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Chapter 7 The Logic Of Sampling Observation and Sampling • • • Polls and other forms of social research rest on observations. The task of researchers is to select the key aspects to observe (sample). Generalizing from a sample to a larger population is called probability sampling and involves random selection. Types of Sampling • Purposive or judgmental sampling • Selecting a sample based on knowledge of a population, its elements, and the purpose of the study. • Used when field researchers are interested in studying cases that don’t fit into regular patterns. Types of Sampling • Snowball sampling • Appropriate when members of a population are difficult to locate. • Researcher collects data on members of the target population she can locate, then asks them to help locate other members of that population. Probability Sampling • • Precise statistical descriptions of large populations. A sample of individuals from a population must contain the same variations that exist in the population. • Representativeness: Quality of a sample having the same distribution of characteristics as the population from which it was selected EPSEM • • Equal probability of selection method. A sample design in which each member of a population has the same chance of being selected into the sample. • Is that possible? • • Telephone Face-to-face Parameter • Summary description of a given variable in a population. Sampling Error • The degree of error to be expected of a given sample design. Confidence Level • • • The estimated probability that a population parameter lies within a given confidence interval. Thus, we might be 95% confident that between 35 and 45% of all voters favor Candidate A. Confidence interval - The range of values within which a population parameter is estimated to lie. Simple Random Sampling • • Feasible only with the simplest sampling frame. Not the most accurate method available. Systematic Sampling • • Slightly more accurate than simple random sampling. Arrangement of elements in the list can result in a biased sample. Stratified Sampling • • Rather than selecting sample for population at large, researcher draws from homogenous subsets of the population. Results in a greater degree of representativeness by decreasing the probable sampling error. Cluster Sampling • A multistage sampling in which natural groups are sampled initially with the members of each selected group being subsampled afterward. Weighting • • • • Giving some cases more weight than others. Assigning different weights to cases that were selected into a sample with different probabilities of selection. In the simplest scenario, each case is given a weight equal to the inverse of its probability o selection. When all cases have the same chance of selection, no weighting is necessary.