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Chapter 7 - Part Two Counting Techniques Wednesday, March 18, 2009 Permutations: A permutation of r elements from a set of n elements in any specific ordering or arrangement, without repetition of the r elements. Each arrangement is a different permutation. Clue words: arrangement, schedule, order,.... Example: There are six permutations of the letters A, B, and C. ABC ACB BAC BCA CBA CAB Permutations Formula n! P(n, r ) n Pr (n r )! Example In the Olympics Gymnastics competition, 8 gymnasts compete for medals. How many ways can the medals be awarded (gold, silver, and bronze)? Distinguishable Permutations Objects are not all distinguishable, namely n1 of type 1, n2 of type 2, etc. The number of permutations is: n! n1!n2 ! nm ! Example How many permutations are there of the letters in the word STATISTICS? Combinations A subset of items selected without regard to order. Clue words: group, committee, sample.... Example: There is only one combination of the letters A, B, and C === ABC Combinations Formula n n! C (n, r ) n Cr r (n r )! r! Example How many committees of three people can be selected from a group of 8 people? Pascal’s Triangle Can be used to compute combinations Baseball How many ways can three outfielders and four infielders be chosen from five outfielders and seven infielders? Lottery In the Pennsylvania lottery drawing, 5 numbered balls are selected from a box containing balls numbered 1 through 40. How many different combinations of winning numbers are there? Some Card Problems I am playing a hand of 5 card poker. What is the probability that I am dealt the following: 3 Kings and 2 Aces? All hearts Exactly two aces Three of a kind. Example A barrel contains 15 apples. Of the apples, 5 are rotten and 10 are good. Three apples are selected at random. What is the probability of selecting at least one good apple? Binomial Probability Same experiment is repeated several times. Only two possible outcomes: success and failure Repeated trials are independent. n = number of trials x = number of successes p = probability of success on each trial Formula n x n x P( x) p (1 p) x Example Flip a coin 20 times. What is the probability of getting 6 tails? Example I am taking a 10 question, multiple choice exam and I have not studied. Each question has 4 possible answers. By guessing only, what is the probability that I can get 6 questions correct? Problem of the Day A customer walks into a hardware store to buy something and asks the clerk how much 1 would cost and the clerk answers $1. The customer then asks how much 10 would cost and the clerk answers $2. The customer says, “I’ll buy 1515,” and pays the clerk $4. What was the customer buying?