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Inferential Statistics Inferential statistics Use the sample to make inferences about the population Use at least two variables at a time Can never be sure that results in sample are 100% representative of population Instead, statistics tell us the probability that results in sample are true in population Significance Levels p<.10 This means that the probability that the finding was by chance is less than 1 in 10. This indicates that there was a 'trend' in the data. It is not considered a significant finding, but it is encouraging enough to continue with the line of investigation. p<.05 This means that the probability that the finding was by chance is less than 5 in 100. This indicates that there was a significant finding in the data. You should certainly continue with this line of investigation. p<.01 or less This means that the probability that the finding was by chance is less than 1 in 100. This means that there was a highly significant finding in the data. You should continue with this research with considerable confidence. Inferential Statistical Tests: Which Test? Variable 1 Variable 2 Test to use Statistic Continuous Continuous Correlation* r Categorical 1. 2 categories 2. IV Continuous 1. DV T-test t Categorical 1. 3 or more categories 2. IV Continuous 1. DV One-way ANOVA F Categorical Categorical Chi-Square* 2 * For Correlation and Chi-Square analyses, variables are not distinguished as IVs or DVs. Does GPA tend to increase in people with high selfesteem? Correlation coefficient indicates the degree of association between the two variables. GPA High Does GPA Correlate With SelfEsteem? Self-Esteem Two Features of a Correlation Perfect Moderate Direction + Weak - Strength Chi-Square Expected Results for Random Relationship between Gender and Ability to Drive Can drive Can’t drive Females 10 10 Males 10 10 What if this is what we really found: Can drive Can’t drive Females Males 16 4 4 16