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Al-Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University College Computer and Information Sciences CS433 Modeling and Simulation Lecture 15 Random Number Generator http://www.aniskoubaa.net/ccis/spring09-cs433/ 24 May 2009 Dr. Anis Koubâa Reading Required Chapter 4: Simulation and Modeling with Arena Chapter 2: Discrete Event Simulation - A First Course, Optional Harry Perros, Computer Simulation Technique The Definitive Introduction, 2007 Chapter 2 and Chapter 3 Goals of Today Understand the fundamental concepts of Random Number Generators (RNGs) Lean how to generate random variate for standard uniform distributions in the interval [0,1] Learn how to generate random variate for any probability distribution Outline Why Random Number Generators? Desired Properties of RNGs Lehmer’s Algorithm Period and full-period RNGs Modulus and multiplier selection (Lehmer) Implementation - overflow Why Random Number Generators? Random Numbers (RNs) are needed for doing simulations Generate random arrivals (Poisson), random service times (Exponential) Random numbers must be Independent (unpredictable) NOW A1 Random Inter-Arrival Time: Exp(A) Random Service Time: Exp(m) D1 A2 A3 The Concept Goal: create random variates for random variables X of a certain distribution defined with its CDF 0 F x u 1 Approach: Inverse cumulative distribution function Cumulative Distribution Function CDF F(x)=u u2 u1 0 F x u 1 Generate a random variable 0 u 1 Determine x such that F x u F 1 u x X1Exp X2Exp X2Poisson X1Poisson Problem Statement of RNGs Problem: We want to create a function: u = rand(); that produces a floating point number u, where 0<u<1 AND any value strictly greater than 0 and less than 1 is equally likely to occur (Uniform Distribution in ]0,1[ ) 0.0 and 1.0 are excluded from possible values Problem Statement of RNGs This problem can be simply resolved by the following technique: a large integer m, let the set m = {1, 2, … m-1} Draw in an integer x m randomly Compute: u = x/m For m should be very large Our problem reduces to determining how to randomly select an integer in m Lehmer’s Algorithm The objective of Lehmer’s Algorithm is to generate a sequence of random integers in m: x0, x1, x2, … xi, xi+1, … Main idea: Generate the next xi+1 value based on the last value of random integer xi xi+1 = g(xi) for some function g(.) Lehmer’s Algorithm In Lehmer’s Algorithm, g(.) is defined using two fixed parameters Modulus m : a large, fixed prime integer Multiplier a : a fixed integer in m Then, choose an initial seed x 0 m The function g(.) is defined as: g x a x mod m The mod function produces the remainder after dividing the first argument by the second u More precisely: u modv u v v where x is the largest integer n such that n≤ x Observations x i 1 a x i mod m The mod function ensures a value lower than m is always produced If the generator produces the value 0, then all subsequent numbers in the sequence will be zero (This is not desired) Theorem if (m is prime and initial seed is non-zero) then the generator will never produce the value 0 In this case, the RNG produces values in m = {1, 2, … m-1} Observations x i 1 a x i mod m The above equation simulates drawing balls from an urn without replacement, where each value in m represents a ball The requirement of randomness is violated because successive draws are not independent Practical Fact: The random values can be approximately considered as independent if the number of generated random variates (ball draws) is << m The Quality of the random number generator is dependent on good choices for a and m The Period of a Sequence Consider sequence produced by: x i 1 a x i mod m Once a value is repeated, all the sequence is then repeated itself x 0 , x 1 ,..., x i ,..., x i p where x i x i p p is the period: number of elements before the first repeat clearly p ≤ m-1 Sequence: It can be shown, that if we pick any initial seed x0, we are guaranteed this initial seed will reappear Full Period Sequences [LP] Discrete-Event Simulation: A First Course by L. M. Leemis and S. K Park, Prentice Hall, 2006, page. 42 Theorem 2.1.2 If x 0 m and the sequence x 0 , x 1, x 2 ,... is produced by the Lehmer generator x i 1 a x i mod m where m is prime, then there is a positive integer p with p m 1 such that: x 0 , x 1,..., x p 1 are all different and x i x i p , i 0,1, 2,... In addition, m 1 mod p 0 Full Period Sequences Ideally, the generator cycles through all values in m to maximize the number of possible values that are generated, and guarantee any number can be produced The sequence containing all possible numbers is called a full-period sequence (p = m-1) Non-full period sequences effectively partition m into disjoint sets, each set has a particular period. Modulus and Multiplier Selection Criteria Selection Criteria 1: m to be “as large as possible” m = 2i - 1 where i is the machine precision (is the largest possible positive integer on a “two’s complement” machine) Recall m must be prime It happens that 231-1 is prime (for a 32 bit machine) Unfortunately, 215-1 and 263-1 are not prime ;-( Selection Criteria 2: p gives full-period sequence (p = m-1) For a given prime number m, select multiplier a that provide a full period Algorithm to test if a is a full-period multiplier (m must be prime): Modulus and Multiplier Selection Criteria Criterias m to be “as large as possible” p gives full-period sequence (p = m-1) Algorithm for finding if p is full-period multiplier 1; p = x = a; // assume, initial seed is x0=1, thus x1=a while (x != 1) { // cycle through numbers until repeat p++; x = (a * x) % m; // careful: overflow possible } if (p == m-1) // a is a full period multiplier else // a is not a full period multiplier Other Useful Properties Theorem 2.1.1[LP]: If the sequence x0, x1, x2, … is produced by a Lehmer generator with multiplier a and modulus m, then x i a i x 0 mod m i 0,1, 2,... Note this is not a good way to compute xi! Theorem 2.1.4[LP, p. 45]: If a is any full-period multiplier relative to the prime modulus m, then each of the integers a i mod m m i 0,1, 2,..., m 1 is also a full period multiplier relative to m if and only if the integer i has no prime factors in common with the prime factors of m-1 (i.e., i and m-1 are relatively prime, or co-prime) Other Useful Properties Generate all full-period multipliers // Given prime modulus m and any full period multiplier a, // generate all full period multipliers relative to m i = 1; x = a; // assume, initial seed is 1 while (x != 1) { // cycle through numbers until repeat if (gcd(i,m-1)==1) // x=aimod m is full period multiplier i++; x = (a * x) % m; // careful: overflow possible } Implementation Issues Assume we have a 32-bit machine, m=231-1 Problem Must compute a x mod m Obvious computation is to compute a x first, then do mod operation The multiplication might overflow, especially if m-1 is large! First Solution: Floating point solution Could do arithmetic in double precision floating point if multiplier is small enough Double has 53-bits precision in IEEE floating point May have trouble porting to other machines Integer arithmetic faster than floating point Implementation Issues: Mathematical Solutions Problem: Compute a x mod m without overflow General Idea: Perform mod operation first, before multiplication. Suppose that m a q (not prime) a x mod m a x mod a q a x mod q We have: x mod q q 1 Thus, a x mod q a q 1 a q m No overflow Implementation Issues: Mathematical Solutions For the case, m is prime, so let m a q r q = quotient; r = remainder Let x x a x mod q r q x x a x q m It can be shown that (Page 59, Lemis/Park Textbook) a x mod m x m x and 0 if x m x 1 if - x m Next Random number variants Discrete random variables Continuous random variables The Concept Goal: create random variates for random variables X of a certain distribution defined with its CDF 0 F x u 1 Approach: Inverse cumulative distribution function Cumulative Distribution Function CDF F(x)=u u2 u1 0 F x u 1 Generate a random variable 0 u 1 Determine x such that F x u F 1 u x X1Exp X2Exp X2Poisson X1Poisson Generating Discrete Random Variates PDF F(x) 1.0 0.8 u u = F(x) 0.5 = F(2) x f(x) 1 0.2 2 0.3 3 0.1 4 0.2 5 0.2 Random variate generation: 1. Select u, uniformly distributed (0,1) 2. Compute F*(u); result is random variate with distribution f() F(x) 1.0 0.8 u 0.6 x = F*(u) 2 = F(0.5) 0.6 0.4 0.4 f(x=2) 0.2 0.2 1 2 3 4 5 x x Cumulative Distribution Function of X: F(x) = P(X≤x) 1 2 3 4 5 x x Inverse Distribution Function (idf) of X: F*(u) = min {x: u < F(x)} Discrete Random Variate Generation Bernoulli(p): Return 1 with probability p, Return 0 with probability 1-p u random ; if u 1 p return 0; else return 1; Geometric(p): f x p k 1 p Number of Bernoulli trials until first ‘0’) u random ; return log 1.0 u log p ; Uniform (a,b): equally likely to select an integer in interval [a,b] u random ; return a u b a 1 ; Exponential Random Variates Exponential distribution with mean m u random ; return -m log 1 u ;