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Guidance document on Water and
Climate adaptation (TFWC/2007/3)
Jos G. Timmerman
Rijkswaterstaat Centre for Water Management
Climate-proofing
Assessing the resilience of water management and
water services to cope with climate change
Challenges for water management
Scenarios and forecasts – possible futures
Uncertainties and how to deal with them
Assessing risks
Assessing cost-effectiveness of coping measures
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 2
Adaptive building Germany
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 3
Contents
Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a
basin
Vulnerability assessment
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Improving resistance/resilience
Preparation to extreme events
Response to extreme events
Preparedness for recovery or aftercare
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 4
Contents
Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a
basin
Vulnerability
Link between assessment
climate models / scenarios and hydrological models
Downscaling
of models
Coping
measures
development (options and cost
Overview of potential impacts
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Improving resistance/resilience
Preparation to extreme events
Response to extreme events
Preparedness for recovery or aftercare
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 5
Contents
Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a
basin
Vulnerability
Link between assessment
climate models / scenarios and hydrological models
Downscaling
of modelshazards to social impacts of hazards
Range
from biophysical
Overview of
potential
impacts climate information needed on
Information
needs
assessment:
strategic (10-50 years) , tactical (6-9 months) and operational scales
(daily-weekly)
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 6
Contents
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Vulnerability
assessment
Anticipatory
Range
from biophysical hazards to social impacts of hazards
Prevent needs
or moderate
effects
of extreme
events
Information
assessment:
climate
information
needed on
strategic
(10-50 years) , tactical (6-9 months) and operational scales
Forecasts
(daily-weekly)
Deal with immediate threats (e.g. early warning)
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 7
Contents
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Anticipatory
Improving
resistance/resilience
Prevent
ore.g.
moderate
effects
of extreme
events improved
Droughts:
improve
irrigation,
desalinization,
Forecasts
groundwater management strategy
Deal
with
immediate
threats
(e.g. early
warning) in flood risk
Floods:
e.g.
dam safety,
restricted
development
zones, land use planning
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 8
Contents
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Improving resistance/resilience
Preparation
Droughts: e.g. improve irrigation, desalinization, improved
groundwater
Prepare
for effects:
management
e.g. awareness
strategy raising, legislation,
Floods: e.g. arrangements
institutional
dam safety, restricted development in flood risk
zones, land use planning
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 9
Contents
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Improving resistance/resilience
Preparation
Response
Prepare to
forextreme
effects: events
e.g. awareness raising, legislation,
institutional
Hazard
management:
arrangements
e.g. evacuation measures,
emergency medical care, safe drinking water distribution
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 10
Contents
Coping measures development (options and cost
effectiveness)
Prevention measures
Improving resistance/resilience
Preparation
Response to extreme events
Preparedness
Hazard management:
for recovery
e.g.
or evacuation
aftercare measures,
emergency medical
Rehabilitation
options:
care,
e.g.safe
reconstruction
drinking water
of infrastructure,
distribution
insurance, policies
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 11
Analysis framework
Type of
decision
Climate
Long Term
(10-50 yrs)
Weather
Medium Term
(6-9 months)
Decadal changes Seasonal
Forecasts
Strategic
Tactical
Operational
Short Term
(0-10days)
Real Time
- Infrastructure
planning
- Regulations
- Land use planning
- Water allocations to
agriculture
- dam operations
- dam operations
- flood warning
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 12
Relevant activities and background
documentation
Conclusions from the International Symposium “Time To Adapt.
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension”
EU Green paper
EEA report on climate change and water adaptation issues
UNECE Guidelines on Sustainable Flood Prevention and Model
provisions on transboundary flood management
Reporting and national adaptation plans under the UNFCCC
Outcomes of The Third International Conference on Climate and
Water; September 2007, Helsinki, Finland
Work done by EXCIFF and EXCIMAP
Towards a climate-proof Netherlands, Summary Route planner
Any available studies on impact of climate change in EECCA
and SEE countries
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 13
Items for discussion
Is the proposed content complete?
Additional issues?
Irrelevant issues?
Possible examples?
Editorial team?
….
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 14
Thank you
Task Force on Water and Climate
Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 15