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Lecture Notes: Econ 203 Introductory Microeconomics Lecture/Chapter 6: Supply, demand and govt. policies M. Cary Leahey Manhattan College Fall 2012 Goals • This is an applications chapter looking at how well-known govt. policies affect market outcomes. • By “market outcomes,” we mean the impact of policy on price and quantity-our model’s representation of “truth.” • Does the policy have different outcomes if it affects consumer rather than producers or demand rather than supply • We look at the incidence of the tax. By that we mean who bears the burden of the tax. The correct answer might surprise you. 2 Two well known govt. policies • Price controls • Set a price ceiling or a legal maximum on the price of a good or service. One well known NYC example is rent control • Taxes • The govt can make buyers/sellers pay a specific extra amount per unit. • How can out traditional supply and demand analysis explains the market outcomes-the changes in price and quantity 3 Example 1: Price control: the market for apartments P Rental price of apts S $800 Equilibrium w/o price controls D 300 Q Quantity of apts How price ceilings affect market outcomes, I A price ceiling above the equilibrium price is not binding— has no effect on the market P S Price ceiling $1000 $800 outcome. D 300 Q How price ceilings affect market outcomes, II The equilibrium price ($800) is above the ceiling and therefore illegal. The ceiling is a binding constraint on the price, causes a shortage. P S $800 Price ceiling $500 shortage D 250 400 Q Shortages and rationing • With shortages, sellers must ration the goods among buyers by a non-price mechanism. • Non-price rationing is unfair and inefficient—long lines and discrimination. Goods do not go to the buyers who value them most highly. • Compare this is the (by definition) efficient outcome of the market. 7 Example 2: Minimum wage/ the market for unskilled labor • • • • • Remember that the “price’ of labor is the (real) wage rate. So we will use the same analysis for rent control as for the minimum wage Some background on the minimum wage. The minimum wage is the least amount workers can be paid per hour. The typical minimum wage worker is a younger person without a high school degree. He or she is rarely the only breadwinner in a household. The minimum wage is NOT indexed for inflation. So legislators from time to time ask for an increase in the minimum wage to adjust for the past increases in inflation. In other words changes are made to adjust for the fall in the real minimum wage. The minimum wage has last increased in 2008 to $7.25. It was fallen about 10% in real terms since it was last increased. It down one third from its peak to $9 (2011) dollars in 1980. . 8 Example 2: Minimum wage/the market for unskilled labor Wage paid to unskilled workers W S $6.00 Equilibrium w/o price controls D 500 L Quantity of unskilled workers Minimum wage, another price floor, I A price floor below the equilibrium price is not binding – has no effect on the market outcome. W S $6.00 Price floor $5.00 D 500 L Minimum wage, another price floor, II The equilibrium wage ($6) is below the floor and therefore illegal. The floor is a binding constraint on the wage, causes a surplus (i.e., unemployment). W labor surplus S Price floor $7.25 $6.00 D 400 550 L Minimum wage, another price floor, III Min wage laws do not affect highly skilled workers. They do affect teen workers. W unemployment S Min. wage $7.25 Studies: $6.00 A 10% increase in the min wage raises teen unemployment by 1–3%. D 400 550 L Evaluating price controls • Price controls distort or drive a wedge in market signals. • They lead to unintended outcomes such as hurting those they intend to help. • For example, an increased minimum wage will increase income to low skilled workers but will also increase low skilled employment. How much is open to empirical debate. 13 Taxes • Taxes are levied on both goods and sellers of goods and services • The taxes can be called sales taxes, excise taxes, sin taxes, etc. • The tax can be a % of the sellers price (ad valorem) or a fixed amount such as state taxes on gasoline. They can also be a lump sum tax or poll tax which is a tax per person. These taxes were more prevalent in colonial times. • Sometime the revenues are allocated to specific activities. 14 Example 3: the market for pizza P Equilibrium w/o tax S1 $10.00 D1 500 Q Example 3; a tax on buyers Hence, a tax on buyers shifts TheDprice buyers the curve downpay by the is now $1.50 amount of thehigher tax. than the market price P. P would have to fall by $1.50 to make buyers willing to buy same Q as before. E.g., if P falls from $10.00 to $8.50, buyers still willing to purchase 500 pizzas. Effects of a $1.50 per unit tax on buyers P S1 $10.00 Tax $8.50 D1 D2 500 Q Example 3: a tax on buyers Effects of a $1.50 per unit tax on buyers New equilibrium: Q = 450 Sellers receive PS = $9.50 P PB = $11.00 Buyers pay PB = $11.00 Difference between them = $1.50 = tax S1 Tax $10.00 PS = $9.50 D1 D2 450 500 Q Example 3: the incidence of a tax: how the burden of a tax is shared among market participants In our example, buyers pay $1.00 more, P PB = $11.00 S1 Tax $10.00 PS = $9.50 sellers get $0.50 less. D1 D2 450 500 Q Example 3: a tax on sellers The tax effectively raises sellers’ costs by P $1.50 per pizza. $11.50 Sellers will supply 500 pizzas only if P rises to $11.50, to compensate for this cost increase. Effects of a $1.50 per unit tax on sellers S2 Tax S1 $10.00 Hence, a tax on sellers shifts the S curve up by the amount of the tax. D1 500 Q Example 3: a tax on sellers Effects of a $1.50 per unit tax on sellers New equilibrium: Q = 450 Buyers pay PB = $11.00 Sellers receive PS = $9.50 Difference between them = $1.50 = tax P PB = $11.00 S2 S1 Tax $10.00 PS = $9.50 D1 450 500 Q The outcome is the same in either case The effects on P and Q, and the tax incidence are the same whether the tax is imposed on buyers or sellers! What matters is this: A tax drives a wedge between the price buyers pay and the price sellers P PB = $11.00 S1 Tax $10.00 PS = $9.50 receive. D1 450 500 Q Elasticity and tax incidence CASE 1: Supply is more elastic than demand It’s easier for sellers than buyers to leave the market. P Buyers’ share of tax burden PB S Tax Price if no tax Sellers’ share of tax burden So buyers bear most of the burden of the tax. PS D Q Elasticity and tax incidence CASE 2: Demand is more elastic than supply P Buyers’ share of tax burden S PB Price if no tax Sellers’ share of tax burden It’s easier for buyers than sellers to leave the market. Tax PS Sellers bear most of the burden of the tax. D Q Case study: who pays the luxury tax? • 1990: Congress adopted a luxury tax on yachts, private airplanes, furs, expensive cars, etc. • Goal: raise revenue from those who could most easily afford to pay—wealthy consumers. • But who really pays this tax? Case study: who pays the luxury tax? (II) The market for yachts P Buyers’ share of tax burden Demand is price-elastic. S In the short run, supply is inelastic. PB Tax Sellers’ share of tax burden PS D Q Hence, companies that build yachts pay most of the tax. Summary • Price ceiling is a legal maximum of a price of a good or service. One local example is rent control. If the price is below the equilibrium price, then the price is binding and causes a shortage. • A price floor is a legal minimum on the price of a good or service. One example is the minimum wage, If the price floor is above the equilibrium price, it is binding and causes a surplus (unemployment). A minimum wage causes incomes to increase for those who keep their jobs but also causes unemployment among unskilled workers. • A tax is a wedge between the price buyers pay and sellers receive, causing equilibrium quantity to fall, regardless on whether it falls on buyers or sellers. • The incidence or burden of the tax depends on the elasticities of supply and demand. If supply is more elastic, the incidence or burden falls on the buyers rather than the sellers. And vice versa. . 26