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Initiative for Coastal Climate Change Research Carbon and Organic Matter Cycling in Coastal Virginia: Connections Between Chesapeake Bay and its Surrounding Watershed Jim Bauer Liz Canuel Department of Physical Sciences VIMS Rivers transport to the oceans the products of rock weathering and terrestrial biomass production, both as solutes and particles, via the hydrologic cycle Major C Reservoirs and Fluxes in Fluvial Systems Sedimentary Rocks (Internal modification) Estuaries (Internal modification) & Marshes Æ How will changes in the balance between allochthonous and autochthonous inputs of C and OM (and the inherent reactivity of each) to rivers and coastal waters affect: - biogeochemical cycles (nutrients, O2, etc.) - ecosystem structure and function (e.g., microbial vs. grazer-based) From Richey, J.E. (2004) Pathways of atmospheric CO2 through fluvial systems. In: Field and Raupach, eds., “The Global Carbon Cycle”, SCOPE, Island Press, pp. 329-340. Virginia’s exceptionally long tidal shoreline provides nearly 10,000 linear miles of interface over which materials from land can exchange via rivers and groundwater with estuarine, bay, and other coastal waters. This, along with the relatively small water volume in the Bay, allows for significantly greater impacts by land on Va. coastal waters than other coastal regions of the U.S. What Kinds of Changes Have Already Occurred in the Chesapeake Bay? From Zimmerman and Canuel (2000) Marine Chemistry 69: 117-137 and (2002) Limnol. Oceanogr. 47: 1084-1093. Dominant Land Uses in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed - control variations in allochthonous inputs From www.whrc.org Long-Term Changes in River Water Inputs to Chesapeake Bay Æ Implications for materials transported by rivers, e.g., nutrients sediments, etc. and their impacts on ecological and geological processes in the Bay and along the coast http://md.water.usgs.gov/monthly/bay.html Predicted Habitat Losses in Chesapeake Bay Over the Next ~100 years From National Wildlife Federation (2008) Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Habitats of the Chesapeake Bay: A Summary. http://www.nwf.org/sealevelrise/pdfs/NWF_ChesapeakeReportFINAL.pdf Losses of Terrestrial Organic C (globally, soils contain ~2x as much C and atmosphere or vegetation) Æ Due to enhanced DOC mobilization? Respiration? Both? Changes in soil organic carbon contents across England and Wales between 1978 and 2003. a) Carbon contents in the original samplings, and b) rates of change calculated from the changes over the different sampling intervals. Values at sites that were not resampled were calculated from their original organic carbon contents using equation (1). The changes were negative in all but 8% of the sites. From Bellamy et al. (2005) Carbon losses from all soils across England and Wales 1978–2003. Nature 437: 245-248. Elevated CO2 Ambient CO2 DOC Mobilization from Soils – CO2 Effects From Freeman et al (2004) Export of dissolved organic carbon from peatlands under elevated carbon dioxide levels. Nature 430: 195-198. DOC Mobilization from Soils – Hydrologic Effects drought non-drought From Freeman et al (2004) Export of dissolved organic carbon from peatlands under elevated carbon dioxide levels. Nature 430: 195-198. Changes in Inorganic C Export from the Mississippi Discharge and Alk Export Alk Export and Land Cover From Raymond and Cole (2003) Increase in the export of alkalinity from North America’s largest river. Science 301, 88-91. Data from U.S.G.S. databases For the majority of (freshwater) aquatic ecosystems, including rivers and estuaries: Respiration (R) >> Gross Primary Production (GPP) pCO2 in World Rivers atmosphere From Cole and Caraco (2001) Carbon in catchments: connecting terrestrial carbon losses with aquatic metabolism. Mar. Freshwater Res. 52: 101-110. Long-term monitoring of river-estuary C and OM pools Δ - Hudson River as an example From Findlay (2005) Increased carbon transport in the Hudson River: unexpected consequence of changes in nitrogen deposition? Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 3: 133-137. Anthropogenic Organic C Input Estimates - the Hudson watershed as an example Gasoline + oil use: ≅ 2.4 x 1012 moles C y-1 Atmospheric:River annual OC fluxes ≅ 0.5-1 (OCatm is ~10-60% fossil) vs. River OC flux: ≅ 1.3 x 1010 moles C y-1 * * From: NRC (2003) Oil in the sea III: inputs, fates and effects, National Academies Press; Hildemann et al. (1994) Environ. Sci. Technol. 28: 1565; Tanner et al. (2004) Aerosol Sci. Technol. 38: 133; Wakeham et al. (2004) Environ. Sci. Technol. 38: 431 (for Lake Washington). Emerging climate change issues for coupled land-coastal ocean carbon cycling Initiative for Coastal Climate Change Research 1) Basic need for more information on river/estuarine C and OM pools, allochthonous/autochthonous inputs, processing, etc. (Richey 2004, SCOPE) Æ both historically and present-day 2) Long-term time-series studies and monitoring for assessment of change Æ and need to do more with existing large datasets 3) Better assessment of local- and regional-scale climate change impacts Æ can we delineate “natural” and “altered” systems and processes? all necessary to better constrain inputs, fates and fluxes of C and OM for both regional and global coastal fluxes & budgets, how changing quantities and quality of OM control ecosystemlevel processes, other elemental cycles, etc.