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Criteria and Indicators state of the process Criterion 2 presented by W. Brad Smith Associate National Program Manager, FIA Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Identifying Research Needs Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census FIA, the keystone of Criterion 2, has reported on U.S. forests from local to global Local Global Sub-State region Main information flow Feedback loop State International multi-sector Forest InventoryNational and Analysis multi-process The Nation’s Forest Census Regional/ National National sector C&I Make no mistake …. Criterion 2 is about commodities, timber and nontimber However, looking holistically… Indicators 1-4 in Criterion 1 cover area of all forest by type and successional stage and indicators 7 and 9 cover species abundance and change in forests Indicator 26 in Criterion 5 covers biomass in forests by type [and I would suggest some parallelism with Criterion 1] Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census In the 2003 National Report on Sustainable Forests for Criterion 2: Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Indicators 2, 4, 10, 11, 12, 13, 31 What are we doing about Criterion 2 gaps? Annualized forest inventory is progressing Islands Am. Samoa Guam Palau Puerto Rico Virgin Is. NMI FSM RMI Implementation in 1999 Implementation in 2005 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census And, coming soon to a website near you: Annual estimates of area, growth, removals and mortality for all forest land, current and historic Annual estimates of volume and biomass on all forest land Annual updates on forest ownership study results Annual validation data for spatial tools based on remote sensing [15-20,000 plots per year] Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Indicator 14 Nontimber forest products What are they, generally…. Food Medicinals Florals Oils and resins Cultural (arts and crafts) Game and hides Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census FIA southern NTFP pilot study Identify Markets Products Distribution Then Test protocols and measures Estimate value The study is ongoing Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Some reported data are still difficult to interpret or lack trends 120 100 Million acres 80 West 60 40 South 20 North 0 1-19 20-39 40-59 60-79 80-99 100119 120139 140159 160199 200240 240279 280319 320399 400+ Stand-age Class (years) Forest age class data, 2002 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Indicator 2 We need to explore surrogates for age-class like average stand diameter? The optimal mix of forests of different average size trees is difficult to define and depends greatly on management objectives. Clearly, the effects of human activity and natural events paint different pictures in different regions. Source: Forest Resources of the United States, 2002 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Indicators 2 & 4 If we had known then…. FIA would have cataloged area by forest by type and average diameter class (stand-size class) jointly FIA did it separately for 50 years and it is difficult to recover from pre-digital data. We have data from about 1980 on. Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Fusing field and remote sensing data will offer new opportunities for displaying patterns like ownership Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Or harvesting Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Sometimes we pieced seemingly disparate data together to derive meaningful trend information: Regional forest trends in the 48 States, 1760-2000 400 Basis for chart data: 350 1940- pres. FIA Field Inventory Reports 1900 – 1930 Forest Service report estimates prior to FIA field inventories. 1850 – 1890 Based on Bureau of the Census land clearing statistics. 1760 – 1840 Based on estimates of forest clearing proportional to population growth. 300 Million acres South 250 200 North 150 Interior West 100 Pacific Coast 50 - Indicators 2 & 4 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census But many questions remain Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Like number of hardwood trees in the U.S. by major species, 1963-2002 Even when we have trends, what do they mean? Indicator 9 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census (Only shows number of trees 5-inches dbh and larger) Top 10 species by live volume in 2002 Common name Genus Species Douglas-Fir Loblolly Pine Ponderosa Pine Red Maple Western Hemlock Lodgepole Pine White Oak Sugar Maple Yellow-Poplar Northern Red Oak Pseudotsuga Pinus Pinus Acer Tsuga Pinus Quercus Acer Liriodendron Quercus menziesii taeda ponderosa rubrum heterophylla contorta alba saccharum tulipifera rubra Volume in cubic feet Percent of all volume 114,757,096,586 59,017,744,741 36,468,201,905 35,335,862,859 31,976,022,390 28,724,432,949 28,653,130,630 23,871,411,502 23,203,250,041 21,303,062,900 12.8% 6.6% 4.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% What’s best: Is tree biodiversity best measured by volume or number of trees? Indicator 9 Top 10 species by number of trees [1" dbh and larger] in 2002 Top 10 species in U.S. forests Common name Genus Species Red Maple Loblolly Pine Sweetgum Douglas-Fir Quaking Aspen Sugar Maple Balsam Fir Flowering Dogwood Lodgepole Pine White Oak Acer Pinus Liquidambar Pseudotsuga Populus Acer Abies Cornus Pinus Quercus rubrum taeda styraciflua menziesii tremuloides saccharum balsamea florida contorta alba Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Number of trees 21,834,748,401 19,133,975,069 13,153,930,093 9,962,056,987 9,065,591,863 8,993,035,576 8,918,466,178 8,608,168,855 7,078,252,791 5,412,297,254 Percent of all trees 7.6% 6.6% 4.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% Is an indicator best measured in: Indicator 13 25 20 15 < absolute terms Removals 10 5 Mortality 0 1953 1963 1977 1987 1997 2002 -or - relative terms > Percent of total live volume Billion cubic feet Growth 3.5 3.0 Growth 2.5 2.0 Removals 1.5 1.0 0.5 Mortality 0.0 1953 1963 1977 1987 1997 2002 Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Does ownership matter? As public policy has shifted, removals have moved dramatically from public land in the West to private land in the East in the last 15 years. Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census Indicator 13 And, the answer for your favorite indicator is… ? Forest Inventory and Analysis The Nation’s Forest Census