Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Guidance document on Water and Climate adaptation (TFWC/2007/3) Jos G. Timmerman Rijkswaterstaat Centre for Water Management Climate-proofing Assessing the resilience of water management and water services to cope with climate change Challenges for water management Scenarios and forecasts – possible futures Uncertainties and how to deal with them Assessing risks Assessing cost-effectiveness of coping measures Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 2 Adaptive building Germany Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 3 Contents Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a basin Vulnerability assessment Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Improving resistance/resilience Preparation to extreme events Response to extreme events Preparedness for recovery or aftercare Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 4 Contents Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a basin Vulnerability Link between assessment climate models / scenarios and hydrological models Downscaling of models Coping measures development (options and cost Overview of potential impacts effectiveness) Prevention measures Improving resistance/resilience Preparation to extreme events Response to extreme events Preparedness for recovery or aftercare Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 5 Contents Methodologies for climate impact assessment of a basin Vulnerability Link between assessment climate models / scenarios and hydrological models Downscaling of modelshazards to social impacts of hazards Range from biophysical Overview of potential impacts climate information needed on Information needs assessment: strategic (10-50 years) , tactical (6-9 months) and operational scales (daily-weekly) Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 6 Contents Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Vulnerability assessment Anticipatory Range from biophysical hazards to social impacts of hazards Prevent needs or moderate effects of extreme events Information assessment: climate information needed on strategic (10-50 years) , tactical (6-9 months) and operational scales Forecasts (daily-weekly) Deal with immediate threats (e.g. early warning) Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 7 Contents Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Anticipatory Improving resistance/resilience Prevent ore.g. moderate effects of extreme events improved Droughts: improve irrigation, desalinization, Forecasts groundwater management strategy Deal with immediate threats (e.g. early warning) in flood risk Floods: e.g. dam safety, restricted development zones, land use planning Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 8 Contents Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Improving resistance/resilience Preparation Droughts: e.g. improve irrigation, desalinization, improved groundwater Prepare for effects: management e.g. awareness strategy raising, legislation, Floods: e.g. arrangements institutional dam safety, restricted development in flood risk zones, land use planning Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 9 Contents Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Improving resistance/resilience Preparation Response Prepare to forextreme effects: events e.g. awareness raising, legislation, institutional Hazard management: arrangements e.g. evacuation measures, emergency medical care, safe drinking water distribution Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 10 Contents Coping measures development (options and cost effectiveness) Prevention measures Improving resistance/resilience Preparation Response to extreme events Preparedness Hazard management: for recovery e.g. or evacuation aftercare measures, emergency medical Rehabilitation options: care, e.g.safe reconstruction drinking water of infrastructure, distribution insurance, policies Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 11 Analysis framework Type of decision Climate Long Term (10-50 yrs) Weather Medium Term (6-9 months) Decadal changes Seasonal Forecasts Strategic Tactical Operational Short Term (0-10days) Real Time - Infrastructure planning - Regulations - Land use planning - Water allocations to agriculture - dam operations - dam operations - flood warning Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 12 Relevant activities and background documentation Conclusions from the International Symposium “Time To Adapt. Climate Change and the European Water Dimension” EU Green paper EEA report on climate change and water adaptation issues UNECE Guidelines on Sustainable Flood Prevention and Model provisions on transboundary flood management Reporting and national adaptation plans under the UNFCCC Outcomes of The Third International Conference on Climate and Water; September 2007, Helsinki, Finland Work done by EXCIFF and EXCIMAP Towards a climate-proof Netherlands, Summary Route planner Any available studies on impact of climate change in EECCA and SEE countries Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 13 Items for discussion Is the proposed content complete? Additional issues? Irrelevant issues? Possible examples? Editorial team? …. Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 14 Thank you Task Force on Water and Climate Bonn, Germany, 22-23 November 2007 15