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16 Mathematics of Normal Distributions 16.1 Approximately Normal Distributions of Data 16.2 Normal Curves and Normal Distributions 16.3 Standardizing Normal Data 16.4 The 68-95-99.7 Rule 16.5 Normal Curves as Models of RealLife Data Sets 16.6 Distribution of Random Events 16.7 Statistical Inference Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 2 Standardizing the Data We have seen that normal curves don’t all look alike, but this is only a matter of perception. In fact, all normal distributions tell the same underlying story but use slightly different dialects to do it. One way to understand the story of any given normal distribution is to rephrase it in a simple common language–a language that uses the mean and the standard deviation as its only vocabulary. This process is called standardizing the data. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 3 z-value To standardize a data value x, we measure how far x has strayed from the mean using the standard deviation as the unit of measurement. A standardized data value is often referred to as a z-value. The best way to illustrate the process of standardizing normal data is by means of a few examples. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 4 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data Let’s consider a normally distributed data set with mean = 45 ft and standard deviation = 10 ft. We will standardize several data values, starting with a couple of easy cases. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 5 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ x1 = 55 ft is a data point located 10 ft above (A in the figure) the mean = 45 ft. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 6 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ Coincidentally, 10 ft happens to be exactly one standard deviation. The fact that x1 = 55 ft is located one standard deviation above the mean can be rephrased by saying that the standardized value of x1 = 55 is z1 = 1. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 7 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ x2 = 35 ft is a data point located 10 ft (i.e., one standard deviation) below the mean (B in the figure). This means that the standardized value of x2 = 35 is z2 = –1. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 8 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ x3 = 50 ft is a data point that is 5 ft (i.e., half a standard deviation) above the mean (C in the figure). This means that the standardized value of x3 = 50 is z3 = 0.5. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 9 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ x4 = 21.58 is ... uh, this is a slightly more complicated case. How do we handle this one? First, we find the signed distance between the data value and the mean by taking their difference (x4 – ). In this case we get 21.58 ft – 45 ft = –23.42 ft. (Notice that for data values smaller than the mean this difference will be negative.) Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 10 Example 16.4 Standardizing Normal Data ■ If we divide this difference by = 10 ft, we get the standardized value z4 = –2.342. This tells us the data point x4 is –2.342 standard deviations from the mean = 45 ft (D in the figure). Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 11 Standardizing Values In Example 16.4 we were somewhat fortunate in that the standard deviation was = 10, an especially easy number to work with. It helped us get our feet wet. What do we do in more realistic situations, when the mean and standard deviation may not be such nice round numbers? Other than the fact that we may need a calculator to do the arithmetic, the basic idea we used in Example 16.4 remains the same. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 12 STANDARDIZING RULE In a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation , the standardized value of a data point x is z = (x – )/. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 13 Example 16.5 Standardizing Normal Data: Part 2 This time we will consider a normally distributed data set with mean = 63.18 lb and standard deviation = 13.27 lb. What is the standardized value of x = 91.54 lb? This looks nasty, but with a calculator, it’s a piece of cake: z = (x – )/ = (91.54 – 63.18)/13.27 = 28.36/13.27 ≈ 2.14 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 14 Example 16.5 Standardizing Normal Data: Part 2 One important point to note is that while the original data is given in pounds, there are no units given for the z-value. The units for the z-value are standard deviations, and this is implicit in the very fact that it is a z-value. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 15 Finding the Value of a Data Point The process of standardizing data can also be reversed, and given a z-value we can go back and find the corresponding x-value. All we have to do is take the formula z = (x – )/ and solve for x in terms of z. When we do this we get the equivalent formula x = + •z. Given , , and a value for z, this formula allows us to “unstandardize” z and find the original data value x. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 16 Example 16.6 “Unstandardizing” a z-Value Consider a normal distribution with mean = 235.7 m and standard deviation = 41.58 m. What is the data value x that corresponds to the standardized z-value z = –3.45? Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 17 Example 16.6 “Unstandardizing” a z-Value We first compute the value of –3.45 standard deviations: –3.45 = –3.45 41.58 m = –143.451 m. The negative sign indicates that the data point is to be located below the mean. Thus, x = 235.7 m – 143.451 m = 92.249 m. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 16.3 - 18