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Chapter 12 Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly Topics to be Discussed Monopolistic Competition Oligopoly Price Competition Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma Chapter 12 Slide 2 Topics to be Discussed Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing Cartels Chapter 12 Slide 3 Monopolistic Competition Characteristics 1) Many firms 2) Free entry and exit 3) Differentiated product Chapter 12 Slide 4 Monopolistic Competition The amount of monopoly power depends on the degree of differentiation. Examples of this very common market structure include: Toothpaste Soap Cold remedies Chapter 12 Slide 5 Monopolistic Competition Toothpaste Chapter 12 Crest and monopoly power Procter & Gamble is the sole producer of Crest Consumers can have a preference for Crest---taste, reputation, decay preventing efficacy The greater the preference (differentiation) the higher the price. Slide 6 Monopolistic Competition Question Chapter 12 Does Procter & Gamble have much monopoly power in the market for Crest? Slide 7 Monopolistic Competition The Makings of Monopolistic Competition Two Chapter 12 important characteristics Differentiated but highly substitutable products Free entry and exit Slide 8 A Monopolistically Competitive Firm in the Short and Long Run $/Q Short Run $/Q MC Long Run MC AC AC PSR PLR DSR DLR MRSR QSR Quantity MRLR QLR Quantity A Monopolistically Competitive Firm in the Short and Long Run Observations (short-run) Downward sloping demand--differentiated product Demand is relatively elastic--good substitutes MR < P Profits are maximized when MR = MC This firm is making economic profits Chapter 12 Slide 10 A Monopolistically Competitive Firm in the Short and Long Run Observations (long-run) Profits will attract new firms to the industry (no barriers to entry) The old firm’s demand will decrease to DLR Firm’s output and price will fall Industry output will rise No economic profit (P = AC) P > MC -- some monopoly power Chapter 12 Slide 11 Comparison of Monopolistically Competitive Equilibrium and Perfectly Competitive Equilibrium Monopolistic Competition Perfect Competition $/Q $/Q MC Deadweight loss AC MC AC P PC D = MR DLR MRLR QC Quantity QMC Quantity Monopolistic Competition Monopolistic Competition and Economic Efficiency The monopoly power (differentiation) yields a higher price than perfect competition. If price was lowered to the point where MC = D, consumer surplus would increase by the yellow triangle. Chapter 12 Slide 13 Monopolistic Competition Monopolistic Competition and Economic Efficiency With no economic profits in the long run, the firm is still not producing at minimum AC and excess capacity exists. Chapter 12 Slide 14 Monopolistic Competition Questions 1) If the market became competitive, what would happen to output and price? 2) Should monopolistic competition be regulated? Chapter 12 Slide 15 Monopolistic Competition Questions 3) What is the degree of monopoly power? 4) What is the benefit of product diversity? Chapter 12 Slide 16 Monopolistic Competition in the Market for Colas and Coffee The markets for soft drinks and coffee illustrate the characteristics of monopolistic competition. Chapter 12 Slide 17 Elasticities of Demand for Brands of Colas and Coffee Brand Colas: Ground Coffee: Chapter 12 Elasticity of Demand Royal Crown Coke Hills Brothers Maxwell House Chase and Sanborn -2.4 -5.2 to -5.7 -7.1 -8.9 -5.6 Slide 18 Elasticities of Demand for Brands of Colas and Coffee Questions 1) Why is the demand for Royal Crown more price inelastic than for Coke? 2) Is there much monopoly power in these two markets? 3) Define the relationship between elasticity and monopoly power. Chapter 12 Slide 19 Oligopoly Characteristics Small number of firms Product differentiation may or may not exist Barriers to entry Chapter 12 Slide 20 Oligopoly Examples Automobiles Steel Aluminum Petrochemicals Electrical equipment Computers Chapter 12 Slide 21 Oligopoly The barriers to entry are: Chapter 12 Natural Scale economies Patents Technology Name recognition Slide 22 Oligopoly The barriers to entry are: Chapter 12 Strategic action Flooding the market Controlling an essential input Slide 23 Oligopoly Management Challenges Strategic actions Rival behavior Question Chapter 12 What are the possible rival responses to a 10% price cut by Ford? Slide 24 Oligopoly Equilibrium in an Oligopolistic Market In perfect competition, monopoly, and monopolistic competition the producers did not have to consider a rival’s response when choosing output and price. In oligopoly the producers must consider the response of competitors when choosing output and price. Chapter 12 Slide 25 Oligopoly Equilibrium in an Oligopolistic Market Chapter 12 Defining Equilibrium Firms doing the best they can and have no incentive to change their output or price All firms assume competitors are taking rival decisions into account. Slide 26 Oligopoly Nash Equilibrium Chapter 12 Each firm is doing the best it can given what its competitors are doing. Slide 27 Oligopoly The Cournot Model Chapter 12 Duopoly Two firms competing with each other Homogenous good The output of the other firm is assumed to be fixed Slide 28 Firm 1’s Output Decision If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce nothing, its demand curve, D1(0), is the market demand curve. P1 D1(0) If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce 50 units, its demand curve is shifted to the left by this amount. MR1(0) D1(75) If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce 75 units, its demand curve is shifted to the left by this amount. MR1(75) MC1 MR1(50) 12.5 25 Chapter 12 D1(50) 50 What is the output of Firm 1 if Firm 2 produces 100 units? Q1 Slide 29 Oligopoly The Reaction Curve Chapter 12 A firm’s profit-maximizing output is a decreasing schedule of the expected output of Firm 2. Slide 30 Reaction Curves and Cournot Equilibrium Q1 100 Firm 1’s reaction curve shows how much it will produce as a function of how much it thinks Firm 2 will produce. The x’s correspond to the previous model. Firm 2’s reaction curve shows how much it will produce as a function of how much it thinks Firm 1 will produce. 75 Firm 2’s Reaction Curve Q*2(Q2) 50 x 25 Cournot Equilibrium x Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Q*1(Q2) 25 Chapter 12 In Cournot equilibrium, each firm correctly assumes how much its competitors will produce and thereby maximize its own profits. 50 x 75 x 100 Q2 Slide 31 Oligopoly Questions 1) If the firms are not producing at the Cournot equilibrium, will they adjust until the Cournot equilibrium is reached? 2) When is it rational to assume that its competitor’s output is fixed? Chapter 12 Slide 32 Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Chapter 12 Duopoly Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = Q1 + Q2 MC1 = MC2 = 0 Slide 33 Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Total Revenue, R1 PQ1 (30 Q )Q1 30Q1 (Q1 Q2 )Q1 30Q1 Q12 Q2Q1 Chapter 12 Slide 34 Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium MR1 R1 Q1 30 2Q1 Q2 MR1 0 MC1 Firm 1' s Reaction Curve Q1 15 1 2 Q2 Firm 2' s Reaction Curve Q2 15 1 2 Q1 Chapter 12 Slide 35 Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Cournot Equilibrium : Q1 Q2 15 1 2(15 1 2Q1 ) 10 Q Q1 Q2 20 P 30 Q 10 Chapter 12 Slide 36 Duopoly Example Q1 The demand curve is P = 30 - Q and both firms have 0 marginal cost. 30 Firm 2’s Reaction Curve Cournot Equilibrium 15 10 Firm 1’s Reaction Curve 10 Chapter 12 15 30 Q2 Slide 37 Oligopoly Profit Maximization with Collusion R PQ (30 Q)Q 30Q Q MR R Q 30 2Q MR 0 when Q 15 and MR MC 2 Chapter 12 Slide 38 Oligopoly Profit Maximization with Collusion Contract Curve Q1 + Q2 = 15 Q1 = Q2 = 7.5 Chapter 12 Shows all pairs of output Q1 and Q2 that maximizes total profits Less output and higher profits than the Cournot equilibrium Slide 39 Duopoly Example Q1 30 Firm 2’s Reaction Curve For the firm, collusion is the best outcome followed by the Cournot Equilibrium and then the competitive equilibrium Competitive Equilibrium (P = MC; Profit = 0) 15 Cournot Equilibrium Collusive Equilibrium 10 7.5 Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Collusion Curve 7.5 10 Chapter 12 15 30 Q2 Slide 40 First Mover Advantage-The Stackelberg Model Assumptions One firm can set output first MC = 0 Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = total output Firm 1 sets output first and Firm 2 then makes an output decision Chapter 12 Slide 41 First Mover Advantage-The Stackelberg Model Firm 1 Must consider the reaction of Firm 2 Firm 2 Chapter 12 Takes Firm 1’s output as fixed and therefore determines output with the Cournot reaction curve: Q2 = 15 - 1/2Q1 Slide 42 First Mover Advantage-The Stackelberg Model Firm 1 Choose Q1 so that: MR MC, MC 0 therefore MR 0 R1 PQ1 30Q1 - Q12 - Q2Q1 Chapter 12 Slide 43 First Mover Advantage-The Stackelberg Model Substituting Firm 2’s Reaction Curve for Q2: R1 30Q1 Q12 Q1 (15 1 2Q1 ) 15Q1 1 2 Q 2 1 MR1 R1 Q1 15 Q1 MR 0 : Q1 15 and Q2 7.5 Chapter 12 Slide 44 First Mover Advantage-The Stackelberg Model Conclusion Firm 1’s output is twice as large as firm 2’s Firm 1’s profit is twice as large as firm 2’s Questions Why is it more profitable to be the first mover? Which model (Cournot or Shackelberg) is more appropriate? Chapter 12 Slide 45 Price Competition Competition in an oligopolistic industry may occur with price instead of output. The Bertrand Model is used to illustrate price competition in an oligopolistic industry with homogenous goods. Chapter 12 Slide 46 Price Competition Bertrand Model Assumptions Homogenous good Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = Q1 + Q2 MC = $3 for both firms and MC1 = MC2 = $3 Chapter 12 Slide 47 Price Competition Bertrand Model Assumptions The Cournot equilibrium: Chapter 12 P $12 for both firms $81 Assume the firms compete with price, not quantity. Slide 48 Price Competition Bertrand Model How will consumers respond to a price differential? (Hint: Consider homogeneity) The Nash equilibrium: P = MC; P1 = P2 = $3 Q = 27; Q1 & Q2 = 13.5 Chapter 12 0 Slide 49 Price Competition Bertrand Model Why not charge a higher price to raise profits? How does the Bertrand outcome compare to the Cournot outcome? The Bertrand model demonstrates the importance of the strategic variable (price versus output). Chapter 12 Slide 50 Price Competition Bertrand Model Criticisms When firms produce a homogenous good, it is more natural to compete by setting quantities rather than prices. Even if the firms do set prices and choose the same price, what share of total sales will go to each one? Chapter 12 It may not be equally divided. Slide 51 Price Competition Price Competition with Differentiated Products Chapter 12 Market shares are now determined not just by prices, but by differences in the design, performance, and durability of each firm’s product. Slide 52 Price Competition Differentiated Products Assumptions Duopoly FC = $20 VC = 0 Chapter 12 Slide 53 Price Competition Differentiated Products Assumptions Firm 1’s demand is Q1 = 12 - 2P1 + P2 Firm 2’s demand is Q2 = 12 - 2P1 + P1 Chapter 12 P1 and P2 are prices firms 1 and 2 charge respectively Q1 and Q2 are the resulting quantities they sell Slide 54 Price Competition Differentiated Products Determining Prices and Output Set prices at the same time Firm 1 : 1 P1Q1 $20 P1 (12 2 P1 P2 ) 20 12 P1 - 2 P P1 P2 20 2 1 Chapter 12 Slide 55 Price Competition Differentiated Products Determining Prices and Output Firm 1: If P2 is fixed: Firm 1' s profit maximizing price 1 P1 12 4 P1 P2 0 Firm 1' s reaction curve P1 3 1 4 P2 Firm 2' s reaction curve P2 3 1 4 P1 Chapter 12 Slide 56 Nash Equilibrium in Prices P1 Firm 2’s Reaction Curve Collusive Equilibrium $6 $4 Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Nash Equilibrium $4 Chapter 12 $6 P2 Slide 57 Nash Equilibrium in Prices Does the Stackelberg model prediction for first mover hold when price is the variable instead of quantity? Hint: Chapter 12 Would you want to set price first? Slide 58 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble Differentiated Products Scenario 1) Procter & Gamble, Kao Soap, Ltd., and Unilever, Ltd were entering the market for Gypsy Moth Tape. 2) All three would be choosing their prices at the same time. Chapter 12 Slide 59 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble Differentiated Products Scenario 3) Procter & Gamble had to consider competitors prices when setting their price. 4) FC = $480,000/month and VC = $1/unit for all firms Chapter 12 Slide 60 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble Differentiated Products Scenario 5) P&G’s demand curve was: Q = 3,375P-3.5(PU).25(PK).25 Chapter 12 Where P, PU , PK are P&G’s, Unilever’s, and Kao’s prices respectively Slide 61 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble Differentiated Products Problem Chapter 12 What price should P&G choose and what is the expected profit? Slide 62 P&G’s Profit (in thousands of $ per month) Competitor’s (Equal) Prices ($) P&G’s Price ($) 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.80 1.10 -226 -215 -204 -194 -183 -174 -165 -155 1.20 -106 -89 -73 -58 -43 -28 -15 -2 1.30 -56 -37 -19 2 15 31 47 62 1.40 -44 -25 -6 12 29 46 62 78 1.50 -52 -32 -15 3 20 36 52 68 1.60 -70 -51 -34 -18 -1 14 30 44 1.70 -93 -76 -59 -44 -28 -13 1 15 1.80 -118 -102 -87 -72 -57 -44 -30 -17 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble What Do You Think? 1) Why would each firm choose a price of $1.40? Hint: Think Nash Equilibrium 2) What is the profit maximizing price with collusion? Chapter 12 Slide 64 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma Why wouldn’t each firm set the collusion price independently and earn the higher profits that occur with explicit collusion? Chapter 12 Slide 65 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma Assume: FC $20 and VC $0 Firm 1' s demand : Q 12 2 P1 P2 Firm 2' s demand : Q 12 2 P2 P1 Nash Equilibriu m : P $4 Collusion : P $6 Chapter 12 $12 $16 Slide 66 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma Possible Pricing Outcomes: Firm 1 : P $6 Firm 2 : P $6 P $6 P $4 2 P2Q2 20 $16 (4)12 (2)(4) 6 20 $20 1 P1Q1 20 (6)12 (2)(6) 4 20 $4 Chapter 12 Slide 67 Payoff Matrix for Pricing Game Firm 2 Charge $4 Charge $4 Charge $6 $12, $12 $20, $4 $4, $20 $16, $16 Firm 1 Charge $6 Chapter 12 Slide 68 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma These two firms are playing a noncooperative game. Each firm independently does the best it can taking its competitor into account. Question Chapter 12 Why will both firms both choose $4 when $6 will yield higher profits? Slide 69 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma An example in game theory, called the Prisoners’ Dilemma, illustrates the problem oligopolistic firms face. Chapter 12 Slide 70 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma Scenario Two prisoners have been accused of collaborating in a crime. They are in separate jail cells and cannot communicate. Each has been asked to confess to the crime. Chapter 12 Slide 71 Payoff Matrix for Prisoners’ Dilemma Prisoner B Confess Confess Prisoner A Don’t confess Chapter 12 -5, -5 Don’t confess -1, -10 Would you choose to confess? -10, -1 -2, -2 Slide 72 Payoff Matrix for the P & G Prisoners’ Dilemma Conclusions: Oligipolistic Markets 1) Collusion will lead to greater profits 2) Explicit and implicit collusion is possible 3) Once collusion exists, the profit motive to break and lower price is significant Chapter 12 Slide 73 Payoff Matrix for the P&G Pricing Problem Unilever and Kao Charge $1.40 Charge $1.40 P&G $12, $12 Charge $1.50 $29, $11 What price should P & G choose? Charge $1.50 Chapter 12 $3, $21 $20, $20 Slide 74 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligipolistic Pricing Observations of Oligopoly Behavior 1) In some oligopoly markets, pricing behavior in time can create a predictable pricing environment and implied collusion may occur. Chapter 12 Slide 75 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligipolistic Pricing Observations of Oligopoly Behavior 2) In other oligopoly markets, the firms are very aggressive and collusion is not possible. Chapter 12 Firms are reluctant to change price because of the likely response of their competitors. In this case prices tend to be relatively rigid. Slide 76 The Kinked Demand Curve $/Q If the producer raises price the competitors will not and the demand will be elastic. If the producer lowers price the competitors will follow and the demand will be inelastic. D Quantity Chapter 12 MR Slide 77 The Kinked Demand Curve $/Q So long as marginal cost is in the vertical region of the marginal revenue curve, price and output will remain constant. MC’ P* MC D Quantity Q* Chapter 12 MR Slide 78 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing Price Signaling & Price Leadership Price Signaling Implicit collusion in which a firm announces a price increase in the hope that other firms will follow suit Chapter 12 Slide 79 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing Price Signaling & Price Leadership Price Leadership Pattern of pricing in which one firm regularly announces price changes that other firms then match Chapter 12 Slide 80 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing The Dominant Firm Model In some oligopolistic markets, one large firm has a major share of total sales, and a group of smaller firms supplies the remainder of the market. The large firm might then act as the dominant firm, setting a price that maximized its own profits. Chapter 12 Slide 81 Price Setting by a Dominant Firm Price SF D The dominant firm’s demand curve is the difference between market demand (D) and the supply of the fringe firms (SF). P1 MCD P* DD P2 QF QD Chapter 12 QT MRD At this price, fringe firms sell QF, so that total sales are QT. Quantity Slide 82 Cartels Characteristics 1) Explicit agreements to set output and price 2) May not include all firms Chapter 12 Slide 83 Cartels Characteristics 3) Most often international Chapter 12 Examples of successful cartels OPEC International Bauxite Association Mercurio Europeo Examples of unsuccessful cartels Copper Tin Coffee Tea Cocoa Slide 84 Cartels Characteristics 4) Conditions for success Chapter 12 Competitive alternative sufficiently deters cheating Potential of monopoly power--inelastic demand Slide 85 Cartels Comparing OPEC to CIPEC Chapter 12 Most cartels involve a portion of the market which then behaves as the dominant firm Slide 86 The OPEC Oil Cartel Price TD SC TD is the total world demand curve for oil, and SC is the competitive supply. OPEC’s demand is the difference between the two. OPEC’s profits maximizing quantity is found at the intersection of its MR and MC curves. At this quantity OPEC charges price P*. P* DOPEC MCOPEC MROPEC QOPEC Chapter 12 Quantity Slide 87 Cartels About OPEC Very low MC TD is inelastic Non-OPEC supply is inelastic DOPEC is relatively inelastic Chapter 12 Slide 88 The OPEC Oil Cartel TD Price SC The price without the cartel: •Competitive price (PC) where DOPEC = MCOPEC P* DOPEC MCOPEC Pc MROPEC QC Chapter 12 QOPEC QT Quantity Slide 89 The CIPEC Copper Cartel Price •TD and SC are relatively elastic •DCIPEC is elastic •CIPEC has little monopoly power •P* is closer to PC TD SC MCCIPEC DCIPEC P* PC MRCIPEC QCIPEC Chapter 12 QC QT Quantity Slide 90 Cartels Observations Chapter 12 To be successful: Total demand must not be very price elastic Either the cartel must control nearly all of the world’s supply or the supply of noncartel producers must not be price elastic Slide 91 The Cartelization of Intercollegiate Athletics Observations 1) Large number of firms (colleges) 2) Large number of consumers (fans) 3) Very high profits Chapter 12 Slide 92 The Cartelization of Intercollegiate Athletics Question Chapter 12 How can we explain high profits in a competitive market? (Hint: Think cartel and the NCAA) Slide 93 The Milk Cartel 1990s with less government support, the price of milk fluctuated more widely In response, the government permitted six New England states to form a milk cartel (Northeast Interstate Dairy Compact -- NIDC) Chapter 12 Slide 94 The Milk Cartel 1999 legislation allowed dairy farmers in Northeastern states surrounding NIDC to join NIDC, 7 in 16 Southern states to form a new regional cartel. Soy milk may become more popular. Chapter 12 Slide 95 Summary In a monopolistically competitive market, firms compete by selling differentiated products, which are highly substitutable. In an oligopolistic market, only a few firms account for most or all of production. Chapter 12 Slide 96 Summary In the Cournot model of oligopoly, firms make their output decisions at the same time, each taking the other’s output as fixed. In the Stackelberg model, one firm sets its output first. Chapter 12 Slide 97 Summary The Nash equilibrium concept can also be applied to markets in which firms produce substitute goods and compete by setting price. Firms would earn higher profits by collusively agreeing to raise prices, but the antitrust laws usually prohibit this. Chapter 12 Slide 98 Summary The Prisoners’ Dilemma creates price rigidity in oligopolistic markets. Price leadership is a form of implicit collusion that sometimes gets around the Prisoners Dilemma. In a cartel, producers explicitly collude in setting prices and output levels. Chapter 12 Slide 99 End of Chapter 12 Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly