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Cities and Green Growth OECD Green Cities Programme Regions for Economic Change Conference 24 June 2011 | Brussels Marissa Plouin OECD The logic of city scale action per capita transport CO2 emissions in 2006 (kg CO2/ population) Correlation between per capita CO2 emissions in transport and density in predominantly urban areas • Economic role of cities 6000 United States 5000 Canada • Negative externalities 4000 • Contribution to climate change Ireland Norway 3000 2000 • Vulnerability to climate change impacts Australia New Zealand Spain BelgiumDenmark Finland SwedenSwitzerland United Kingdom France Italy Japan Germany Portugal Opportunities for synergies Austria Mexico Slovak Republic Poland 1000 Korea Czech Republic Hungary Turkey 0 0 1000 2000 3000 Urban density in 2005 (population/ km2) 4000 5000 2010 Urban Roundtable of Mayors and Ministers www.oecd.org/urban/2010roundtable Roundtable responded to a call for an evaluation of urban green growth policies to determine best practices, concluding: • • • • Urban green growth policies can contribute to national competitiveness outcomes Strategies are requiring significant up-front investments and long-term financial mechanisms Need to bridge gap between national and urban approaches to green growth Indicators are needed to measure their impact OECD Green Cities Programme • Development of urban green growth indicators • Thematic working papers and reports • Case studies to assess policy impacts on green growth • Technical workshops and political meetings • A synthesis report on Cities and Green Growth The conceptual framework | Part I What do we mean by green growth? Definitions and desirable scenarios Defining green growth Green growth means fostering economic growth and development while ensuring that the quality and quantity of natural assets can continue to provide the resources and ecosystem services on which our well-being relies. To do this, it must catalyze investment, competition and innovation which will underpin sustained growth and give rise to new economic opportunities. OECD Green Growth Strategy, 2011 Green growth and sustainable development Alternative green growth scenarios Scenario 1 – No Impact Scenario 4 – Multi-Sectoral Growth Scenario 2 – Green Sectoral Growth Scenario 5 – Displacement Scenario 3 – Economic Greening Scenario 6 – Economic Stagnation/De-Growth The conceptual framework | Part II A proposal for a policy framework A policy framework for an urban green growth agenda Pro-growth policies Human capital Infrastructure Innovation Greening challenges and opportunities Goals Natural resources Energy Mobility Building Pollution management Policy levers Rulemaking & oversight Public spending Financial tools Socio-technical resources Green services Information & advocacy Policy jurisdiction Supra-national National & values Sub-national A policy framework for an urban green growth agenda Green growth policy synergies: example of transport and mobility Pro-growth policies Greening opportunities Mobility policies •Impact on jobs •Impact on demand for green goods •Impact on urban attractiveness Human capital policies Infrastructure and investment policies Innovation policies The conceptual framework | Part III Challenges to advancing an urban green growth agenda Limits to the urban green growth agenda • Risk of a zero-sum game among cities? Some urban economies may grow a great deal while other could shrink. • Cities are not equal: baseline variables Resource Environment • • • • Natural resource base Climate/geographic conditions Technology/infrastructure Urban form/built environment Policy and Economic Environment • • • • Policy competency Level of engagement Industrial/economic base Other economic factors Gaps in multi-level governance Administrative gap Policy gap Information gap Capacity gap Geographical mismatch between the green growth challenge or opportunity and the administrative boundaries. Sectoral fragmentation of policy tasks and powers across ministries and public agencies within the central government administration as well as among different departments within sub-national government administrations. Asymmetry of information across ministries, between levels of government and across local actors involved in specific policy areas. Insufficient scientific and technical expertise, know-how and infrastructure to design and implement policy. Funding (or fiscal) gap Insufficient or unstable revenues to implement policy across ministries and levels of government. Objective gap Diverging or contradictory objectives between levels of government or departments/ministries that compromise the adoption of convergent targets over the long run. Accountability gap Lack of transparency in policymaking, integrity and institutional quality issues. Market gap Misalignment between policymaking goals or ambitions and the ability of private sector stakeholders to deliver these goals. Measuring and monitoring green growth • Methodological challenges of developing green growth indicators, particularly at the sub-national level • Builds on OECD efforts to develop metrics that go beyond GDP to measure societal well-being (Measuring Progress) and assess green growth (OECD Green Growth Strategy) • Currently expanding the Metropolitan Database to include four classes of environmental indicators: – residential density and sprawl – land use and change in land cover – transport use and travel time – urban emissions and air quality Financing green growth • Fees and charges – Transportation – Development – Energy • Local cap-and-trade • Carbon offsets • Public-private partnerships National policies and frameworks matter • National pricing signals, e.g. carbon taxes • National targets and incentives • Greening urban finance • Technical assistance and knowledge sharing