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Transcript
Predicting the future climate with
‘climateprediction.net’
Aims:
•To use a climate model to produce a
forecast of the climate in the years 2050 –
2065
•To present your findings, including the
implications of your forecast, to the class.
What’s in it for me?
•Chocolate
•Entry into national competition - $300 1st Prize
•Be filmed
•And not forgetting – the data from these computers is
being used by real climate scientists! So you will get a
buzz out of analysing some real, unique data.
Global Temperatures 2060
Future Temperatures in New Zealand
Future Rain and Snow – Southern Hemisphere
Difference between the past and the future Temperatures
Using the ‘Student Visualisation Interface’
You will mainly be using - ‘View – Surface fields’
- ‘View – Surface average fields’
‘Projection’…
Allows you
to select
‘cylindrical’
or ‘satellite’
view
Changing the scale to get more Accuracy
Use the
‘My Scale’
menu
‘General’…
Allows you to
select:
•Timescale
(season / year)
•Year(s)
•Season
‘Surface average fields’ – allows you to plot graphs
You
select
what
you are
plotting,
here
Getting Started:
Open up the file:
•My computer / G / Climate Change / ‘Reference Material’
(you will need this later)
•Click on Start – Curriculum – Science - svi
Follow the instructions on your sheet.
Optional - Save yourself some time:
If at any point, you come across an image that you think would be good in
your PowerPoint presentation, press ‘PrtSc’, open up a Microsoft
PowerPoint file and – right click – paste
Part 2:
Climate Change at One
Location on the Earth
Aim:
•Produce a PowerPoint
presentation showing
how much the climate
will change at one
location in New
Zealand.
•Outline some
implications of your
climate forecast.
What you have to do:
•Transfer some (minimum 7, maximum 10) plots
from your climateprediction.net results into your
PowerPoint file. Give them a title.
•Do a bit of background research (websites
provided) and identify:
•What will these shifts in the climate mean for life in
the future at your location?
•What sorts of things should we be doing now to try
to minimise this degree of climate change?
- Put your ideas onto further slides.
Total presentation:
Minimum 8 slides
Maximum 12 slides
Next lesson:
You will be presenting your work to the class. You may
work on your own or in a pair. You will be assessed on:
•The content of your PowerPoint slide show – have you covered all
the points you were asked about?
•How much effort have you gone to, researching the implications
of your climate forecast?
•Originality – addition of a few eye – catching features to your slide
show
•How well organised are you – did you get your presentation
finished in time? Were you on task all the time and did you read
some of the background material so that you could enhance your
talk?
•How well you talk about your slides to the class
Upper Hutt temperatures – past and future
Global Temperatures – all 3 phases
Rainfall – Upper Hutt – all 3 phases
Global precipitation, all 3 phases
Global Temperatures 1826 - 1839
Surface Temperatures – Zoomed in on New Zealand and scale changed
Global Precipitation 1825 - 1840
Global Cloud Cover 1825 - 1840
Temperatures for Upper Hutt – all 3 phases
Presentation!!
•Content of your PowerPoint slide show – have you covered all the
points you were asked about?-------- 5
•How much effort have you gone to, researching the implications
of your climate forecast?-------- 5
•Originality – addition of a few eye – catching features to your slide
show------- 5
•How well organised are you – did you get your presentation
finished in time? Were you on task all the time and did you read
some of the background material so that you could enhance your
talk?--------- 5
•How well you talk about your slides to the class
--------- 10: Class vote!!!
Content
5
Research Originality
5
5
Organised
3
1
William E
+
4
Bernie G
+
5
Talk
10
TOTAL
30
3
4
9
20
2
3
4
8
21
3
1
5
3
7.5
19.5
Jess G +
3
1
4
4
7
19
Ravai H +
2
3
3
2
9
19
Hope J +
2
1
2
2
7
14
Alex B +
William C
+
Content
5
Research Originality
5
5
Organised
Caitlin L
+
3
3
Sharon O
+
4
Emma P
+
5
Talk
10
TOTAL
30
4
3
8
21
4
4
4
8
24
4
4
4
4
8
24
Rory T
+
2
1
2
2
7
14
Lauren W
+
2
1
5
2
9
19
Jamie +
4
5
4
5
9.5
27.5
Richard S
+