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Introduction and overview of ongoing research issues GAP Research Workshop Berlin, April 10 2008 Hans-Martin Niemeier University of Applied Sciences, Bremen Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 1 Theory of Optimal Pricing of Airports I. Theory of Marginal Cost Pricing • Efficient rationing of existing capacity • Optimal level of investment • Allocative efficiency and welfare maximization • Cost efficiency II. Second best pricing for airports • Small non busy airports with decreasing average costs • Airports with increasing average costs • Busy and very busy airports III.Summary and further research Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 2 I. Theory of Marginal Cost Pricing Marshallian Equilibrium Analysis P SRMC P1 SRAC P2 P3 LRAC D X1 X2 X3 Output Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 3 I. Theory of Marginal Cost Pricing Marshallian Equilibrium Analysis • Marginal cost pricing leads to an efficient rationing of existing capacities. The users are charged with the opportunity cost to produce the demanded output. Historical costs do not matter. The output is distributed to those with the greatest willingness to pay. Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 4 I. Theory of Marginal Cost Pricing Marshallian Equilibrium Analysis • • • Marginal cost pricing leads to an optimal level of investment. The firms are indifferent in their decision to use more fixed or variable capital. Marginal cost pricing leads to allocative efficiency as welfare is maximized. The social marginal benefit of producing the last output unit equals its social marginal costs. Marginal cost pricing leads to cost efficiency. Output is produced at the minimum of average costs. All returns scale are exhausted. The firms are producing technically efficient and using an efficient combinations of production factors. Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 5 Small airports: Deficit problem P Loss pR-AC(QR) AC(Q) popt MC(Q) D QR Q Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 6 Small airports: Deficit problem Second best solutions • What is second best? Price and quantity combination maximizing consumer and producer surplus subject to the airport breaking even. • Price at marginal cost plus subsidy. • Single product airport: Price at average cost. Higher prices, lower consumer surplus. • Multiproduct airport: Two-part tariffs or Ramsey Pricing. Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 7 Small airports: Deficit problem Ramsey Pricing • Start from p= MC • Optimize trade off. Raising price • increases profitability and break even • decreases welfare (or increases deadweight loss) • Assumption: Independent Demand for two products. Cross price elasticities are zero. • Two products have the same MC. • How price then two products? Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 8 Small airports: Deficit problem Ramsey Pricing • The airport should mark up the price above marginal cost inversely to the price elasticity of demand. • Have airport charges a Ramsey pricing structure? • Pros and cons of weight based charges Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 9 Airports with increasing AC Pricing of weak airport monopolies • While the small airports might be strong natural monopolies large hubs have lost this status and became legal monopolies as entry has been blocked by the authorities. • These airports are operating under constant or even slight increasing long run average costs but demand might not be strong enough two sustain two airports. Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 10 Airports with increasing AC P MC(Q) AC(Q) MC2 p2 p1 c* D2 MC1 D1 q* Q Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 11 Airports with increasing AC Pricing of weak airport monopolies • Marginal cost pricing is possible as the welfare maximising price covers costs. • Profits should not be interpreted as a market failure. • The monopoly is sustainable because entry is not possible. • Such an airport should not adopt Ramsey pricing. • The structure of charges should reflect the marginal costs of each product. Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 12 Airports with increasing AC Pricing for busy and very busy airports • Background • Short run. Fixed capacity. • Busy versus very busy airport • What are the short run problems to implement marginal cost pricing? • What are the long run problems? Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 13 Background • Excess demand for busy airports • Charges are regulated at non-market clearing levels leading to misallocation, queues and rents • Ration by queues (US) • Could ration by prices (but where?) • Ration by slots (outside US) • Allocate slots by grandfathering • Limited slot trading leads to inefficient allocation 14 Airports with increasing AC Pricing for busy and very busy airports • What are the short run problems to implement marginal cost pricing? • Set capacity at optimal level. • Optimal price structure • Optimal allocation system Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 15 Pricing under Regulation • Regulation stops rationing prices from being used • Slots must be allocated • Peak prices are irrelevant- slots do the rationing • But off peak prices are relevant- set at MC • Achieve efficient use of airport at off peak 16 Moderately Busy Peak Price K DP P‘s Ps P*p Pr Xo X*o Movements Do 17 Very Busy Regulated Airports • Price regulation means that prices at peak and off peak are too low to ration capacity- slots must be used all the time • Prices are irrelevant- slots do it all • With non homogeneous movements, there should be uniform prices 18 Very Busy Airports Price K DP P Do Movements 19 Pricing for busy and very busy airports • What are the long run problems? • Price regulation and slot allocation stops prices from market clearing levels. • Price mechanism does not trigger off a long term equilibrium. However, an unregulated monopolist might under invest to reduce output to Cournot monopoly prices and lumpiness of investment might not be solved by contracts. • Does regulation set incentives for optimal investments? Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 20 Theory of Optimal Pricing of Airports III.Summary & further research • Principles of marginal cost pricing are not followed • Some evidence that prices are not optimal • Welfare loss might be relevant. Focus of research • What is the level of charges in Europe? Has it changed? • What is the structure of charges in Europe? Has it changed? • What are the pro and cons of subsidies? • What is the level and structure of environmental charges? Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 21 Ramsey Pricing Market 1 Market 2 P P p1a p2a π1 MC DWL2 π2 DWL1 Q1a MC Q1S Q2a Q2S Prof. Dr. Hans-Martin Niemeier 22