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Intro • The tropical-climate belt has widened by between 2 and 4.8 degrees of latitude between 1979 and 2005 – an expansion rate expected only later this century. • “By any measure, 2007 stands out as a critical year, maybe even a turning point in efforts to deal with climate change.” – Eileen Claussen, president of the Pew Center for Global Climate Change. Relevant Literature • Evolution of Property Rights (Rose) • Open-Access Losses and Delay in the Assignment of Property Rights (Libecap) • Waiting to be Protected under the Endangered Species Act: The Political Economy of Regulatory Delay (Ando) Motivation • Talk of a “critical point”. • By definition the crisis point is unknown and must be unexpected. – Argument: if agents expected a crisis they would necessarily smooth damages/costs/consumption and preempt accordingly.* Questions Q. When does regulatory action occur? A. At crisis point or when it is on the foreseeable horizon. Q. What characterizes the point when agents recognize this crisis point? A. Libecap: MR of coop > R of ind action. Info and transaction costs fall enough; conversely returns to regulation increase. Dilemma: If agents could not foresee impending crisis how could they even recognize it? Questions • Problem of identifying the crisis point beforehand. – – • • Given we can recognize these factors which trigger the recognition of a crisis point Encouraging these factors (scarcity) would lead to establishing of property rights => markets and trading. MC/MB analysis may not reflect ecological state*. Market and ecological crisis points can differ.* – Imperfect markets, prices not reflecting supply.