguang railway and Beijing-Kowloon railway cross in Wuhan. There are extensive highway network and 158 flights to more than 60 large and medium-sized cities (some flights to Fukuoka, Seoul, Bangkok and Hong Kong and Macao). Passengers and cargo per year are the most among the central six capital cities. This makes Wuhan a unique transportation hub in central China. (Tab. 3) 626 Tab. 3 Cities Traffic Comparison among Six Capital Cities in Central in 2006. Hefei Wuhan Zhengzhou Changsha Nanchang Taiyuan Passenger volume(10,000) 5431400 2165000 1073600 883800 496650 7813 Cargo(10,000 tons) 13127300 2991000 1539900 1539900 18717 6776 (Source: data of Tab.3 comes from “China city Statistical Yearbook2006”.) 2.4 Relatively competitive city financial system (1) Profound financial historical accumulation As the mega-city in central regions, Wuhan is the regional economic center in history and the strategic nodes of resources, information, technology and other exchanges between eastern and western regions. There are modern banking financial sector with the traditional vote of both banks in Hankou in the middle of the 19th century. Since the early 20th century to the middle, the financial ability of Wuhan had further developed, like a regional financial center. On the one hand, its financial markets link up with Shanghai and were affected by Shanghai; on the other hand, it had a strong concentration for the broad masses of the central hinterland. (2) Various types of financial institutions There is the coexistence of a variety of financial institutions in Wuhan, with the diversified financial system. There are 24 banking financial institutions, 29 insurance companies, and 39 securities companies. And it has formed a diversification pattern with banking, securities, insurance, trust, financial companies, and other financial institutions coexist (Tab. 4). Tab. 4 The Number of Financial Institutions in Wuhan in 2006. Institutions category Unit(s) Chinese-funded banks 24 Foreignbank and representative offices of foreign banks 5 Financial companies 4 Trust and Investment Corporation 2 Pawnshop 15 securities companies 39 insurance companies 29 futures companies 7 (Source: data of Tab.4 comes from “China city Statistical Yearbook2006”). (3) Cross-regional pattern of financial management Wuhan has become the regional management centers of banking, securities, insurance. Wuhan Branch of the People's Bank has jurisdiction of Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi provinces, charging with the implementation of monetary policy and the payment and settlement functions. Some joint-stock commercial banks such as China Communication Bank, China Merchant Bank and Wuhan Branch of the China Everbright Bank have been involved in the jurisdiction of the Nanchang and Changsha. (4)The loan and deposit scale of Wuhan is the most in Central The total deposit and loan size of Wuhan ranked the first in the central six capital cities in 2006 (Tab. 5). Domestic and foreign currency deposits and loans of all financial institutions in Wuhan is respectively Zhengzhou’s 1.32 and 1.35 times, Changsha’s 1.70 and 1.47 times, Taiyuan’s 1.49 and 1.55 times, at the same period. Deposit and loan sizes of Wuhan stand out in Central to gather important financial resources. Tab. 5 Domestic and Foreign Currency Deposits and Loans of Central Six Capital Cities Wuhan Zhengzhou Changsha Nanchang Taiyuan Hefei Cities 4684.32 3560.00 2756.80 1791.06 3152.64 1862.46 Deposit(thousand millions yuan) 3673.68 2722.90 2482.50 1221.92 2371.06 1743.01 Loan(thousand millions yuan) (Source: the data of Tab. 5 according to six cities national economic and social development communiques in 2006.) 627 2.5 Increasing external support platform The National Economic Work Conference emphasized the promotion of coordinated development of regional economy in 2003 and 2004. National economic work meeting devoted to the issues of central China in 2005. At the end of 2007, Wuhan "1 +8" city circle and Changsha "Changzhutan" metropolitan were pointed by the State Council as the "two-oriented society" experimental zone of comprehensive reform, Wuhan awarding the most powerful government policy support. 3 Weaknesses of Wuhan to Establish Central Regional Finance center Compared with the other central capital cities, the position as a central region financial center of Wuhan has been basically established. However, compared with the established financial center cities (such as Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen), and even with the other major cities (such as Guangzhou and Nanjing), there are still considerable weaknesses of Wuhan. (show in Tab.6). Tab. 6 The Gaps between Wuhan and Domestic Important Financial Center. specific performance weaknesses Weak industrial base Lack of professional financial personnel Lack of strong financial enterprises The sum of domestic and foreign currency deposit and loan is comparative low The internal structure of the financial industry is not balanced developed Lack of driving-force of financial innovation Lack of introduction foreign banks Credit environment is to be improved lack of modern city-reliance, industries is weak in Wuhan and its hinterland absorb and cohesion various talents in Wuhan is not high leading financial institutions in a corporate bodies is few Wuhan financial institutions balances of Wuhan are much lower than Beijing, Shanghai; the premium income of insurance is less than average volume of 19 deputy provincial cities the banking, securities and insurance sectors respectively takes the financial industry assets share of 90.5%, 2.8% and 2.0% financial innovation products are low-level, technical content of them is not high; innovative ability is weak foreign banks in Wuhan is few, low dependence on external There is a high proportion of non-performing loans in banking institutions in Wuhan 4 Opportunities of Wuhan to Establish the Central Regional Financial Center As "Wuhan 1+8" city circle was confirmed as one of reform pilots of the two types of society by the State Council, the position of Wuhan in central China has been pushed to the historical height. Wuhan city is faced with the best opportunity of development. This includes not only the governmental policies, but also the better environment of credit and investment; not only for the agriculture and industry, but also for the Third-Industry, especially the financial industry. When we look out of Wuhan city, economy of Hubei province is proceeding with the high speed. The GDP of Hubei province has increased 14.5% in 2007, and financial industry has increased 7.6%. And when we look at a wider world—our country, we can get more optimistic information. Finance innovation and finance development has got great achievement though they have experienced serious risk in recent years. Those make a favorable environment for Wuhan to establish the Central Regional Financial Center. 5 Threats of Wuhan to Establish the Central Regional Financial Center 628 The building of Wuhan regional financial center is a complex and systematic project. Considering the reality of the central financial situation, we believe that the threats building the regional financial center in Wuhan can be the following ones: (1) The money market needs to be improved To strengthen the currency market and make a breakthrough to financing channels, we must introduce the world's leading currency brokerage firms through the establishment of currency broker system, actively develop the money market brokerage firms, and widen the currency market space. Instrument clearing system need to be perfected and the scope of city settlement is waiting to be expanded to accelerate the capital flow rate. (2) The financial circle of Wuhan metropolitan needs to be created Wuhan is now surrounded by eight cities: Xiaogan, Xiantao, Huangshi, Ezhou, Huanggang, Xianning, Qianjiang and Hanchuan. They have realized bank notes city liquidation. These laid a good foundation for the formation of "1 +8"city financial circle. If it can be further relaxation on the basis of canceling the geographical restrictions of financial operations, such as setting up of bank branches in the eight cities and operating cross-regional financial services, financial center in Wuhan may give full play to the combined and spread function. (3) The building of commercial finance district (CFD) in Wuhan needs to be accelerated From the vector of a regional financial center, we should focus on building of the commercial finance district (CFD). We must introduce foreign banks and the consortium to Wuhan and attract outstanding financial talents. And we should create conditions for trinity center: management center, regional financial transaction center and information center. (4) The financial organization system needs to be perfected We should actively adopt preferential policies to introduce financial institutions with high-profile, large-scale, advanced management and good economic returns at home and abroad. Some financial institutions in Wuhan with good economic returns, good credibility and large scale have to be encouraged to open window to the surrounding provinces and other areas. In addition, it is necessary to nurture excellent financial institutions in order to make city financial institutions in Wuhan bigger and stronger in a relatively short time. And the competition for the central regional finance centre is severe. 6 Conclusions and prospects Concluding the above discussion, we may state the following: 1 Compared with the other central capital cities, Wuhan city has the remarkable strengths to establish the central regional financial center. But compared with the other domestic financial center, the weaknesses of Wuhan are also obvious. Considering the reality, the opportunities are inspired and the threats are realistic as well. 2 Based on the SWOT analysis, it is feasible to establish central regional financial center in Wuhan, though there has a long way to go. We must work out the strategic objectives and plan the concrete steps for Wuhan and it is very crucial to explore the strategic areas and breakthrough. At the same time, there are still spaces for further studying on this topic. We hope the other ones, who are interested in some questions joining us, such as, how to building an ideal money market, how to plan the CFD, etc... () () References [1] LI Yining. New Ways of Region Devolopment. [M].Economy Dailies Press, 2000:62-135. [2] Patrick HT. Financial development and economic growth to undeveloped countries, Economic Development and Cultural Change,1966,34(4):174-189. [3]ZHANG Jun-zhou. Regional Finance in China. [M]. Beijing: Economy Science Press, 1995:28-156. 629