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Chapter 6: Market Structure Chapter 8: Competitive Strategy Review Assignment 1 Market structure archetypes • Defining your Market • Perfect competition • Monopoly Competitive Strategy • Creating Value • Capturing Value • Porter’s Five Forces Del Monte Fresh Pineapple Walmart, p. 221. Defining your market • The boundaries of an economic market should include all the firms & their products that interact to determine prices • Analyze each of your markets separately • Can use both qualitative & quantitative methods for identifying competitors (i.e. substitutes) • Geography may be important Defining your market Qualitative approach • Product performance characteristics – Red roof inn, Motel 6 • Occasions for use – Coke and bottled water • Geographic market – Local; national; global Defining your market Quantitative criteria • Demand elasticities – Price elasticity • higher => look for lots of competitors – Cross-price elasticity • Strongly positive => close substitutes • Price correlations – Airfares moving together • SIC codes may help – – – – U.S. Census Bureau conducts Economic Census every 5 years (92, 97,02) Firms are categorized according to type of product or service provided In each category: # firms, sales, payroll, employees http://factfinder.census.gov/ • Example of SIC codes – 311 Food mfctg • 3112 Grain & oilseed milling – 31121 Flour milling & malt manufacturing » 31123 Breakfast cereal manufacturing • Your market may not fit in neatly Market Structure • Defined by attributes of the market environment – Number & concentration of the participating firms – Characteristics of the product(s) they sell • Affects behavior of participating firms Concentration – As the degree of concentration increases, it may be possible for firms to gain pricing advantage (but not necessarily) – A measure of concentration is useful in describing the nature of a market Market structure concentration measures • Concentration ratios (97 Economic Census) % of sales of the top n firms in each NAICS code • Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) – 10,000 x The sum of squares of each firm’s fraction of industry sales – Monopoly HHI = 10,000 – Merger guidelines • < 1000 unconcentrated • 1000 < HHI < 1800 moderately concentrated • > 1800 concentrated Definitions of Market Structures Product Type/ Information # of sellers / entry barriers Behavior Homogeneous/ Good info about price and quality Many / Very competitive low prices Monopolistic Competition Differentiated Many/ Relatively low Relatively low Can be quite competitive price, brand, quality, etc. Oligopoly Homogeneous or differentiated Few; or a few large firms with fringe of small firms /moderately high Strategic interaction Competition can vary depending on situtation Monopoly Absence of close substitutes One/ Very high Cushy position, high prices May strategize to keep barriers high Perfect Competition low Monopoly – “Mono” “opoly” • • • • • Strong barriers to entry single seller Product has no close substitutes Price “maker” (“searcher”) E.g. Prilosec by Astra-Merck in 1996 Gasoline on Toll Roads Barriers to entry • • • • Specific assets Economies of scale Excess capacity Reputation effects • • • • Pre-commitment contracts Licenses and patents Learning-curve effects Pioneering brand advantages Optimal Single-price Pricing • Pricing objective – maximize total profit • MR = MC for optimal output => Optimal markup formula P MC 1 1 at optimal output Q* Application: The elasticity of demand for gasoline on the New Jersey toll road = 10. What markup would a profit maximizing firm use??? P 1 1 MC MC 1.11% MC .9 1 1 10 Derivation of Optimal Markup Rule From Profit Maximization: Working with MR side: TR / Q = MC MR = MC (defn of MR) (P Q + Q P) / Q = MC (breakdown of TR) P + Q( P / Q) = MC (a little algebra) Here comes elasticity:* P - Q[(1 / )(P / Q)] = MC P[1 - (1 / )] = MC (Factor out P; cancel Q’s) Optimal markup rule: P = MC / [1 - (1 / )] (Divide by [ ] term) ___________________________________________________ *Need equation (1) for the elasticity step above: Defn. of elasticity = (-1)(Q/Q) / (P/P) Multiply by reciprocal = (-1)( Q/Q)(P/P) Rearrange = (-1)( P /Q) ( Q /P) Solve for (-1) ( P /Q) P /Q = (-1)(1 / ) (P / Q) Monopoly: Markup and Profits P MC PM AC Markup Average Cost of Producing Each Unit A D B QM Q MR Perfect competition characteristics • Many buyers and sellers • Low seller concentration (each firm has low market share) • Homogeneous product • Low cost and accurate information about product and price • Price “taker” • Free entry and exit • E.g. commodity markets; agricultural products Entry and pricing perfect competition • Above normal profit Attracts entry Increases market supply Reduces market price Reduces unit profit (P vs. ATC) • Below normal profit Promotes Exit Decreases market supply Increases market price Over time, increases unit profit (P vs. ATC) Perfect Competition: Long run Pricing After entry/exit MR = MC → firms use equimarginal thinking P = min LRAC → so efficient production Normal Profit = 0 economic profit Monopoly Versus Perfect Competition (b) Perfect Competition (a) Monopoly P P Consumer Surplus Consumer Surplus MC MC PM Deadweight Social Loss A P1 D Producer Surplus QM D Q MR Q1 Producer Surplus Q Application: • Pick a market/industry with which you are familiar. Based on your text reading, how would you describe its market structure and why? How narrowly/broadly are you defining the market (e.g. does Coke compete in all beverages or bottled soft drinks)? How would you characterize barriers to entry to this market? Strategy • General policies intended to generate profits – Choice of industry – Combination of products and services – Competitive and cooperative behaviors • Strategies evolve as circumstances change • Strategies must create and capture value Creating Value for Consumers A firm has market power if… ...it faces a downsloping demand curve. The firm’s pricing objective is… …to maximize shareholder value. The demand curve reflects… …consumer willingness and ability to buy. Consumer surplus = consumers’ gains from trade Ways to create value Del Monte Gold: A sweet example?? Market Structure and Capturing Value • Firms in competitive markets are price takers • Market power and superior resources can lead to economic profit • Going for the Gold and Pineapple Acid Test, WSJ – What are/were the barriers to entry into the premium pineapple market? – What is/will be the market structure of the premium pineapple market? Profitability? Example: Pineapple value • $5 reservation price • $1.50 cost • 1 pineapple $3.50 value created • willingness to pay or reservation price – Demand strategy • Cost – Low cost strategy • Q – Demand strategy Value created Example: Pineapple value continued… • $5 reservation price • $1.50 cost If purchased at $3 Consumer surplus = $2.00 Producer surplus = $1.50 • 1 pineapple $3.50 value created So firm only captures $1.50 of $3.50 value created… Porter’s five forces • • • • • Potential rivals Existing rivalry Substitute products Buyer power Supplier power Let’s go to the video tape Superior factors of production • People – special talents or skills • Physical assets – prime real estate – unique equipment • But bidding for specialized assets may erode profits Producer surplus captured by superior assets Superior factors of production • Team production – interdependencies among workers increase value beyond the “sum of the parts” – luck or foresight may endow firms with unique team production capabilities • Rivals may be unable to pinpoint source of advantage and unable to capture equivalent value Wal-Mart, p. 221 • What is the impact of Wal-Mart.com on customerborne transaction costs? • Do you think that Wal-Mart.com is likely to create additional value? • Is it likely that Wal-Mart will capture any value created by Wal-Mart.com? • Should Wal-Mart have pursued e-commerce more aggressively sooner? • What do you think the potential impact of WalMart.com will be on the company’s efforts to expand internationally? Looking Forward • Assignment 2 – • Due on October 14,18 or 19 Read – Managerial Economics • – Coursepack • • • • Chapter 7 – Pricing The Power of Smart Pricing The Usual Decorous Waltz… The Myth of Market Share Blackboard – Why are Hotel Minibars So Expensive?” - Glenn Ellison