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Making cities resilient: Challenges and Issues facing European Cities Thursday 5th November 2009 Neil McInroy, Chief Executive, Centre for Local Economic Strategies What is CLES? Established 1986 Independent charity. No commercial sponsor or government grants Growing-but will stay small Economic development but with social fairness and within limits of environment UK, but also work in Europe and beyond! 20 staff: planners, geographers, local government, environmental scientists, economists and french horn players! Hybrid; research, consultancy, members What could our cities look like in 20 years time The bad: What our cities COULD be like Economically Globalisation creates instability- good bits and bad bits Fragile city economies Waves of underemployed and lowly skilled Socially Inequality and poverty: Divided cities Infrastructure (roads, rail, sewers) can’t keep up Environmentally Sprawling cities with little green space Heavily polluted, wasteful and energy poor Culturally Lack cohesion between and within communities Poor investment The good: What our cities to SHOULD be like The good: What our cities SHOULD be like Economically Advanced but mixed industry sectors An economy that fits the ‘pulse of place’ Mixed skilled workforce Socially Socially and economically equal with poverty eradicated Good infrastructure High levels of public expenditure Environmentally Sustainable Clean and renewably resourced Culturally Home to diverse and cohesive populations What does the future city game say about our big global challenges ? MOST recorded global challenges Poverty and inequality Ageing Energy, Workforce Climate change, Waste and pollution Economic Crisis, Overcrowding Consumption, Urbanisation, Food and famine, Crime Nationalism and identity, Globalisation Migration, Natural Disasters, Ecology, Transport LEAST Recorded global challenges The immediate challenges Economical Sluggish growth or no growth. 22million people unemployed in the EU (10%) Social Some 73m people in the EU are ‘poor’ and 2/3rds live in six countries increases in voter apathy and societal mistrust 36% of the EU’s population are over the age of 50 it will be 50% by 2028 Public sectors cuts in services and funding Environment Reached peak oil- Energy prices are increasing Global temperatures to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees by 2100. Europe could be generating 45% more waste in 2020 than in 1995 Cultural Increased climate change induced migration More debate over whose culture How do we overcome these challenges? The immediate challenges Economical Sluggish growth or no growth. 22million people unemployed in the EU (10%) Social Some 73m people in the EU are ‘poor’ and 2/3rds live in six countries increases in voter apathy and societal mistrust 36% of the EU’s population are over the age of 50 it will be 50% by 2028 Public sectors cuts in services and funding Environment Reached peak oil- Energy prices are increasing Global temperatures to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees by 2100. Europe could be generating 45% more waste in 2020 than in 1995 Cultural Increased climate change induced migration More debate over whose culture How do we overcome these challenges? The immediate challenges Economical Sluggish growth or no growth. 22million people unemployed in the EU (10%) Social Some 73m people in the EU are ‘poor’ and 2/3rds live in six countries increases in voter apathy and societal mistrust 36% of the EU’s population are over the age of 50 it will be 50% by 2028 Public sectors cuts in services and funding Environment Reached peak oil- Energy prices are increasing Global temperatures to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees by 2100. Europe could be generating 45% more waste in 2020 than in 1995 Cultural Increased climate change induced migration More debate over whose culture How do we overcome these challenges? The immediate challenges Economical Sluggish growth or no growth. 22million people unemployed in the EU (10%) Social Some 73m people in the EU are ‘poor’ and 2/3rds live in six countries increases in voter apathy and societal mistrust 36% of the EU’s population are over the age of 50 it will be 50% by 2028 Public sectors cuts in services and funding Environment Reached peak oil- Energy prices are increasing Global temperatures to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees by 2100. Europe could be generating 45% more waste in 2020 than in 1995 Cultural Increased climate change induced migration More debate over whose culture How do we overcome these challenges? A new era of developing good cities ‘Cities’ - are dynamic As a ‘geography’ – an area or locality which has meaning and identity As a sociological concept –an intersection of points in a network of social relations As an economic concept – a market place The nature of cities is argued and debated it is not politically neutral ‘Debate’ is what makes cities- good cities Shaping and Shielding Economic and environmental instabilities We need to shape an economic destiny of cities – which is resilient - which can shape and shield: works within environmental limits delivers positive and equitable social and economic outcomes withstands mitigates economic shocks, We need ‘springy’ and ‘spongey’ cities can adapt and Research Theme Research Theme How do we overcome the challenges and create boingy cities Openness to people and cultures Diverse industry Good connectivity Quality of life and amenities Economic justice and fairness Empowered citizens Broad range of skills in the labour force Cities which use the ‘pulse’ of place Good leadership Nurture innovation and creativity How do we overcome the challenges: For CLES- Economics is key A new way of doing economics What does a ‘boingy’ city economy look like. Enabling economic resilience A resilient economic place Creative and economically resilient Place Place which lacks Economic resilience Balance between Localised and globalised economy Fully globalised and local is weak Cross sectoral economic connections Sectoral Networked business with ‘local’ supply chains Individualised and poor local supply chain Innovative and proactive business culture Business as usual and reactive Progressive public spending Spending based on efficiency and the cheapest Health and wealth generating – torrent down Generates wealth- trickle down Strong organic place identity Identity based on what market wants Flexible governance Rigid and hierarchical Planning for green growth even pockets of no growth Growth How does a boingy economic city relate to everything else? What does a ‘boingy’ city look like. “Historically, urban place succeeded by being close to the sea, a natural resource or social power. Urban places succeed today by offering proximity to people and their ideas” Glaeser- four challenges for Scottish cities (2005). Centre for Local Economic Strategies EMAIL. [email protected] WEB. www.cles.org.uk PHONE. (0044) 161 236 7036